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---
title: South Carolina Primary and Nevada Caucus Results
description: Southern voters their first chance to weigh in on the GOP race, while Hispanics get their voice in Nevada&#x27;s Democratic caucuses.
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article:published_time: 2016-02-20T03:47:26.000Z
article:modified_time: 2026-08-19T07:41:59.203Z
article:section: Politics
og:title: 9 Questions for the South Carolina and Nevada Elections
og:description: For the GOP, the first look in the South. For Democrats, an intro to diversity.
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og:image:alt: Shadows are reflected on an American Flag as people line up to speak with Ohio Governor and Republican presidential candidate John Kasich at a restaurant in South Carolina following his second place showing in the New Hampshire primary on February 11, 20
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twitter:title: 9 Questions for the South Carolina and Nevada Elections
twitter:description: For the GOP, the first look in the South. For Democrats, an intro to diversity.
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![](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blte8929429b60f3638/69887e6ba988ca50296b6ab0/south-carolina-nevada.jpg?branch=production&width=594&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9)


# 9 Questions for the South Carolina and Nevada Elections

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<!-- video src="https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/S9i1qLfH.m3u8" -->
## Video: Top Social Moments In the CBS GOP Debate

[Watch (HLS stream): Top Social Moments In the CBS GOP Debate](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/S9i1qLfH.m3u8) (2:58)

![Top Social Moments In the CBS GOP Debate](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/S9i1qLfH/poster.jpg?width=720)

_Published 2016-02-14_


by 

[TIME Staff](https://time.com/author/time-staff/)


## TIME Staff


Feb 20, 2016 3:47 AM UTC

![Shadows are reflected on an American Flag as people line up to speak with Ohio Governor and Republican presidential candidate John Kasich at a restaurant in South Carolina following his second place showing in the New Hampshire primary on February 11, 20](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blte8929429b60f3638/69887e6ba988ca50296b6ab0/south-carolina-nevada.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=3:2)

People line up to speak with John Kasich at a restaurant in South Carolina on Feb. 11, 2016.

People line up to speak with John Kasich at a restaurant in South Carolina on Feb. 11, 2016. Spencer Platt—Getty Images

by 

[TIME Staff](https://time.com/author/time-staff/)


## TIME Staff


Feb 20, 2016 3:47 AM UTC

The Republican and Democratic presidential races will see two dramatic decisions in two very different states Saturday as South Carolina and Nevada vote.

In the Palmetto State’s Republican primary, the six remaining candidates will be [eager to leave after a brutal and bruising fight](http://time.com/4230200/south-carolina-republican-primary-trump-cruz-rubio-carson-bush/) in the first Southern primary. In Nevada’s Democratic caucuses, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders will face a major test of he fares with Latino voters.

In both cases, the votes will be more about the perception of winning than racking up actual delegates.

For Republicans, South Carolina offers 50 pledged delegates, about 2% of the [convention](http://time.com/4229062/donald-trump-republican-convention-ted-cruz/) total, of which 29 will will be awarded to the highest statewide vote getter, and three will be awarded to the higher vote getter in each of the state’s seven congressional districts. The hybrid system may allow multiple candidates to find a reason to claim success.

On the Democratic side, 35 delegates are up for grabs in Nevada, to be divided proportionally between Sanders and Clinton, with the sum representing under 1% of the delegates to the Democratic National Convention.

Here are nine questions to watch as results come in from the two states Saturday.

**How does Trump do in South Carolina?**

Polls show frontrunner Donald [Trump](http://time.com/4228613/donald-trump-political-attacks-msnbc/) well ahead in South Carolina, as they have for months. But they said the same in Iowa, where conservatives and evangelical Christian voters helped power Texas Sen. Ted Cruz to a win.

Cruz has been making an aggressive play for the same voters here, and he has a vastly superior political machine to find them and get them to the polling locations between 7 a.m. and 7 p.m..


Another reason to worry inside the Trump campaign? One national poll found the pair was tied. It hinted that, just maybe, Trump was starting to show signs that he should slow down his plans to remodel the White House.

