--- description: If Joaquin Phoenix, Renée Zellweger, Brad Pitt and Laura Dern have any common sense, they are already practicing their acceptance speeches in preparation for the... title: 2020 Oscar Predictions: Here's Who Will Win image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt60d44841530f93b8/698a09d786f68e85fb6ee4dd/2020-oscar-predictions.jpg?branch=production&width=3840&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  * [Entertainment](/section/entertainment/) ## Entertainment Update your preferences in [Account Settings](/account/preferences/) Close * [awards](/tag/awards/) ## awards Update your preferences in [Account Settings](/account/preferences/) Close # Here's Who Will Win at the 2020 Oscars  by [Andrew R. Chow](/author/andrew-r-chow/)  ## Andrew R. Chow Update your preferences in [Account Settings](/account/preferences/) Close Correspondent Feb 5, 2020 4:23 PM CUT  Front runners heading into Oscar Sunday include 'Parasite' (left); Renée Zellweger for 'Judy' (center); and Cynthia Erivo's original song for 'Harriet' (left) Front runners heading into Oscar Sunday include 'Parasite' (left); Renée Zellweger for 'Judy' (center); and Cynthia Erivo's original song for 'Harriet' (left)NEON + CJ Entertainment; David Hindley—Pathé Productions; Focus Features  by [Andrew R. Chow](/author/andrew-r-chow/)  ## Andrew R. Chow Update your preferences in [Account Settings](/account/preferences/) Close Correspondent Feb 5, 2020 4:23 PM CUT If Joaquin Phoenix, Renée Zellweger, Brad Pitt and Laura Dern have any common sense, they are already practicing their acceptance speeches in preparation for the [92nd Annual Academy Awards](https://time.com/5774472/everything-to-know-2020-oscars/ "undefined") this Sunday. Thanks to stellar awards season runs, those four actors virtually already have their statuettes in hand. But several other races still leave plenty of intrigue—chief among them, Best Picture. Here’s where each of the most prominent races stand as we approach the 2020 Oscars. ## **Best Picture**  Photo Credit: François Duhamel—© 2019 Universal Pictures and Storyteller Distribution Co., LLC. All Rights Reserved. Photo Credit: François Duhamel—© 2019 Universal Pictures and Storyteller Distribution Co., LLC. All Rights Reserved. _Ford V Ferrari / The Irishman / Jojo Rabbit / Joker / Little Women / Marriage Story /_ **_1917_** _/ Once Upon a Time in Hollywood / Parasite_ This Best Picture race has been a turbulent one, with many would-be frontrunners burning bright and fading down the stretch. The film that seems to be [peaking at the right time](https://time.com/5776487/1917-baftas-best-picture/ "undefined") is [_1917_](https://time.com/5754858/1917-movie-review/ "undefined"), whose Christmas Day release made it the last entry into the race (along with _Little Women_), putting it on the forefront of the minds of Academy voters. The (more or less) [one-shot war movie](https://time.com/5743259/1917-movie-sam-mendes/ "undefined") possesses the right mix of technical virtuosity, gravitas and inspirational uplift that has typically fared well at the ceremony—and it recently won the top honor at the Producers Guild of America awards, long considered the most accurate Oscars bellwether. (In the last decade, all but two PGA winners also won Best Picture.) But _Parasite_ looms from close behind. No foreign language film has ever won best picture—but Bong Joon-Ho’s bloody, labyrinthine film just set a similar precedent as the first foreign language film to win the SAG Award for outstanding cast performance. The film received two raucous standing ovations at that ceremony—and the [preferential ballot](https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/race/how-oscar-s-preferential-ballot-works-could-produce-a-best-picture-shocker-1189677 "undefined") may help a film that was widely respected by a wide array of viewers. ## Actor in a Leading Role  Joaquin Phoenix in Todd Phillips’ 'Joker.' Niko Tavernise—Warner Bros Antonio Banderas, _Pain and Glory /_ Leonardo DiCaprio_, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood /_ Adam Driver_, Marriage Story /_ **Joaquin Phoenix** **_, Joker_** _/_ Jonathan Pryce_, The Two Popes_ While all of these performances, [particularly Antonio Banderas’](https://time.com/5737198/best-movie-performances-2019/ "undefined"), drew acclaim, Joaquin Phoenix has this one all but locked up. His emaciated physical transformation shocked viewers; his soft-spoken, stuttering approach in the first half of the film inspired empathy; and his seething and grandiose soliloquies towards the film’s end made his Arthur Fleck one of the most compelling villains since Heath Ledger [occupied the same role](https://time.com/5694280/joker-movies-history-origin-story/ "undefined"). This is Phoenix’s fourth nomination over two decades. After showing a sometimes frightening level of commitment to his craft, he’s ready to take home a piece