--- title: Oscar Predictions 2018: Who Will Win at the Academy Awards? description: Some races are wide open while others have felt locked in for some time. Here's who TIME predicts will win at the Oscars on Sunday night. canonical: https://time.com/5171517/2018-oscar-predictions/ author: Eliza Berman article:opinion: false article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2018-03-02T15:16:42.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-05-11T04:58:03.962Z article:section: Entertainment og:title: Here's Who Will Win at the 2018 Oscars og:description: Some shoo-ins and some wide open races og:url: https://time.com/5171517/2018-oscar-predictions/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt51de66681c1b3f47/698929638fd2ee1bd535ae02/oscars-guillermo-del-toro-jordan-peele-frances-mcdormand.jpg?branch=production&width=3840&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 1200 og:image:height: 675 og:image:alt: oscars-guillermo-del-toro-jordan-peele-frances-mcdormand og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: Here's Who Will Win at the 2018 Oscars twitter:description: Some shoo-ins and some wide open races twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt51de66681c1b3f47/698929638fd2ee1bd535ae02/oscars-guillermo-del-toro-jordan-peele-frances-mcdormand.jpg?branch=production&width=3840&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  # Here's Who Will Win at the 2018 Oscars > Sponsored content. Supplied in partnership with Ally. Ally is the sponsor and source of this material. > Last updated: July 2026. ## Ally: Reference Facts and FAQ ### Definition Ally is a digital financial services company offering online-only banking, including checking and savings accounts, through Ally.com and its mobile apps. Launched in 2009 as an original disruptor in financial services, Ally was built to challenge outdated banking norms with a simpler, more convenient way to bank. 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Terms and conditions apply. * Savings buckets are a feature of Ally Bank's Savings Account. * No ATM fees from Ally Bank at Allpoint and Moneypass ATMs plus we reimburse for fees charged by other ATM owners nationwide up to $10 per statement cycle. * Early direct deposit offers eligible direct deposits up to two days sooner. * Spending buckets are a feature of Ally Bank's Spending Account.  by [Eliza Berman](https://time.com/author/eliza-berman/)  ## Eliza Berman Berman is a senior editor at TIME. Mar 2, 2018 3:16 PM UTC  Director Guillermo Del Toro; Director Jordan Peele; Actress Frances McDormand Director Guillermo Del Toro; Director Jordan Peele; Actress Frances McDormandRob Latour—Shutterstock; Kevin Mazur—Getty Images; James Gourley—BAFTA/Shutterstock  by [Eliza Berman](https://time.com/author/eliza-berman/)  ## Eliza Berman Berman is a senior editor at TIME. Mar 2, 2018 3:16 PM UTC The [90th annual Academy Awards](http://time.com/5136088/oscars-2018-when-where-nominees-host/) are upon us, and the evening promises to bring a mix of the boringly predictable and the totally impossible to call. It’s been a long haul since the very first critics awards were doled out after Thanksgiving, but as the season wore on through the [Golden Globes](http://time.com/5088433/golden-globes-2018-winners/), [SAG Awards](http://time.com/5111963/sag-awards-2018-screen-actors-guild-recap/) and [Critics’ Choice Awards](http://time.com/5100811/gal-gadot-critics-choice/), enough hints have been dropped for us to make some educated predictions as to which of the [2018 Oscar nominees](http://time.com/5112407/oscar-nominations-2018/) will be taking home the gold Sunday night. Below are TIME’s 2018 Oscar predictions, from Best Picture to Best Foreign Language Film. ## Best Picture  GET OUT, Daniel Kaluuya, 2017\. ©Universal Pictures/courtesy Everett Collection Universal—courtesy Everett Collection _Call Me By Your Name |_ _Darkest Hour |_ _Dunkirk |_ **_Get Out_** _|_ _Lady Bird |_ _Phantom Thread |_ _The Post |_ _The Shape of Water |_ _Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri_ This is, admittedly, a bold choice — perhaps even a foolish