--- title: Modi's Unraveling Has Begun description: Stripped of a majority for the first time, the Indian Prime Minister faces a host of challenges—not least navigating coalition politics. canonical: https://time.com/6985816/modi-unraveling-india-election/ author: Salil Tripathi article:opinion: true article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2024-06-05T16:48:59.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-10-19T07:43:11.116Z article:section: Ideas og:title: Modi's Unraveling Has Begun og:description: Stripped of a majority for the first time, the Indian Prime Minister faces a host of challenges—not least navigating coalition politics. og:url: https://time.com/6985816/modi-unraveling-india-election/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt6238fc4c3107d919/698a5794457a526fe0d6a63e/modi-india-election-result-1.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 2400 og:image:height: 1350 og:image:alt: modi-india-election-result-1 og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: Modi's Unraveling Has Begun twitter:description: Stripped of a majority for the first time, the Indian Prime Minister faces a host of challenges—not least navigating coalition politics. twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt6238fc4c3107d919/698a5794457a526fe0d6a63e/modi-india-election-result-1.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  # Modi's Unraveling Has Begun > Sponsored content. 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Narendra Modi’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is leading in the 2024 Indian election as the results trickle in on Tuesday, but early trends suggest the Prime Minister’s government may not win the two-thirds supermajority predicted by exit polls._ by [Salil Tripathi](https://time.com/author/salil-tripathi/) ## Salil Tripathi Contributor Salil Tripathi is an Indian-born writer based in New York and a member of the board of PEN International. Jun 5, 2024 4:48 PM UTC Narendra Modi’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is leading in the 2024 Indian election as the results trickle in on Tuesday, but early trends suggest the Prime Minister’s government may not win the two-thirds supermajority predicted by exit polls. by [Salil Tripathi](https://time.com/author/salil-tripathi/) ## Salil Tripathi Contributor Salil Tripathi is an Indian-born writer based in New York and a member of the board of PEN International. Jun 5, 2024 4:48 PM UTC There is nothing surprising about a Prime Minister seeking a third consecutive term [returning to power](https://time.com/6985447/india-election-results-modi-bjp/) with a weakened mandate. Voter fatigue and anti-incumbency factors can erode margins. That Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party is projected to win 240 parliamentary seats (out of 543) in India, though short of a majority, would be considered a good outcome in most other settings. The BJP’s vote share [fell](https://time.com/6985324/india-election-results-2/) but it has still won more seats than the entire opposition I.N.D.I.A. alliance put together. And yet, an opposition that has struggled against the electoral might of Modi’s BJP’s since he first took office in 2014 is rightly celebrating, seeing hopes of future victories even as it is defeated. Modi’s victory is Pyrrhic; the 73-year-old’s decline now seems inevitable. That may be why Modi’s [post-election speech](https://www.npr.org/2024/06/04/nx-s1-4991657/india-election-modi-win) sounded subdued. He had made the campaign all about him, as if it was a [personal referendum](https://apnews.com/live/india-election-results-updates). He toured across the country, and the BJP had a triumphalist (and now hubristic) slogan, _Ab ki baar, charso paar_ (“This time, beyond 400”), which referred to his goal of [winning a supermajority](https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/india-election-modi-bjp-lost-majority-election-surprise-rcna155557) in parliament. It’s a prospect that alarmed many, who feared Modi might introduce amendments to the constitution, changing India’s [secular character](https://asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/India-is-still-an-officially-secular-nation-but-maybe-not-for-long). In the end, voters chose otherwise. Many BJP leaders were defeated, and the party lost support in key states such as Maharashtra. Worse, given the BJP’s openly Hindu nationalist campaign, it lost [Faizabad](https://www.independent.co.uk/asia/india/bjp-lost-ayodhya-india-elections-ram-mandir-b2557081.html), the constituency where Modi inaugurated a [controversial grand temple](https://time.com/6564148/ayodhya-ram-temple-modi-india/) in [Ayodhya](https://time.com/6564070/india-modi-temple-ram/) in January this year, on the ruins of the Babri Masjid. His margin of victory in his own constituency, Varanasi, dropped sharply; [Rahul Gandhi](https://time.com/6249940/bharat-jodo-yatra-rahul-gandhi/), the Congress Party leader Modi has repeatedly ridiculed, won both his seats handsomely. **Read More:** [_The Message the Ram Temple Sends Muslims Like Me_](https://time.com/6564244/india-ayodhya-ram-temple-muslims/)  Mallikarjun Kharge, President of Indian National Congress party, addresses a gathering after a meeting of the I.N.D.I.A. opposition alliance, as Sonia Gandhi, center left, and son Rahul Gandhi, second from right, look on in New Delhi on June 5. Money Sharma—AFP/Getty Images All of this has major consequences for India and its voters. To be sure, Modi’s personal popularity has not disappeared: 75% of Indians [approved](https://indianexpress.com/article/india/pm-modis-approval-rating-soars-by-febuary-2024-9197768/) of him in a February poll. But for a leader who rules by projecting invincibility and fear, who claims credit for almost anything that happens in India, the blame for anything that goes wrong must also rest with him. Instead of campaigning on how he would tackle challenges—such as rising [inequality](https://time.com/6961171/india-british-rule-income-inequality/), [growing hunger](https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/southasia/2023/02/27/stuffed-granaries-and-empty-stomachs-hunger-in-india/) among the poor, and [rising temperatures](https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2013/06/19/india-climate-change-impacts) and its worst effects—he stoked fears among voters. That included [claiming](https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/lok-sabha-elections-2024-pm-narendra-modi-invokes-manmohan-singhs-muslim-remark-to-jab-congress-party-rebuts-5492647) that the opposition would take away Indians’ wealth and distribute it to “infiltrators” (coded language for Muslims), and [suggesting](https://www.scmp.com/week-asia/politics/article/3264747/india-modis-claim-god-bestowing-him-energy-sparks-ridicule-rivals-memes) he was divinely chosen to lead India. The domestic agenda is daunting, and it includes precisely the issues Modi did not address during the campaign. Governing a parliamentary coalition is an art, which requires compromises and respecting alliance partners. As a septuagenarian, it is difficult to imagine Modi navigating that well. Modi has antagonized many people across a wide spectrum over the years—not least by threatening rivals with [raids and jailing opposition politicians](https://www.channel4.com/news/india-election-modi-rivals-hit-by-string-of-raids-and-arrests). Without a majority in parliament, he is vulnerable like no previous point. Indian politics has suddenly become more interesting.  