**Which Republican has a glass jaw?**

Ahead of the voting, the campaigns had already proved why South Carolina’s contests are known for their nastiness. An adviser to Cruz [admitted](http://time.com/4227499/ted-cruz-marco-rubio-south-carolina-campaign/) it was the meanest he’s ever seen South Carolina—and then continued to trash rising rival Marco Rubio.

On talk radio, Christian radio and country stations, it’s impossible to avoid the barrage of ads from the candidates and the super PACs. It’s even worse on television. The results Saturday night will show which Republican is most susceptible to the negative attacks.

**Who wins the religious right?**

Cruz has made his Christianity central to his campaign in faith-forward South Carolina, including headlining an arena concert for Christian radio. Rubio, too, has [emphasized](http://time.com/4224561/marco-rubio-south-carolina-faith-christianity-religion-prayer/) his faith and seemed to be heading toward a better finish than his disappointing fifth in New Hampshire.


Religious voters have great sway in South Carolina; in 2012, 65% of Republican primary voters identified themselves in exit polls as Evangelical or Born Again—enough to deliver a win if they vote as a bloc. These voters could offer clues as to how their brethren will vote in other conservative Southern states that vote on March 1.

**Can Jeb Bush survive?**

Perhaps the man with the most to lose from the expectations game was Jeb Bush, the former frontrunner who has been limping for weeks. His campaign made New Hampshire his firewall, the place where he could change-up the race and prove he could get votes. He finished fourth and reset the expectations to South Carolina.


Then Bush struggled here, too. He deployed his [brother](http://time.com/4225033/george-w-bush-counter-punches-donald-trump-at-jeb-rally/), a former President, and his mother, a former First Lady. He campaigned with South Carolina’s senior Senator, Lindsey Graham. Yet he also proved he’s not a terrific fighter of a hand-to-hand campaign. His campaign, meanwhile, was besieged by rumors that it was out of money, that Bush was dropping out, that a vote for Bush was a waste, given how little traction he had made.

Bush has scheduled events in Nevada on Sunday and Monday, and the debate in Houston, his parents’ backyard, on Thursday, may keep him in the race through then. But to avoid a crush of calls to drop out of the race, Bush must pull within a couple of points of Rubio in South Carolina, and he needs a win to truly invigorate his campaign. At stake? The Bushes role as a 21st Century political dynasty.

**Can Rubio win the Establishment nod?**

After a disastrous finish in New Hampshire, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio has [fought](http://time.com/4230230/marco-rubio-nikki-haley-tim-scott-endorsement-diversity/) his way back, as aides allowed their carefully-managed candidate to put his raw talent on display. He held forth with the press, and appeared more comfortable with voters as he locked in the coveted endorsement of South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley.


Rubio needs a strong third place finish—at minimum—in the state, in order to begin to consolidate the not-Trump, not-Cruz alternative support. Any underperformance would raise questions about his ability to compete in the long haul, as all the establishment candidates are short on money going into the more expensive Super Tuesday states. Rubio was desperately trying to make this a three-person race in voters’ minds.

**How does the back of the pack do?**

No one had high expectations for two other Republicans in the race: retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and Ohio Gov. John Kasich. Carson was a non-factor in the state—other than talk radio—and Kasich decamped for campaign events in Massachusetts and Vermont on primary day. Both might have fared well in a state with many religious voters and snowbirds, but didn’t see a path to victory.

Critically, though, both may prove to be spoilers, with Kasich depriving Bush or Rubio of needed votes to win majorities in more moderate congressional districts, and Carson doing the same for Cruz in more conservative areas.


The question is if they’ll want to renew those roles in future states. Carson has vowed to stay in the race all the way until the convention in Cleveland, and Kasich is expected to be around through Ohio’s March 15 primary.

**How does Clinton do in Nevada?**

Is Hillary Clinton’s [firewall](http://time.com/4215117/new-hampshire-primary-results-bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-fight/) holding? The Democratic front-runner has bet that she can hold together the Obama coalition of minority voters to defend against Bernie Sanders’ insurgent candidacy.

After the very-white Iowa and New Hampshire, Nevada will be the first test for that strategy and a preview of the far more important South Carolina contest for Democrats next Saturday. With so little public polling about the caucuses—and so few people participating in them—it was anyone’s guess as to how Hispanic voters would break.

