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---
title: A Realistic Plan for Peace for Ukraine and Russia
description: As the Russian invasion of Ukraine drags on, the outlines of what a peace settlement could look like are becoming clearer
canonical: https://time.com/6159799/ukraine-russia-peace-plan/
author: Michael O'Hanlon
article:opinion: true
article:content_tier: free
article:published_time: 2022-03-23T16:36:18.000Z
article:modified_time: 2026-08-04T07:51:42.606Z
article:section: Ideas
og:title: A Realistic Plan for Peace for Ukraine and Russia
og:description: As the Russian invasion of Ukraine drags on, the outlines of what a peace settlement could look like are becoming clearer
og:url: https://time.com/6159799/ukraine-russia-peace-plan/
og:site_name: TIME
og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltc9a6c6bcd913d593/698a3041db29876066267a40/GettyImages-1239435737.jpg?branch=production&width=1024&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9
og:image:width: 1024
og:image:height: 576
og:image:alt: Evacuations from Mariupol continue
og:type: article
twitter:card: summary_large_image
twitter:title: A Realistic Plan for Peace for Ukraine and Russia
twitter:description: As the Russian invasion of Ukraine drags on, the outlines of what a peace settlement could look like are becoming clearer
twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltc9a6c6bcd913d593/698a3041db29876066267a40/GettyImages-1239435737.jpg?branch=production&width=1024&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9
video:duration: 04:07
video:published: 2022-03-16
section: world
topics: Russian invasion of Ukraine, no-fly zone, air defense systems, missile and drone attacks, U.S. military aid, international support, war crimes, Congressional address
genre: speech, news
tones: urgent, emotional, appealing, grateful
emotions: fear (high), grief (medium), determination (high), gratitude (medium)
sentiment: negative
audience: U.S. policymakers, general news readers, people interested in the Russia-Ukraine war, international affairs followers
people: Volodymyr Zelensky, Joe Biden
organizations: U.S. Congress, Russia, NATO, European Union
products: S-300
content_suitability: war [00:00-04:07]; violence [00:16-02:28]; death [01:16-01:36]; tragedy [00:16-00:27]; politics [00:00-04:07]; crime [03:43-04:07]; disasters [01:11-01:16]
transcript_source: automatic transcription
transcript_reviewed: not applicable
---

![](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltc9a6c6bcd913d593/698a3041db29876066267a40/GettyImages-1239435737.jpg?branch=production&width=1024&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9)


# A Realistic Plan for Peace for Ukraine and Russia

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<!-- video src="https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/mY6wXa0X.m3u8" -->
## Video: President Zelensky to U.S. Congress: 'We Need You Right Now'

[Watch (HLS stream): President Zelensky to U.S. Congress: 'We Need You Right Now'](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/mY6wXa0X.m3u8) (4:07)

![President Zelensky to U.S. Congress: 'We Need You Right Now'](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/mY6wXa0X/poster.jpg?width=720)

_Published 2022-03-16. As the Russian invasion of Ukraine drags on, the outlines of what a peace settlement could look like are becoming clearer_
Description, summary, key points, chapters, key quotes, questions and transcript, where present, were produced automatically from the video or its captions and were not reviewed.

## Summary
Ukrainian President Zelensky addresses the U.S. Congress, appealing for support against Russia's attacks on Ukrainian cities. He describes the ongoing bombardment, compares it to Pearl Harbor and the 9/11 attacks, and requests a no-fly zone and air defense systems. He closes by thanking the United States and President Biden for their support.

## Key points
- Zelensky compares the attacks on Ukrainian cities to Pearl Harbor and the September 11 attacks, saying Ukraine is experiencing this every day. (00:16)
- He lists Ukrainian cities that have been hit, including Odessa, Kharkiv, Chernobyl, Sumy, Zhytomyr, Lviv, Mariupol and Dnipro. (01:11)
- Zelensky says Russia has fired almost a thousand missiles at Ukraine, in addition to an unspecified number of aerial bombs. (01:24)
- He says Russia is using drones to target people more precisely and calls it terror that Europe has not seen in 80 years. (01:32)
- Zelensky asks whether it is a great request to create a no-fly zone over Ukraine. (01:46)
- He says Ukraine constantly needs defensive systems such as the S-300 and similar systems. (02:10)
- Zelensky states that Ukraine needs aircraft to protect its people, children, freedom and land, and says some such aircraft exist but are on the ground rather than in Ukrainian skies. (02:28)
- He thanks the United States for its weapons, ammunition, training, financing and economic pressure on the aggressor. (03:10)
- Zelensky thanks Congress for a resolution recognizing everyone who commits crimes against the Ukrainian people as war criminals. (03:43)