of hardware. ## Actress in a Leading Role  Renee Zellweger as Judy Garland in Judy David Hindley—Pathé Productions Cynthia Erivo_,_ _Harriet_ / Scarlett Johansson, _Marriage Story /_ Saoirse Ronan, _Little Women /_ Charlize Theron, _Bombshell /_ **Renée Zellweger,** **_Judy_** Zellweger, like Phoenix, has swept the major precursor awards (Critics’ Choice, Golden Globe, SAG Awards and BAFTA), putting her in pole position to win her second Oscar. “It’s a wonderful performance, as rich and alluring as a length of golden brocade, but one with appropriately ragged edges,” [Stephanie Zacharek wrote](https://time.com/5686530/judy-movie-review-renee-zellweger/ "undefined") of her performance in _Time_. ## **Actress in a Supporting Role**  Laura Dern, left, with Scarlett Johansson in "Marriage Story." Netflix / WILSON WEBB Kathy Bathes, _Richard Jewell /_ **Laura Dern,** **_Marriage Story_** _/_ Scarlett Johansson, _Jojo Rabbit /_ Florence Pugh, _Little Women /_ Margot Robbie, _Bombshell_ Laura Dern will likely win for her clipped heel turn as a cutthroat lawyer in _Marriage Story. B_ut as [many](https://twitter.com/mavericksmovies/status/1212497718481960960 "undefined") on [Twitter](https://twitter.com/NextBestPicture/status/1216968256210329600 "undefined") have [argued](https://twitter.com/zachbgilbert/status/1210236310532874240 "undefined"), it wasn’t even her best role this year. As Marmee in _Little Women_, Dern anchored the film with her warm compassion and wrenching grief. Perhaps the bulldog lawyer was a type all too familiar and impossible for Hollywood voters to resist. But several of the other nominees—especially Florence Pugh and Dern herself—took on more difficult roles with nuance and grace. ## **Actor in a Supporting Role**  Brad Pitt in "Once Upon a Time in Hollywood" Andrew Cooper—CTMG, Inc. Tom Hanks, _A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood /_ Anthony Hopkins, _The Two Popes /_ Al Pacino, _The Irishman /_ Joe Pesci, _The Irishman /_ **Brad Pitt,** **_Once Upon a Time in Hollywood_** All of the actors in this category have an acting Oscar except for Brad Pitt—but that will change on Sunday. Pitt exudes old-school Hollywood charisma and grit as stuntman Cliff Booth in Tarantino’s film; he has memorable tête-à-têtes with Margaret Qualley, Leonardo DiCaprio and Bruce Dern and lends a comic lightness to the film’s brutal climax. ## **Directing**  Cho Yeo‑jeong in "Parasite." Courtesy of NEON + CJ Entertainment Martin Scorsese, _The Irishman /_ Todd Phillips, _Joker /_ Sam Mendes, _1917 /_ Quentin Tarantino, _Once Upon a Time in Hollywood /_ **Bong Joon-Ho,** **_Parasite_** In this absolutely stacked category, two Hollywood legends—Martin Scorsese and Quentin Tarantino—have somehow become after-thoughts. Mendes is roaring into the Oscars with all of the momentum, having racked up award after award, including most recently a [BAFTA for best director](https://time.com/5776487/1917-baftas-best-picture/ "undefined"). But Bong has practically become the protagonist of this awards season for his roguish charm and effortlessly quotable soundbites; producer Janet Yang says that at the Oscars luncheon, he received “louder and longer applause than anyone.” This race feels similar to last year’s, when an international heavyweight with a daring foreign language film (Alfonso Cuarón) won Best Director, while a more middle-of-the-road historical film (_Green Book_) won the top prize. Given that the Best Picture and Best Director have split up three of the past four years—and the fact that many critics were particularly impressed by _Parasite_’s exquisite attention to detail—Bong could easily walk away with the individual trophy. ## **Cinematography** _The Irishman / Joker / The Lighthouse /_ **_1917_** _/ Once Upon a Time in Hollywood_ After coming away empty-handed 13 times, Roger Deakins finally won his first Oscar in 2017 for _Blade Runner 2049_. It seems all but assured that he will win his second for _1917_, a technical masterpiece which swoops in and out of trenches and brings a harrowing beauty to the grisly and desolate battlegrounds of World War I. ## **Animated Feature Film**  A still from Netflix's animated film 'Klaus.' _How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World / I Lost My Body /_ **_Klaus_** _/ Missing Link /_ _Toy Story 4_ The folks at Pixar probably thought they had this one locked up the minute they finalized the last edit—after all, Toy Story is a beloved multigenerational franchise with undeniable name recognition. But reaction to the series’ fourth installment wasn’t quite as euphoric as it had been for the first three, and recently the upstart _Klaus_, which re-envisions Santa Claus’ origin story, has been drawing plenty of goodwill both online and in prestigious circles. The film won seven Annie awards (the Oscars equivalent for animated films) as well as best animated feature at the BAFTAs. It’s tough to bet