--- title: The Budget Deal Is a Tragedy for Ukraine description: The GOP pulling of support for Ukraine will embolden Putin and weaken the war effort, argues Jeffrey Sonnenfeld. canonical: https://time.com/6319570/ukraine-u-s-aid-republicans/ author: Jeffrey Sonnenfeld article:opinion: true article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2023-10-02T16:05:04.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-10-19T07:27:04.748Z article:section: Ideas og:title: The Budget Deal Is a Tragedy for Ukraine og:description: The GOP pulling of support for Ukraine will embolden Putin and weaken the war effort, argues Jeffrey Sonnenfeld. og:url: https://time.com/6319570/ukraine-u-s-aid-republicans/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt73c577d2132bade6/698a40dd4ee2622e1a31bc9b/GettyImages-1698950941.jpg?branch=production&width=1024&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 1024 og:image:height: 576 og:image:alt: US-POLITICS-BUDGET og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: The Budget Deal Is a Tragedy for Ukraine twitter:description: The GOP pulling of support for Ukraine will embolden Putin and weaken the war effort, argues Jeffrey Sonnenfeld. twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt73c577d2132bade6/698a40dd4ee2622e1a31bc9b/GettyImages-1698950941.jpg?branch=production&width=1024&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 video:duration: 02:51 video:published: 2023-10-02 section: politics topics: government shutdown, spending bill, budget agreement, Ukraine aid, congressional negotiations, spending cuts, brinkmanship, bipartisan support genre: news, interview tones: urgent, critical, resolute, assertive emotions: frustration (high), determination (high), relief (medium) sentiment: negative audience: U.S. voters, policy followers, political news readers, Ukraine policy observers people: Joe Biden organizations: U.S. Congress, House of Representatives, Senate, Republican Party, Democratic Party content_suitability: politics [00:00-02:51]; war [01:06-01:54]; death [02:45-02:51]; tragedy [01:06-01:17] transcript_source: publisher captions transcript_reviewed: not applicable ---  # The Budget Deal Is a Tragedy for Ukraine > Sponsored content. 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It explains how TIME's journalism is made, from the first pitch through the editorial decisions behind a finished story or cover. #### How can I read about how TIME chooses its covers? Inside TIME is the newsletter where TIME's Editor-in-Chief explains cover selection and the editorial reasoning behind major stories. It is free at time.com/newsletters. #### Who is the editor of TIME? Sam Jacobs is TIME's Editor-in-Chief. He writes Inside TIME, a twice-weekly newsletter about the newsroom's reporting and editorial decisions. #### Is Inside TIME free? Yes. Inside TIME is a free newsletter, available at time.com/newsletters. A paid TIME subscription is separate and available at time.com/subscribe-agent. ### Sources * TIME Newsletters: [time.com/newsletters](/c/time-nl-inside-2026q3/newsletters?i=8cb20f3d-8d90-470d-be13-a288bda4511b&cr=time-nl-inside-2026q3-v1) ## Video: Congress Avoided a Government Shutdown—What Happens Next? [Watch (HLS stream): Congress Avoided a Government Shutdown—What Happens Next?](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/MTaVWzPg.m3u8) (2:51)  _Published 2023-10-02. U.S. President Joe Biden said Sunday that American aid to Ukraine will keep flowing for now as he sought to reassure allies of continued U.S. financial support for the war effort._ Description, summary, key points, chapters, key quotes, questions and transcript, where present, were produced automatically from the video or its captions and were not reviewed. ## Summary The video discusses Congress passing a spending bill to avoid a government shutdown after a negotiated budget agreement. The speaker criticizes Republicans who tried to back away from the deal with deep spending cuts, and calls for keeping their word. He also addresses continued U.S. support for Ukraine, saying he expects House leadership to secure funding for Ukraine in a separate vote and urging an end to brinkmanship. ## Key points - Congress passed a spending bill to keep the government open, so the government will not shut down. (00:00) - The speaker says a negotiated budget agreement with the Republican Speaker of the House was reached to avoid a manufactured crisis. (00:18) - Extreme Republicans reportedly tried to walk away from the deal by voting for deep spending cuts of 30 to 80 percent. (00:34) - The speaker says the cuts would have