## Chapters
- [00:00 to 01:11] Opening appeal to Congress. Zelensky opens by addressing Americans and invoking Pearl Harbor and the 9/11 attacks to frame Ukraine's situation.
- [01:11 to 01:46] Describing attacks on Ukrainian cities. He lists cities hit by Russian strikes and describes missile, aerial bomb and drone attacks as terror.
- [01:46 to 02:38] Request for no-fly zone and aircraft. Zelensky asks for a no-fly zone and explains Ukraine's need for air defense systems and aircraft.
- [02:38 to 03:10] Appeal for continued support. He notes that aid exists but is not reaching Ukrainian skies, then shifts toward expressing a need.
- [03:10 to 04:07] Thanks to the United States. Zelensky thanks the U.S. government, President Biden and Congress for military, financial and legal support.

## Key quotes
- [01:41] President Zelensky: "Це терор, якого Європа не бачила, не бачила вже 80 років."
- [01:46] President Zelensky: "Хіба це велике прохання створити над Україною безпольотну зону?"
- [02:46] President Zelensky: "Я маю мрію."
- [03:10] President Zelensky: "Україна вдячна Сполученим Штатам за надзвичайно вагову підтримку"
- [03:34] President Zelensky: "Я вдячний президенту Байдену за особисту залученість та щиро відданість захисту України та демократії всюди у світі."

## Questions this video answers
- What does Zelensky ask the U.S. Congress to do? [00:03]
- Why does Zelensky compare the attacks to Pearl Harbor and 9/11? [00:16]
- Which Ukrainian cities does Zelensky say have been attacked? [01:11]
- Why does Zelensky ask for a no-fly zone over Ukraine? [01:46]
- What defensive systems and aircraft does Ukraine need? [02:10]
- What support does Zelensky thank the United States for? [03:10]

## Content suitability
- war [00:00-04:07]: Address centers on the Russian invasion of Ukraine and ongoing military strikes.
- violence [00:16-02:28]: Describes missile, aerial bomb and drone attacks on cities and civilians.
- death [01:16-01:36]: References the cities as a cell of death for thousands of people and attacks that kill civilians.
- tragedy [00:16-00:27]: Refers to the Pearl Harbor attack and the 9/11 attacks as tragic events.
- politics [00:00-04:07]: Political address to the U.S. Congress requesting military and policy action.
- crime [03:43-04:07]: Mentions a resolution labeling those who commit crimes against Ukrainians as war criminals.
- disasters [01:11-01:16]: Names Chernobyl among the attacked cities.


by 

[Michael O'Hanlon](https://time.com/author/michael-ohanlon/)


## Michael O'Hanlon


Mar 23, 2022 4:36 PM UTC

![Evacuations from Mariupol continue](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltc9a6c6bcd913d593/698a3041db29876066267a40/GettyImages-1239435737.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=3:2)

Destroyed buildings are seen as civilians are evacuated along humanitarian corridors from the Ukrainian city of Mariupol under the control of Russian military and pro-Russian separatists, on March 21, 2022.

Destroyed buildings are seen as civilians are evacuated along humanitarian corridors from the Ukrainian city of Mariupol under the control of Russian military and pro-Russian separatists, on March 21, 2022. Stringer-Anadolu Agency

by 

[Michael O'Hanlon](https://time.com/author/michael-ohanlon/)


## Michael O'Hanlon


Mar 23, 2022 4:36 PM UTC

As the tragic war in Ukraine has now driven roughly 10 million from their homes and killed many thousands, with no end in sight and no real prospect of near-term victory for either side, it is increasingly necessary to focus on a possible peace plan.

Ukraine and Russia will have to agree on specifics, and at this point it is very difficult to know what either side would accept, but this war involves us all in one way or another, and springs in part from a disagreement about whether Ukraine should ever be allowed into NATO. As such, the U.S. has a big stake in this issue, and the Biden Administration should play a major role in helping the parties conceptualize a possible compromise.


The essence of any deal would presumably be that Ukraine [forgo its aspirations to join NATO](https://time.com/6155638/ukraine-war-how-it-could-end/), that the Ukrainian governments as well as NATO formalize that commitment, and that Russia agree to a ceasefire as well as withdrawal of its forces from Ukrainian territory. All parties would also formally commit to uphold and promote the security of a neutral Ukraine. NATO and the European Union would convey the resolute message that if Russia again attacked, all of our economic sanctions against Russia and [military assistance to Ukraine](https://time.com/6157257/nato-ukraine-military-aid/) would snap back on.