Workers carry a cutout of Modi at the party headquarters in New Delhi, June 4. Manish Swarup—AP **Read More:** [_What Modi 3.0 Means for the World_](https://time.com/6985284/india-modi-reelection-significance/) To his credit, Modi has pushed major investments in infrastructure over the past decade. More highways, toll roads, and [bridges](https://www.reuters.com/world/india/mumbai-gets-makeover-india-binges-bridges-roads-rail-2024-01-11/) have been [built](https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/national-highway-construction-set-to-touch-95000-km-in-10-years-of-modi-government/articleshow/108117513.cms). [Faster trains](https://eturbonews.com/india-starts-building-its-own-high-speed-bullet-trains/) are being made. There is an [aviation boom](https://www.economist.com/asia/2023/11/23/india-is-seeing-a-massive-aviation-boom) and airports are getting an upgrade. More [malls](https://www.deccanchronicle.com/business/latest/surge-in-mall-space-expected-across-indian-cities-in-2024-led-by-hyderabad-889335#:~:text=In%202023%2C%20top%20eight%20cities,the%20year%20end%20in%20Hyderabad.) are emerging in cities. There are more universities and hospitals. And the [metro network](https://www.news18.com/auto/indias-metro-to-become-worlds-second-biggest-network-heres-why-8864753.html) has grown. But many of these projects improve the lives of the wealthy, the upper-middle class, and the aspirational middle class. While India has 1.4 billion people, the percentage of Indians who can afford a modern middle class lifestyle is pitifully small. At 432 million, [the Indian middle class](https://eastasiaforum.org/2024/05/21/understanding-indias-evolving-middle-classes/#:~:text=If%20using%20a%20higher%20income,14%20per%20cent%20in%202005.) appears bigger than the U.S. population. But the threshold of high income for that estimate begins at a mere salary of $17 a day. Modi's domestic priorities, then, will need to focus on poorer Indians—creating jobs, increasing access to education, rejuvenating farms, tackling the climate crisis, and making it easier for people to run businesses. As Modi begins what may be his final term as Prime Minister on June 8, he will have to move away from his baser instincts, which are to [divide](https://time.com/5586415/india-election-narendra-modi-2019/) people with contentious policies driven by religious and cultural practices and maintain [a personality cult](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/apr/19/messianic-spell-how-narendra-modi-created-a-cult-personality) around him. Whether he is capable of that shift will decide whether India will be a happy place, or continue to be affected by strife. ## Transcript [00:32] A B Mangah [00:40] Adika [00:50] Tara [01:24] A. ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"OpinionNewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/6985816/modi-unraveling-india-election/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/6985816/modi-unraveling-india-election/"},"headline":"Modi's Unraveling Has Begun","datePublished":"2024-06-05T16:48:59.000Z","dateModified":"2026-10-19T07:43:11.116Z","description":"Stripped of a majority for the first time, the Indian Prime Minister faces a host of challenges—not least navigating coalition politics.","url":"https://time.com/6985816/modi-unraveling-india-election/","keywords":["world affairs"],"thumbnailUrl":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt6238fc4c3107d919/698a5794457a526fe0d6a63e/modi-india-election-result-1.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Salil Tripathi","jobTitle":"Contributor","url":"https://time.com/author/salil-tripathi/"}],"articleSection":"Ideas","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt6238fc4c3107d919/698a5794457a526fe0d6a63e/modi-india-election-result-1.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","width":1200,"height":675,"headline":"modi-india-election-result-1","caption":"Prime Minister Narendra Modi is greeted by supporters as he arrives at Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) headquarters in New Delhi on June 4, 2024.","creditText":"Manish Swarup—AP","representativeOfPage":true}],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Time","url":"https://time.com/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://time.com/images/logo.png","width":528,"height":156},"foundingDate":"March 3, 1923","sameAs":["https://www.facebook.com/time","https://www.instagram.com/time/?hl=en","https://twitter.com/time","https://www.pinterest.com/timemagazine"]}},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"https://time.com/section/ideas/","name":"Ideas"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"https://time.com/tag/world-affairs/","name":"world affairs"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://time.com/6985816/modi-unraveling-india-election/","name":"Modi's Unraveling Has Begun"}}]},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"VideoObject","name":"Narendra Modi Secured a Third Term as India’s Prime Minister—But With Less Power Than Expected","description":"Narendra Modi’s ruling Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is leading in the 2024 Indian election as the results trickle in on Tuesday, but early trends suggest the Prime Minister’s government may not win the two-thirds supermajority predicted by exit polls.","thumbnailUrl":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/BM69wZRk/poster.jpg?width=720","uploadDate":"2024-06-04T18:22:23.000Z","contentUrl":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/BM69wZRk.m3u8","embedUrl":"https://time.com/6985816/modi-unraveling-india-election/","duration":"PT1M38S","potentialAction":{"@type":"SeekToAction","target":"https://time.com/6985816/modi-unraveling-india-election/?jw_start={seek_to_second_number}","startOffset-input":"required name=seek_to_second_number"}}] ```