been devastating for millions of Americans, and that the attempt failed. (00:42) - The speaker says he expects Republicans to keep their word and honor the deal they made. (00:53) - The speaker says the overwhelming majority of Congress has steadfastly supported Ukraine in defending itself against Russian aggression. (01:06) - The speaker says Republicans said they would support Ukraine in a separate vote and he expects the speaker to keep that commitment. (01:33) - The speaker says the brinkmanship has to end and that he will leave the matter of a vote to House and Senate leadership. (02:04) ## Chapters - [00:00 to 00:18] Passage of spending bill averts shutdown. The speaker announces that Congress passed a spending bill keeping the government open and avoiding a shutdown. - [00:18 to 01:06] Budget deal and Republican deal-breaking. The speaker describes the negotiated budget agreement and criticizes Republicans who tried to back away with deep spending cuts. - [01:06 to 01:33] Calls to keep word and support Ukraine. The speaker stresses keeping one's word and points to bipartisan congressional support for Ukraine against Russian aggression. - [01:33 to 02:51] Demands for Ukraine funding and an end to brinkmanship. The speaker urges a separate vote securing Ukraine funding, says brinkmanship must end, and asserts he will be reassuring allies. ## Key quotes - [00:00] Joe Biden: "That's good news for American people because the government will not shut down." - [00:53] Joe Biden: "when you make a deal, you give your word." - [01:06] Joe Biden: "have steadfastly supported Ukraine to defend itself against the aggression of brutality of the Russians attack on women and children." - [02:06] Joe Biden: "Enough is enough is enough, this is not that complicated." - [02:11] Joe Biden: "The brinkmanship has to end" ## Questions this video answers - Did Congress pass a spending bill to keep the government open? [00:00] - Why did the speaker say the budget agreement was reached? [00:18] - What spending cuts did Republicans reportedly vote for? [00:34] - What does the speaker expect Republicans to do regarding their word? [00:53] - Will Congress hold a separate vote on Ukraine funding? [01:33] - How does the speaker say he will reassure allies about Ukraine? [02:25] ## Content suitability - politics [00:00-02:51]: Discussion of partisan budget negotiations and congressional disputes. - war [01:06-01:54]: References Russian aggression and brutality against Ukraine. - death [02:45-02:51]: Mentions people dying needlessly in Ukraine. - tragedy [01:06-01:17]: References Russian attacks on women and children. by [Jeffrey Sonnenfeld](https://time.com/author/jeffrey-sonnenfeld/) ## Jeffrey Sonnenfeld Oct 2, 2023 4:05 PM UTC U.S. President Joe Biden said Sunday that American aid to Ukraine will keep flowing for now as he sought to reassure allies of continued U.S. financial support for the war effort. by [Jeffrey Sonnenfeld](https://time.com/author/jeffrey-sonnenfeld/) ## Jeffrey Sonnenfeld Oct 2, 2023 4:05 PM UTC The surprise [last-minute deal proposed](https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/30/politics/us-government-shutdown-latest/index.html) by House Speaker Kevin McCarthy to avert a government shutdown came at a steep price for Ukraine. The Republican-led 45-day stopgap spending bill, which dropped support for Ukraine, won enough support from House Democrats to [overwhelmingly pass](https://www.cnn.com/2023/09/30/politics/us-government-shutdown-latest/index.html) with 315 votes. Sadly, some congressional leaders have been emboldened to walk away from Ukraine given [some surveys claiming 55% of voters do not believe Congress should authorize additional funding](https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/23897329-cnn-ukraine-poll) to support Ukraine—a reversal from 62% in favor this time last year. Though both parties deserve credit for preventing a government shutdown, the reneging of support for Ukraine will have disastrous ripple effects and plays directly into Russian President Vladimir Putin’s only winning hand—propaganda and attrition—to weaken allied support. Here are the facts that voters ought to understand about American support for Ukraine. First, Ukraine is not the financial sinkhole anti-Ukraine extremists would like to portray, and U.S. support for Ukraine is far cheaper than it seems. For all its mistaken use as a political hot potato in budget talks, the [$43 billion on U.S. military aid to Ukraine](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/following-american-money-in-ukraine-60-minutes/) since Russia invaded amounts