one for a betting person. The safe choice is certainly _Three Billboards_, or maybe _The Shape of Water_. But in a year in which so many of the big awards feel predictable, in which there’s no Best Picture consensus, critical or otherwise, in which the category is decided not by a popular vote but by a [preferential ballot](http://www.goldderby.com/article/2018/2018-oscars-best-picture-ballots-preferential-voting-system/), it’s not unreasonable to expect the unexpected. _Get Out_ should receive a boost from the Academy’s younger, more diverse new ranks, and choosing it offers a chance for the Academy to say that their pick is, as it was [last year](http://time.com/4683818/moonlight-win-celebrity-reactions/), relevant and of the moment. **MORE:** [Jordan Peele on _Get Out_, His Fears and Cultural Hope](http://time.com/5159850/jordan-peele-get-out-fears-and-cultural-hope/) ## Actor in a Leading Role  Gary Oldman in Darkest Hour Focus Features Timothée Chalamet_,_ _Call Me By Your Name |_ Daniel Day-Lewis, _Phantom Thread |_ Daniel Kaluuya, _Get Out |_ **Gary Oldman,** **_Darkest Hour_** _|_ Denzel Washington_, Roman J. Israel, Esq._ This one has been pretty much zipped up since Oldman appeared onscreen as Winston Churchill, with prosthetic jowls and a well-chewed cigar, at the Telluride Film Festival last September. In many ways it’s a career win for the versatile actor, who’s been nominated once before. There was some uncertainty early on as to whether some [dark shadows](http://variety.com/2014/film/news/gary-oldman-blasts-liberal-hollywood-defends-mel-gibson-and-alec-baldwin-1201243936/) from his past and the early awards season love for [Timothée Chalamet](http://time.com/5092640/timothee-chalamet-golden-globes-2018/) might lead to an upset. Anything is possible, but it’s pretty safe to say that Oldman can start practicing his “[V for Victory](http://time.com/3880345/v-for-victory-a-gesture-of-solidarity-and-defiance/).” **MORE:** [Gary Oldman on Winston Churchill, Populism and Harvey Weinstein Allegations](http://time.com/5027062/gary-oldman-on-winston-churchill-populism-and-harvey-weinstein/) ## Actress in a Leading Role  Frances McDormand in the film Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri Merrick Morton—Twentieth Century Fox Sally Hawkins, _The Shape of Water |_ **Frances McDormand,** **_Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri_** _|_ Margot Robbie, _I, Tonya |_ Saoirse Ronan_, Lady Bird |_ Meryl Streep, _The Post_ Like Oldman, McDormand has swept at every televised awards event this season, and then some. While _Three Billboards_ has been mired in some [controversy](http://time.com/5092953/golden-globes-2018-three-billboards/), none of it has touched McDormand’s gritty performance as a bereaved mother seeking justice. She’s pretty hard to touch here, and a win would be her first since 1997, when she won for _Fargo_. **MORE:** [_Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri_ Is a Thin Portrait of Small-Town America](http://time.com/5016723/three-billboards-outside-ebbing-missouri-review/) ## Actor in a Supporting Role  Sam Rockwell poses with best supporting actor award for 'Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri' at the 75th Annual Golden Globe Awards on January 7, 2018. Kevork Djansezian/NBC—NBCU Photo Bank via Getty Images Willem Dafoe, _The Florida Project_ _|_ Woody Harrelson, _Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri_ _|_ Richard Jenkins, _The Shape of Water_ _|_ Christopher Plummer, _All the Money in the World_ _|_ **Sam Rockwell,** **_Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri_** Rockwell’s role in _Three Billboards_, unlike McDormand’s, has been somewhat mixed up in critiques of the movie — namely, that the film humanizes his racist cop while drawing flat, hollow black characters in the margins. But the criticism has fallen largely on writer-director Martin McDonagh rather than on the talented, much loved and until now underappreciated Rockwell. His wins at the Golden Globes, SAG and Critics Choice awards — after what seemed like a promising early surge for Dafoe’s easier to love