By Justin Worland and Lon Tweeten
October 23, 2015

Weather across the U.S. this past year has been one for the record books, from an historic drought in California to extreme snow in New England. Now, as October nears its end, TIME looked at what the forecasts show for the coming winter.

The forecast brings both welcome and unwelcome news. New Englanders and Mid-Atlantic residents, for instance, should be happy that they’ll avoid some of the icy cold that froze the region last winter. Californians are likely to receive heavy rain but not enough to resolve the state’s drought.

Related: Celebrate Winter With 16 Vintage Snowman Photos

Across the country, El Niño is driving much of this year’s weather patterns. The climate phenomenon raises temperatures across the globe and changes the way air circulates. In the U.S., this typically means heavy rain in the south and lower temperatures across much of the country.

See below for more on what to expect:

 

Write to Justin Worland at justin.worland@time.com and Lon Tweeten at lon_tweeten@timemagazine.com.

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