Hurricane Milton is barreling toward Florida, where it is projected to make landfall Wednesday night.
The storm has been downgraded to a Category 4 hurricane, but the National Hurricane Center (NHC) warns that Milton is still “extremely dangerous,” bringing intense storm surges that could cause catastrophic flooding along the coast and beyond. The hurricane is currently measuring maximum sustained winds near 145 miles per hour, with wind gusts that are even stronger, according to the NHC.
But what do meteorologists and news anchors actually mean when they talk about hurricane categories, like Category 1, Category 3, or Category 5?
Most people simply want to know how much water and wind to expect, and what a hurricane will mean for their safety. Hurricane categories can’t predict everything about a storm, but categories do give an indication of how a hurricane will affect people and property in its path.
Here’s what you need to know about hurricane categories.
Where do hurricane categories come from?
Hurricanes are measured on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale, which runs from Category 1 up to Category 5. According to The Weather Channel, the scale was developed in the 1970s by Miami engineer Herbert Saffir and Robert Simpson, a meteorologist who was director of the National Hurricane Center.
The hurricane category scale has evolved over time, but in its current version, it only measures the wind speeds produced by a hurricane. This means the different hurricane category designations won’t tell you about the flooding or tornadoes that might accompany hurricanes, but they can give you a sense of how strong a hurricane might be and what kind of threat they present.
Category 1: Very dangerous winds will produce some damage
In a Category 1 hurricane, winds range from 74 to 95 mph. Falling debris could strike people, livestock and pets, and older mobile homes could be destroyed. Protected glass windows will generally make it through the hurricane without major damage. Frame homes, apartments and shopping centers may experience some damage, and snapped power lines could result in short-term power outages.
Hurricane Sandy was a Category 3 hurricane when it passed through Cuba in 2012, weakening to a Category 1 by the time it reached the east coast of the U.S., though that did not stop it from exacting a devastating toll across multiple states.
Category 2: Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage
Winds range between 96 and 110 mph during a Category 2 hurricane. There is a bigger risk of injury or death to people, livestock and pets from flying debris. Older mobile homes will likely be destroyed, and debris can ruin newer mobile homes, too. Frame homes, apartment buildings and shopping centers may see major roof and siding damage, and many trees will be uprooted. Residents should expect near total power loss after a Category 2 hurricane, with outages lasting anywhere from a few days to a few weeks.
Hurricane Arthur in 2014 was a Category 2 hurricane when it made landfall along the North Carolina coast.
Category 3: Devastating damage will occur
In a Category 3 hurricane, winds range from 111 to 129 mph. There is a high risk of injury or death to people, livestock and pets from flying and falling debris. Nearly all older mobile homes will be destroyed, and most new ones will experience significant damage. Even well-built frame homes, apartments and industrial buildings will likely experience major damage, and the storm will uproot many trees that may block roads. Electricity and water will likely be unavailable for several days to a few weeks after the storm.
Hurricane Katrina was a Category 3 hurricane when it made landfall in Louisiana, but it also brought high levels of storm surge that levees in Louisiana and New Orleans couldn’t withstand—partly why it was so destructive.
Category 4: Catastrophic damage will occur
During a Category 4 hurricane, winds range from 130 to 156 mph. At these speeds, falling and flying debris poses a very high risk of injury or death to people, pets and livestock. Again, most mobile homes will be destroyed, even newer ones. Some frame homes may totally collapse, while well-built homes will likely see severe damage to their roofs, and apartment buildings can experience damage to upper floors.
A Category 4 hurricane will blow out most windows on high-rise buildings, uproot most trees and will likely down many power lines. Power outages can last for weeks or even months after storms of this level. Water shortages are also common in the aftermath of Category 4 hurricanes, potentially making the affected area uninhabitable for weeks or months.
Hurricane Hilary, which brought heavy rainfall and flooding to Southern California earlier this month, was a Category 4 hurricane in the Pacific, though it weakened to a tropical storm by the time it made landfall in Baja California, Mexico. Hurricane Ian, which hit Florida in 2022 and was the costliest hurricane in Florida’s history, was a Category 4 hurricane when it made landfall, weakening from a Category 5 prior.
Category 5: Catastrophic damage will occur
In a Category 5 hurricane, the highest category hurricane, winds are 157 mph or higher. People, livestock and pets can be in danger from flying debris, even indoors. Most mobile homes will be completely destroyed, and a high percentage of frame homes will be destroyed. Commercial buildings with wood roofs will experience severe damage, metal buildings may collapse and high-rise windows will nearly all be blown out.
A Category 5 hurricane is likely to uproot most trees and ruin most power poles. And like with Category 4 hurricanes, power outages will likely last for weeks to months. People should expect long-term water shortages.
There have only been four hurricanes that made landfall at Category 5 in the U.S. The 1935 “Labor Day” Hurricane, which slammed into the Florida Keys and claimed more than 400 lives, is believed to be the strongest storm ever recorded to make landfall in the U.S. In 1969, Hurricane Camille made landfall along the Mississippi coast, and caused floods and landslides in southwest Virginia. In 1992, Hurricane Andrew made landfall in South Miami-Dade County, Fla., and caused an estimated $26 billion in damage. And in 2018, Hurricane Michael brought catastrophic storm surges and destruction to infrastructure in the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend areas.
Category 6
There is no such thing as a Category 6 hurricane. When Hurricane Dorian hit the Bahamas in September 2019, it had maximum wind speeds of 185 mph. That’s a wind speed of about where hurricane scientist Jeff Masters says a Category 6 should start, but the Saffir-Simpson scale only goes up to 5.
Some people have been talking about creating a Category 6 hurricane designation, with the climate crisis making catastrophic storms more common and each level on the scale meant to approximate the increasing wind damage, but a Category 5 already means near total destruction. So while there is a measurement difference between 157 mph winds and 200 mph winds, there may not be much practical difference in terms of destructive force between a Category 5 hurricane and what might be labeled as a Category 6 hurricane.
The problem with hurricane categories
There is a key problem with how hurricane categories are measured: The Saffir-Simpson scale only takes into account a storm’s maximum sustained windspeed, and disregards other threats, like expected rainfall or storm surge. Even a Category 1 hurricane or a tropical storm can bring serious damage and risk to life and limb, but people in their path may underestimate the danger they pose because of how they’re categorized. An alternative to the Saffir-Simpson Scale is AccuWeather’s “RealImpact Scale,” which takes other metrics besides wind speed into account.
—With additional reporting by Solcyré Burga/New York
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