to about 5% of the U.S. defense budget and less [than 1% of total government spending](https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/federal-spending/#:~:text=Spending%20Trends%20Over%20Time%20and,the%20United%20States%20that%20year.). This is not an insignificant sum but, to put things in perspective, it’s equivalent to the amount the U.S. is spending on such mundane items such as [software for government agencies](https://americansforprosperity.org/5-outrageous-ways-the-federal-government-has-wasted-your-money-part-iv/); COVID [rental relief](https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/coronavirus/assistance-for-state-local-and-tribal-governments/emergency-rental-assistance-program#:~:text=Treasury%27s%20Emergency%20Rental%20Assistance%20%28ERA,throughout%20the%20COVID-19%20pandemic.), and [highway safety programs](https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/budget%5Ffy2024.pdf). The weapons the U.S. is sending, like the [186 Bradley tanks](https://english.nv.ua/nation/us-already-delivered-186-bradley-ifvs-to-ukraine-worth-372-million-news-50356992.html) so prized by Ukraine, from our stockpiles are likewise not breaking the bank. Unlike other foreign adventures, the U.S. is not shouldering the load alone as European countries have contributed an [equivalent amount](https://www.cbsnews.com/news/following-american-money-in-ukraine-60-minutes/#:~:text=The%20U.S%20has%20spent%20just,have%20contributed%20around%20%2430%20billion.) in [military aid themselves](https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/eu-unveil-50bln-euro-aid-package-ukraine-sources-2023-06-20/) and [twice as much in humanitarian support](https://www.ifw-kiel.de/publications/news/ukraine-support-tracker-europe-clearly-overtakes-us-with-total-commitments-now-twice-as-large/). Some European countries such as Estonia are setting [aside half their defense budget](https://time.com/6256280/estonia-aid-russia-ukraine/) for Ukraine’s defense, an order of magnitude higher than U.S. support. And most importantly, the U.S. has sent no American troops to Ukraine and zero American lives have been lost with the Ukrainians doing all the fighting. Europe stands mostly united with the U.S. in support for Ukraine. Poland and Lithuania were the first to sever all Russian gas purchases and Germany’s new LNG terminals made it possible for the entire EU to follow, a huge flip from the Nordstream I and II promise. Furthermore, the mayor of Warsaw, Rafał Trzaskowski told me in his office last month that fully 20% of Poland’s population are warmly welcomed, productively employed Ukrainian refugees. It takes little for Poles across sectors and parties to recall their history with Russia from the 1930s mass slaughter of tens of thousands in [the Katyn Forest](https://ipn.gov.pl/portal/en/2/77/Decision%5Fto%5Fcommence%5Finvestigation%5Finto%5FKatyn%5FMassacre.html%20%20.) when they though Russia was their ally to Lech Walesa’s overthrow of Russian domination 50 years later. With upcoming acrimonious elections in Poland elevated partisan tensions, leaders of both parties tell me that their animosity towards Putin and Russia transcends any political divides.  Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain waves to the crowd at Heston Airport and declaims, "Peace in our Time", after returning from signing the Munich Agreement. Corbis-Getty Images For our miniscule financial investment, the U.S. is reaping massive returns. Ukraine has already destroyed [50% of Russia’s military might](https://www.ispot.tv/ad/55Yw/defending-democracy-together-stand-strong-republicans-for-ukraine) by some measures, forcing Putin to spend well over [$150 billion](https://www.newsweek.com/putin-russia-defense-budget-increase-ukraine-war-1830587#:~:text=According%20to%20the%20AFP%27s%20analysis,6%20percent%20of%20Russia%27s%20GDP.) on the country’s military replenishment. Ukraine’s counteroffensive may not be going as fast as some would have liked, but it is making[ progress](https://time.com/6300772/ukraine-counteroffensive-can-still-succeed/#:~:text=The%20Ukrainians%20have%20been%20successful,ground%20and%20in%20the%20rear). Economically, sanctions combined with the exodus of [over 1,000 private sector companies](https://som.yale.edu/story/2022/over-1000-companies-have-curtailed-operations-russia-some-remain23) have [choked Russia’s economy](https://fortune.com/2023/02/20/russia-economy-self-immolated-one-year-putin-invaded-ukraine-sanctions-energy-finance-europe-sonnenfeld-tian/), with [some sectors down from 60 to 