against Woody and Buzz, but an upset could be in order. ## **Documentary Feature**  From left, Wong He, Kenny Taylor and Jarred Gibson in "American Factory." Aubrey Keith/Netflix **_American Factory_** _/ The Cave / The Edge of Democracy / For Sama / Honeyland_ This formula seems simple: when voters see the name Obama, they’ll vote _American Factory._ (The former President and First Lady served as producers on the project.) It doesn’t hurt that the documentary is a probing and comprehensive dive into the shifts happening in the Rust Belt thanks to globalization; the film illustrates the larger forces at work while poignantly dramatizing the plight of the individual Ohio workers left behind by the whims of mega-corporations. ## **Writing (Adapted Screenplay)**  Emma Watson, Saoirse Ronan, Eliza Scanlen and Florence Pugh in 'Little Women.' Wilson Webb—Columbia Pictures _The Irishman / Jojo Rabbit / Joker /_ **_Little Women_** _/ The Two Popes_ Little _Women_ may be one of the best known and most adapted novels in the American canon, but Greta Gerwig’s adaptation still surprised viewers. While Gerwig faithfully kept much of the book’s dialogue verbatim, she scrambled its linear timeline, reassessed the character of Amy—often previously cast as a bratty foil to the hero Jo—and slyly updated Jo’s ending to match Louisa May Alcott’s own story. In her[ TIME review](https://time.com/5754484/little-women-review/ "undefined"), Stephanie Zacharek called Gerwig’s adaptation “respectful and invigorating”; a “reimagining that reaches out to young people making their way in the world today even as it’s true to the manner in which Alcott herself—a woman writer in a field ruled by men—had to push her way forward.” Many felt that [Gerwig was snubbed](https://time.com/5763723/oscar-nominations-snubs-surprises-2020/ "undefined") in the director category, but she may still walk away with her first Oscar Sunday night. ## **Writing (Original Screenplay)** _Knives Out / Marriage Story / 1917 /_ _Once Upon a Time in Hollywood_ _/_ **_Parasite_** The two frontrunners, _Once Upon a Time_ and _Parasite_, have much in common: they shuttle between haves and have-nots, linger lovingly over cityscapes (Los Angeles and Seoul, respectively) and lull viewers into a sense of security before exploding with violence. Tarantino has won this twice before, but _Once Upon a Time_ is not as tightly constructed as _Pulp Fiction_ or _Django Unchained_; it prefers to set moods and build character portraits as it meanders across L.A. _Parasite_ is the more streamlined work, with no wasted dialogue. And Bong just won this same prize at the BAFTAs, which share many voters with the Oscars. ## **Music (Original Score)** **_Joker_** _/ Little Women / Marriage Story / 1917 / Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker_ **Hildur Guðnadóttir** has had a big year—she scored not only the billion-dollar _Joker_ but also HBO’s acclaimed _Chernobyl._ Her experimental score of the latter breathes life into both sides of Arthur Fleck’s mania—his calm reveries as well as his acidic rage. ## **Music (Original Song)**  Cynthia Erivo, left, with Aria Brooks in "Harriet." Glen Wilson—Focus Features “I Can’t Let You Throw Yourself Away” — _Toy Story 4 /_ “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again” — _Rocketman /_ “I’m Standing With You” — _Breakthrough /_ “Into the Unknown” — _Frozen II /_ **“Stand Up” —** **_Harriet_** Everybody loves Elton John, but does everyone really love this particular song? His drab mid-tempo offering, which plays during the credits of _Rocketman_, sounds even more ordinary following two hours of stone cold classics. “Stand Up,” on the other hand, meets the tall order of capturing the conviction and fearlessness of Harriet Tubman—and is sung flawlessly by Cynthia Erivo, one of the best singers in the world. If she wins, Erivo will join the exclusive community of [EGOT](https://time.com/4675741/oscars-2017-almost-egot-lin-manuel-miranda/ "undefined") winners—people who have won an Emmy, Grammy, Oscar and Tony—and, at 33, she’d be the youngest person ever to achieve it. ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/5777411/2020-oscar-predictions/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/5777411/2020-oscar-predictions/"},"headline":"Here's Who Will Win at the 2020 Oscars","datePublished":"2020-02-05T16:23:00.000Z","dateModified":"2026-05-11T04:56:15.487Z","description":"If Joaquin Phoenix, Renée Zellweger, Brad Pitt and Laura Dern have any common sense, they are already practicing their acceptance speeches in preparation for the...","url":"https://time.com/5777411/2020-oscar-predictions/","keywords":["awards"],"thumbnailUrl":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt60d44841530f93b8/698a09d786f68e85fb6ee4dd/2020-oscar-predictions.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Andrew R. 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