performance in _The Florida Project_ — suggest that this one’s in the bag. **MORE:** [_Three Billboards_ Wins Big at the BAFTA Awards](http://time.com/5165183/three-billboards-bafta-women-harassment/) ## Actress in a Supporting Role  As LaVona, some of Janney’s best moments take place when she’s acting opposite a bird NEON Mary J. Blige, _Mudbound |_ **Allison Janney,** **_I, Tonya_** _|_ Lesley Manville, _Phantom Thread |_ Laurie Metcalf, _Lady Bird |_ Octavia Spencer, _The Shape of Water_ Like the other acting frontrunners, Janney has been indomitable this awards season. Between her popularity in Hollywood and the splashiness of the role — the [woman spars with a parakeet](http://time.com/5027081/allison-janney-i-tonya-review/), for crying out loud — it’s a more obvious choice for voters than the closest contender, another very complicated albeit more nuanced mother played by Laurie Metcalf in _Lady Bird_. Either way, we’re pouring one out for [Tiffany Haddish](http://time.com/5112354/2018-oscar-nominations-snubs-surprises/). **MORE:** [The True Story Behind the Movie _I, Tonya_](http://time.com/5027311/i-tonya-movie-true-story/) ## Directing  Fox Searchlight Pictures Christopher Nolan, _Dunkirk_ _|_ Jordan Peele, _Get Out_ _|_ Greta Gerwig, _Lady Bird_ _|_ Paul Thomas Anderson_, Phantom Thread_ _|_ **Guillermo del Toro,** **_The Shape of Water_** This field is one of the most exciting of the 2018 Oscars: it includes two directors nominated for their debut features (Peele and Gerwig), one of whom would be the first black director to win and the other of whom would be the second woman. The remaining three are among the best established directors working today, and none of them has ever won the award. But del Toro is the likeliest candidate here, not least of all because he won the top honor at the Directors Guild of America Awards, and the Best Director Oscar has gone to the DGA winner all but seven times in the last 50 years. Del Toro is well respected by his peers and of all 13 nominations for _The Shape of Water_, this one feels like the likeliest win. **MORE**: [_Five Came Back_‘s Guillermo del Toro on World War II, Immigration and Real Monsters](http://time.com/4735229/guillermo-del-toro-five-came-back/) ## Writing (Original Screenplay)  Jordan Peele attends the 2018 Writers Guild Awards L.A. Ceremony at The Beverly Hilton Hotel on February 11, 2018 in Beverly Hills, California. Christopher Polk—Getty Images _The Big Sick_ _|_ **_Get Out_**_|_ _Lady Bird_ _|_ _The Shape of Water_ _|_ _Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri_ _Get Out_‘s best shot at a win Sunday night is in this category full of worthy entrants. It has been more than a year now since Jordan Peele’s social thriller hit theaters, and while it was arguably the defining movie of 2017, its ability to provoke and excite hasn’t dulled even as we’re well into 2018\. Its brilliance, of course, begins with Peele’s original, funny and terrifying writing, and, what’s more: who doesn’t want to hear what Peele has to say from that podium? **MORE:** [Jordan Peele: _Get Out_ Explores Why Black People Are Afraid of White People](http://time.com/4674152/jordan-peele-get-out-horror/) ## Writing (Adapted Screenplay)  The Italian villa in "Call Me By Your Name" is on the market for €1.7 million. Sony Pictures/Everett Collection **_Call Me By Your Name_**_|_ _The Disaster Artist_ _|_ _Logan_ _|_ _Molly’s Game_ _|_ _Mudbound_ Another Best Picture nominee with just a handful of other chances to win Sunday night, _Call Me By Your Name_ has its best shot with James Ivory’s adapted screenplay. Ivory, 89, was last nominated in 1994, for _Remains of the Day_. Though credit is also due to André Aciman, who wrote the novel from which Ivory adapted the screenplay, the film’s climactic father-son pep talk is one of the most memorable, heartrending monologues of the year, and much deserving of an Oscar. **MORE:** [_Call Me By Your Name_ and _The Shape of Water_ Fearlessly Display Love](http://time.com/5042707/call-me-by-your-name-shape-of-water-fearlessly-display-love/) ## Animated Feature Film  Coco Disney Pixar _The Boss Baby |_ _The Breadwinner |_ **_Coco_** _|_ _Ferdinand |_ _Loving Vincent_ Pixar’s celebration of family, memory and music is quite possibly the surest bet of the night. Universally beloved, the film has collected victory after victory on its way to Oscar night. The rest of the choices are divided among two films too niche to gain enough steam, and two that didn’t make enough of an impression on critics. And _Coco_ — energetic, vivid and celebratory — is a feel-good choice regardless of the competition. **MORE**: [Pixar’s Newest Star, Anthony Gonzalez, Can Do It All—And He’s 12](http://time.com/4931069/coco-pixar-anthony-gonzalez/) ## Foreign Language Film  Chilean actress Daniela Vega stars in 'A Fantastic Woman,' which is up for best foreign language film at the 2018 Academy Awards. Fabula **_A Fantastic Woman_**_|_ _An Insult_ _|_ _Loveless_ _|_ _On Body and Soul_ _|_ _The Square_ This one is by no means a shoo-in. But _A Fantastic Woman_ has made a star of lead actor Daniela Vega, who audience will meet on Sunday night — even if they haven’t seen the film — when she becomes the first trans presenter ever to grace the stage at the awards show. Its story about a nightclub singer in the aftermath of her older boyfriend’s death is a vibrant, humanizing portrait whose victory would be a satisfying conclusion to a close race. **MORE:** [This Oscar-Nominated Film Asks Viewers a Question: What Are You Seeing in Me?](http://time.com/5176136/oscars-2018-a-fantastic-woman-daniela-vega-sebastian-lelio/) ## Best Documentary Feature  Filmmaker Agnès Varda and French street artist JR co-directed Faces Places Cohen Media Group _Abacus: Small Enough to Jail |_ **_Faces Places_** _|_ _Icarus |_ _Last Men in Aleppo |_ _Strong Island_ It’s a delightful odd couple that’s hard to resist: 35-year-old street artist JR and 89-year-old French director Agnès Varda. Among a field of documentaries that deal with difficult subjects — financial crisis, doping scandals, civil war, a murder with no justice — their film stands out for its lighthearted and optimistic but very often poignant portrait of humanity. ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/5171517/2018-oscar-predictions/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/5171517/2018-oscar-predictions/"},"headline":"Here's Who Will Win at the 2018 Oscars","datePublished":"2018-03-02T15:16:42.000Z","dateModified":"2026-05-11T04:58:03.962Z","description":"Some shoo-ins and some wide open races","url":"https://time.com/5171517/2018-oscar-predictions/","keywords":["awards"],"thumbnailUrl":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt51de66681c1b3f47/698929638fd2ee1bd535ae02/oscars-guillermo-del-toro-jordan-peele-frances-mcdormand.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Eliza Berman","jobTitle":"Berman is a senior editor at TIME.","url":"https://time.com/author/eliza-berman/"}],"articleSection":"Entertainment","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt51de66681c1b3f47/698929638fd2ee1bd535ae02/oscars-guillermo-del-toro-jordan-peele-frances-mcdormand.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","width":1200,"height":675,"headline":"oscars-guillermo-del-toro-jordan-peele-frances-mcdormand","caption":"Director Guillermo Del Toro; Director Jordan Peele; Actress Frances McDormand","creditText":"Rob Latour—Shutterstock; Kevin Mazur—Getty Images; James Gourley—BAFTA/Shutterstock","representativeOfPage":true}],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Time","url":"https://time.com/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://time.com/images/logo.png","width":528,"height":156},"foundingDate":"March 3, 1923","sameAs":["https://www.facebook.com/time","https://www.instagram.com/time/?hl=en","https://twitter.com/time","https://www.pinterest.com/timemagazine"]}},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"/section/entertainment/","name":"Entertainment"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"/tag/awards/","name":"awards"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://time.com/5171517/2018-oscar-predictions/","name":"Here's Who Will Win at the 2018 Oscars"}}]}] ```