**Can Sanders improve his performance among Latinos?**

After strong performances in the lily-white states of Iowa and New Hampshire, Nevada’s Democratic [caucus](http://time.com/4230759/bernie-sanders-hillary-clinton-latino-nevada/) on Saturday will be Bernie Sanders’ first chance to prove he can do well with minority [voters](http://time.com/4226723/bernie-sanders-black-voters-south-carolina/), particularly Latinos, who made up 15% of the electorate in the 2008 primary.


Polling data in Nevada is scarce, but Sanders appears to be making inroads among [Latinos](http://time.com/4228654/clinton-campaign-ad-nevada-caucuses/), particularly younger voters. His message of income inequality and fighting political corruption—as well as support for tuition-free public college—resonates with millennials across racial lines.

**How does Clinton do with women voters?**

Clinton will be hoping to win a majority of women voters in Nevada after losing the demographic in New Hampshire to Sanders. Her outspoken female surrogates Gloria Steinem and Madeline Albright have sometimes gotten her into more trouble with younger women than they’ve helped: Steinem suggested in New Hampshire that young women were supporting Sanders to chase the boys, and Albright said there is “a special place in hell for women who don’t support other women.”

The question for millennial Nevadans: How badly do they want to see a woman president?

_With reporting by Sam Frizell in Las Vegas, Zeke J. Miller in Columbia, S.C., and Philip Elliott in Charleston, S.C._


## Transcript

Let me just tell you this Jeb is so wrong Jeb is absolutely so [ APPLAUSE ] just so you understand you know who that is that's Jeb's special interest and lobbyist talking. Look let me just tell you something Jeb [ APPLAUSE ] Jeb is so wrong. You gotta fight ISIS first. Marco went on Univision in spanish and said he would not resend President Obama's illegal executive amnesty on his first day in office. I have promised to resend Every single illegal executive action, including that one. [ APPLAUSE ] And on the question [ CROSSTALK ] First of all, I don't know how he knows What I said on Univision, because he doesn't speak Spanish.

And second of all- [ LAUGH ] [ APPLAUSE ] The other point that I would make here- [ FOREIGN ] [ CROSSTALK ] When I announced that I was running for president on June 16th, illegal immigration wasn't even as subject. If I didn't bring it up, we wouldn't even be talking. Now I don't often agree with Marco, and I don't often agree with Ted. But, I can, in this case. The weakest person on this stage, by far, on illegal immigration, is Jeb Bush. They come out of an act of love. Whether you like it or not, he is So weak on illegal immigration, it's laughable, and everybody knows it. Right now, today, as a candidate, he supports federal taxpayer funding for Planned Parenthood.

I disagree with him, on that. That's a matter of principle. And, I'll tell you- You are the single biggest liar. You, probably, are worse than Jeb Bush. You are the single biggest liar. All right. This guy lied. Let me just tell you, we had robo calls saying Donald Trump is not going to run in South Carolina where I'm leading by a lot. I'm not gonna run, vote for Ted Cruz. This is the same thing he did to Ben Carson. This guy will say anything. Nasty guy, now I know why he doesn't have one endorsement from any of his colleagues << John I get to respond right? Pick from the buffet He's a nasty guy

>> But let me say more broadly, you notice Donald didn't disagree with the substance that he supports tax payer funding for planned parenthood and Donald has this weird pattern When you point to his own record, he screams, liar, liar, liar. If you want to go and watch- Where did I support it? Where did I support it? Hey, Ted, where did I support it? If you want to go and watch the video, go to our website, Tedcruz. org. You can see it out of Donald's own mouth. Don't tell me about a video. When we- When did I support it? You supported it when we were battling over defunding Planned Parenthood.

You went on Television and said That's a lot of nonsense. Planned Parenthood does wonderful things and we should not defund them. It does do wonderful things but not as it relates to abortion. So, tell me what are the wonderful things? Excuse me! What are the wonderful things? Excuse me! There are wonderful things having to with women's health. [ CROSSTALK ] But not when it comes to abortion. [ CROSSTALK ] John, the reason principle matters

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