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---
title: Iowa Caucus Polls: Donald Trump, Bernie Sanders Lead Late
description: A new Quinnipiac University surveys finds support higher for the two candidates among first-timers
canonical: https://time.com/4202291/iowa-caucus-polls-donald-trump-bernie-sanders-ted-cruz-hillary-clinton/
author: Maya Rhodan
article:opinion: false
article:content_tier: free
article:published_time: 2016-02-01T16:06:46.000Z
article:modified_time: 2026-08-19T07:46:37.752Z
article:section: Politics
og:title: Trump, Sanders See Iowa Boost in Late Poll
og:description: A new survey finds support higher for the two candidates among first-timers
og:url: https://time.com/4202291/iowa-caucus-polls-donald-trump-bernie-sanders-ted-cruz-hillary-clinton/
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og:image:height: 334
og:image:alt: Bernie Sanders Campaigns Across Iowa Ahead Of Caucuses
og:type: article
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twitter:title: Trump, Sanders See Iowa Boost in Late Poll
twitter:description: A new survey finds support higher for the two candidates among first-timers
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# Trump, Sanders See Iowa Boost From First-time Caucus-goers in Late Poll

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by 

[Maya Rhodan](https://time.com/author/maya-rhodan/)


## Maya Rhodan


Feb 1, 2016 4:06 PM UTC

![Bernie Sanders Campaigns Across Iowa Ahead Of Caucuses](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltfbe5c36441845a40/69887b88bc6cfcf19c3db851/507822384.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=3:2)

Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) greets voters during a campaign event at Grand View University January 31, 2016 in Des Moines, Iowa. Sanders hosted his last public campaign event for the Democratic nomination prior to the Iowa caucus on February 1\. Alex Wong—Getty Images

Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) greets voters during a campaign event at Grand View University January 31, 2016 in Des Moines, Iowa. Sanders hosted his last public campaign event for the Democratic nomination prior to the Iowa caucus on February 1\. Alex Wong—Getty Images Alex Wong—Getty Images

by 

[Maya Rhodan](https://time.com/author/maya-rhodan/)


## Maya Rhodan


Feb 1, 2016 4:06 PM UTC

A big turnout of first time caucus-goers could mean success for [Donald Trump](http://time.com/4201624/donald-trump-family-iowa-ivanka/?xid=homepage) and [Sen. Bernie Sanders](http://time.com/4201806/hillary-clinton-martin-omalley-bernie-sanders-iowa/?xid=homepage) at [the Iowa caucuses](http://time.com/4198842/iowa-caucuses-answers/?xid=homepage) on Monday night, [according to a new poll](http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2320).

The Quinnipiac University survey released Monday just hours before the caucus found Trump jumping out to seven-point lead (31%-24%) against Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in the Republican race, while Sanders edges out Hillary Clinton by three points—49%-46%, within the margin of error—in the Democratic race. The poll found that support for both candidates is higher among first-time caucus-goers than it is among those who have attended prior events. Both insurgent candidates are counting on a high turnout to prevail on Monday.

Among voters who are new to the caucus process, a group that is notoriously hard to turn out, Trump’s lead over Cruz widens to 18 points, and Sanders’ lead over Clinton widens to 27 points, according to the poll.

Most surveys in recent days, including [the highly-respected Des Moines _Register_ pol](http://time.com/4201333/iowa-poll-donald-trump-hillary-clinton/)l, have showed Trump ahead of Cruz. Polls have forecast a closer Democratic race, with Sanders leading some surveys and Clinton leading others.

The Quinnipiac University survey of 890 likely Republican caucus-goers and 919 likely Democratic caucus-goers, conducted Jan. 25-31, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.3 percentage points for Republicans and 3.2 percent for Democrats.

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