Beyond these general principles, a number of additional ideas might be considered

**Territory.** It is tolerable, and probably inevitable, that Russia will insist on holding onto the Crimean peninsula, given Crimea’s role in Russian history and its importance for the Russian Navy. However, we in the West are not obliged to recognize this annexation dating back to 2014\. Ukraine should be allowed to keep the issue alive in the future with Moscow, if it so chooses, perhaps proposing various types of dual citizenship and guaranteed access within this choice real estate. By contrast, the Donbas regions of eastern Ukraine should be returned to Ukraine, given the naked and violent Russian aggression that has since 2014 victimized this region—though if [Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky](https://time.com/6154139/volodymyr-zelensky-ukraine-profile-russia/) were willing to modify borders in that region, we should not oppose the idea.


**U.N. peacekeepers.** To reduce the odds of renewed fighting, a U.N. monitoring mission (with troops from outside the Russia and NATO regions) could be deployed along whatever future borders are agreed upon. The Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe should deploy monitors as well.

**U.N. presence.** Today, most U.N. agencies are home-based in New York, Italy, Switzerland, and Austria. The latter two countries are neutral, like Ukraine would itself remain in the future. Thus, it would be natural that some technical U.N. agencies (not security organizations per se) be moved to Ukraine in a demonstration of the confidence and commitment of the international community to Ukraine’s sovereignty and as a symbolic recognition of its enduring neutrality.

**Rebuilding Ukraine.** The international community will need to help Ukraine rebuild after the war. Ideally, if improbably, Russia should make at least a token contribution to this effort itself, as one of the key members of the U.N. and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. Its financial contribution should not however be couched as reparations, since that would make the idea a non-starter in Moscow. Russia itself should not be eligible for any financial assistance.

**Ukraine’s future military and political system.** Some Russians are insisting on a demilitarized Ukraine as part of any deal, as well as the end of the Zelensky government. The latter demand would be an unconscionable infringement on Ukraine’s sovereignty. The former is also unacceptable; it would only give Putin the prospect of easily resuming the war at a future time. Ukraine cannot be a threat to Russia, given its size, and Putin knows it, so any Russian demand to demilitarize Ukraine demonstrates bad faith. That said, Ukraine’s future military forces should resemble those of Finland or Switzerland or Sweden—with a modest active-duty force and a large reserve capability, primarily of infantry, that can resist any attack or attempt at occupation. This is not too different from Ukraine’s current defense posture, so the goal should be to avoid new constraints, not change the basic situation dramatically.


**Military aid.** The U.S. can and should commit as part of any deal to limit our own [military aid](https://time.com/6155330/ukraine-invasion-us-military-support/) to Ukraine to the scale and character that preceded the war—several hundred million dollars a year on average—rather than to the much greater flow that we have been providing in recent weeks since the conflict began.

**Finland and Sweden.** These two countries have long been proud of their neutrality, but Putin’s behavior has made them reconsider fundamentally whether they wish [to join NATO](https://time.com/6158727/finland-sweden-wrestle-with-the-benefits-joining-nato/), and a majority in each country now support the idea. Putin must accept that possibility; it is not his right to deny it, Finland and Sweden’s choice even as they continue to mull whether such membership would in fact be a good idea.

**Sanctions.** Even though most sanctions imposed recently on Russia would be relaxed, then lifted, under this deal, Putin will have to accept that many [western businesses](https://time.com/6155725/corporations-war-russia-ukraine/) will not choose to return to Russia for years to come, and western governments cannot force them to return. Such is the natural consequence of his military aggression, and he will have to live with it for some time to come. Still, such a prospect is far better for him than the kind of economic pain that will ensue if the war continues. With a deal, Russia will be able to resume most [energy trade](https://time.com/6155823/biden-ban-russian-oil/) and most access to the international financial system.


Perhaps [China and the U.S.](https://time.com/6157160/china-stop-russias-war-in-ukraine/), often at each other’s throats on the Ukraine issue and many others these days, can even collaborate on how to pursue and support this kind of peace process. President Xi Jinping may be best able to persuade Putin of the logic of this kind of approach—a framework that is ideal for no one, but the “least bad” of the realistic paths forward for most.

There is little further time to waste, before what is already a horribly tragic war becomes absolutely catastrophic.

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