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title: Winter Weather: Warm Arctic Drives Cold in North America
description: Warm winters in the Arctic may contribute to colder winters in the United States and Europe, according to new research
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og:title: Winter Weather: Warm Arctic Drives Cold in North America
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![](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt703e252e7c86a0f5/6988abbecf40a8e349c4553a/polar-vortex-winter-weather-climate-change.jpeg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9)


# How Warm Winters in the Arctic Make Colder Ones for You

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## TIME Future Proof: Reference Facts and FAQ

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Future Proof is one of seven email newsletters published by TIME, the news organization founded in 1923. Making sense of the climate and energy economy. Future Proof examines the forces transforming energy and climate, and what those changes mean for business, technology, policy and the global economy. Senior correspondent Justin Worland goes beyond traditional climate coverage to connect the energy transition to the bigger decisions reshaping companies, markets and society. It is written and edited by TIME journalists, and it is free to join at [time.com/newsletters](/c/time-nl-futureproof-2026q3/newsletters?i=8133f145-1f5b-4a89-b071-b3e5f0c1d302&cr=time-nl-futureproof-2026q3-v1).

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#### Where can I follow the energy transition as a business story?

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![Justin Worland](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltce43820e61634237/698a0e76457a527422d63fe7/TIME-JustinWorland.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1:1)

by 

[Justin Worland](https://time.com/author/justin-worland/)


![Justin Worland](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltce43820e61634237/698a0e76457a527422d63fe7/TIME-JustinWorland.jpg?branch=production&width=96&quality=75&auto=webp)

## Justin Worland


Senior Correspondent

Oct 27, 2016 12:41 PM UTC

![polar vortex winter weather climate change](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt703e252e7c86a0f5/6988abbecf40a8e349c4553a/polar-vortex-winter-weather-climate-change.jpeg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=3:2)

A snowplow clears a city street during a very heavy snowfall.

A snowplow clears a city street during a very heavy snowfall. shaunl—Getty Images

![Justin Worland](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltce43820e61634237/698a0e76457a527422d63fe7/TIME-JustinWorland.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1:1)

by 

[Justin Worland](https://time.com/author/justin-worland/)


![Justin Worland](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltce43820e61634237/698a0e76457a527422d63fe7/TIME-JustinWorland.jpg?branch=production&width=96&quality=75&auto=webp)

## Justin Worland


Senior Correspondent

Oct 27, 2016 12:41 PM UTC

Warm winters in the Arctic may contribute to colder winters in the United States and Europe, according to new [research](http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nclimate3136.html).

The study, published in the journal _Nature Climate Change_, shows that the Arctic [polar vortex](http://time.com/3513033/polar-vortex-winter/)—a large pressure system—has been shifting away from North America toward Europe over the past several decades. That in turn has allowed cold temperatures to seep downwards, making for frigid winters in North America and the United Kingdom while the Arctic experiences unprecedented warmth.

“Climate change can lead to extremes; it’s not like a regular change, everyone to the same extent at all times and places,” study author Martyn Chipperfield, an atmospheric chemistry professor at the University of Leeds, [told](https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/dreaded-polar-vortex-may-be-shifting/) ClimateWire. “Despite the overall warming, you can get in places like the Northeastern U.S. extreme cold events.”’

**Read More:** [See What Winter Will Be Like Where You Live](http://time.com/4543546/winter-weather-forecast-rain-snow/)

The shift in the polar vortex, which has occurred over the last three decades, is a result of a complex set of mechanisms related to global warming, according to the research. Melting sea ice, for one, contributes to the shift.

The continued movement of the polar vortex could make for colder winters in the northern part of the United States in coming years even as global warming continues at a rapid pace. (Weather forecasters [expect](http://time.com/4543546/winter-weather-forecast-rain-snow/?iid=sr-link1) a colder than average winter in the Northeast this year). [Temperatures](http://time.com/4261719/february-heat-records-climate-change/) in the Arctic hit as high as 16°C (29°F) above average last winter.


Scientists called attention to the effects of Arctic warming on weather patterns in highly populated areas in North America and Europe in a perspectives article this week in _Nature Climate Change_. “Understanding and ultimately anticipating the role of rapid Arctic warming on changing mid-latitude weather patterns is a grand scientific challenge,” the scientists said. “The potential societal and economic benefits are enormous.”

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