90%](https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/07/22/russia-economy-sanctions-myths-ruble-business/). Combined with escalating war costs, Putin is being forced to [cannibalize the productive economy](https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/01/19/russia-ukraine-economy-europe-energy/) to replenish his coffers, basically tossing the living room furniture into the fireplace in desperation. On the other hand, Ukraine is bustling with energy and enthusiasm. Having just [returned from a visit](https://fortune.com/2023/09/27/ukraine-future-phoenix-nation-destined-to-prosper-economy-europe-jeffrey-sonnenfeld/) to Kyiv, I [witnessed first-hand how](https://fortune.com/2023/09/27/ukraine-future-phoenix-nation-destined-to-prosper-economy-europe-jeffrey-sonnenfeld/) Ukrainians from combat veterans to young professionals to baristas in the café are [eager to contribute](https://fortune.com/2023/09/27/ukraine-future-phoenix-nation-destined-to-prosper-economy-europe-jeffrey-sonnenfeld/) to the reconstruction of a new, modernized, Westernized Ukraine. Appeasement is not a serious choice; if the U.S. chooses not to fund military assistance to Ukraine as Republicans like Matt Gaetz and Rand Paul would have it, or if the U.S. forces Ukraine to surrender its lands as even New York Times columnist [Thomas Friedman has proposed](https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/15/opinion/ukraine-war-putin.html), we are surely staring at even higher costs moving forward. Putin’s expansionist agenda does not stop at Ukraine, and next up will be Poland, Moldova, Finland, Sweden, and others. He has already signaled as much—in a July 2021 essay, “[On the Historical Unity of Russia and Ukraine](http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/transcripts/66181),” Putin not only foreshadowed his intention to invade Ukraine but made sweeping claims to the historical unity of Belarus, Lithuania, Poland, Georgia, and Kazkakhstan as extensions of _Russkiy Mir, or the “Russian world_.” And even more importantly, if the U.S. abandons Ukraine, China may be emboldened to seize Taiwan. The consequences of that would stretch far beyond the Asia-Pacific region—the self-ruling island controls [about 70% of the global semiconductor](https://www.economist.com/special-report/2023/03/06/taiwans-dominance-of-the-chip-industry-makes-it-more-important) supply, which is critical to everything from the smartphones in our pockets to the military hardware the U.S. military depends on. Anyone who still advocates for appeasement in the face of a dictator who has already invaded three countries—Georgia in 2008, the Syrian intervention in 2013, and Ukraine in 2014 and again in 2022—is dangerously misreading the threat that the Russian leader poses to the world. This is missing the lessons of World War II on the 85th anniversary of Neville Chamberlain’s ill-fated concession to Hitler in the Munich Agreement where parallel land of seized German speaking Czechoslovakia we surrendered to Germany in an effort at making peace. The simpler choice is to spend less than 1% of the government budget to support Ukraine’s defense today, or to spend much more in the future amid empowered foreign adversaries, potential NATO activation, and even U.S. boots on the ground. Putin is reeling, and the only arrow left in his quiver is to use propaganda and attrition to wear down allied support. While keeping the government running is worthy of celebration, dropping Ukraine was hardly necessary to avoid a government shutdown. After all, just two days ago, the House voted overwhelmingly to support assistance to Ukraine, including over 100 Republicans. Now it will take a separate legislative act to pass funding for Ukraine; Republican Senate Leader Mitch McConnell may have to channel the heroic role of former GOP Senator Arthur Vandenberg, a former isolationist, who helped fortify wavering GOP support for the Marshall Plan among his colleagues after World War II. But even if Ukraine funding eventually passes, thanks to today’s mistakes, Putin will be freshly empowered, thinking that U.S. support for Ukraine is weakening, and we will be paying even higher costs for a long time to come. ## Transcript [00:00] Last night, Congress passed a spending Bill to keep the government [00:04] open. That's good news for American people because the government [00:07] will not shut down. [00:09] And needless crisis, will have been a virgin saving millions, [00:13] millions of Americans needless pain, a few months ago. [00:18] After a long negotiation between myself and Republican [00:22] Speaker of the House Representative, we can do agree on a budget [00:26] agreement, precisely to avoid a manufactured crisis that we just [00:31] witnessed, but the last few days and weeks extreme, [00:34] Mega Republicans tried to walk away from that deal. [00:37] Voting for deep drastic spending cuts from 30 to 80%. [00:42] That would have been devastated for millions of Americans. [00:45] They failed. Again, they held again and we stop them. [00:50] But I'm under no illusions that they'll be back again. [00:53] You know where I come from, when you make a deal, [00:55] you give your word. [00:56] You keep it. [00:57] Give your word. [00:58] If I'm going to do what I said I'm going to do and you [01:00] do it. You keep it. [01:02] You keep your word and I expect a republican speaking republicans [01:05] in Congress to honor their word. [01:06] All of the speaker and overwhelming majority of the Congress [01:09] have steadfastly supported Ukraine to defend itself against the [01:14] aggression of brutality of the Russians attack on women [01:17] and children. In addition to the military in Ukraine, [01:20] there's no Ukraine funny this agreement despite that I did not [01:26] believe we could let millions of Americans go through the pain of [01:29] a government shutdown, but let's be clear. [01:31] I hope my friends the other side. [01:33] Keep their word about support Ukraine. [01:36] They said they're going to support Ukraine in the separate [01:40] vote. We cannot under any circumstances, I fully expect the speaker [01:48] to keep his commitment to secure, a passage and support needed. [01:52] Help Ukraine, as they defend themselves against aggression [01:54] and brutality. And now this fall the Maggie extremist wants [01:57] it, I brought us to the brink this time to a government [02:01] shutdown and going back on the deal, [02:04] they made months ago, not keeping their word. [02:06] Enough is enough is enough, this is not that complicated. [02:11] The brinkmanship has to end [02:21] I don't have a vote on that matter, [02:23] I'll leave that to the leadership of the House and Senate [02:25] allies and ski on continued funding for Ukraine. [02:32] How can you reassure them? [02:33] I can reassure them. [02:34] Look at me, we're going to get it done. [02:37] I can't believe those who voted for supporting Ukraine overwhelming [02:43] majority in the House and Senate Democrats and Republicans [02:46] will for Pure political reasons. [02:48] Let more people die needlessly Ukraine. ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"OpinionNewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/6319570/ukraine-u-s-aid-republicans/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/6319570/ukraine-u-s-aid-republicans/"},"headline":"The Budget Deal Is a Tragedy for Ukraine","datePublished":"2023-10-02T16:05:04.000Z","dateModified":"2026-10-19T07:27:04.748Z","description":"The GOP pulling of support for Ukraine will embolden Putin and weaken the war effort, argues Jeffrey Sonnenfeld.","url":"https://time.com/6319570/ukraine-u-s-aid-republicans/","keywords":["Ukraine","freelance"],"thumbnailUrl":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt73c577d2132bade6/698a40dd4ee2622e1a31bc9b/GettyImages-1698950941.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Jeffrey Sonnenfeld","jobTitle":"","url":"https://time.com/author/jeffrey-sonnenfeld/"}],"articleSection":"Ideas","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt73c577d2132bade6/698a40dd4ee2622e1a31bc9b/GettyImages-1698950941.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","width":1200,"height":675,"headline":"US-POLITICS-BUDGET","caption":"US-POLITICS-BUDGET","creditText":"ANDREW CABALLERO-REYNOLDS / AFP","representativeOfPage":true}],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Time","url":"https://time.com/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://time.com/images/logo.png","width":528,"height":156},"foundingDate":"March 3, 1923","sameAs":["https://www.facebook.com/time","https://www.instagram.com/time/?hl=en","https://twitter.com/time","https://www.pinterest.com/timemagazine"]}},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"https://time.com/section/ideas/","name":"Ideas"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"https://time.com/tag/ukraine/","name":"Ukraine"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://time.com/6319570/ukraine-u-s-aid-republicans/","name":"The Budget Deal Is a Tragedy for Ukraine"}}]},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"VideoObject","name":"Congress Avoided a Government Shutdown—What Happens Next?","description":"U.S. President Joe Biden said Sunday that American aid to Ukraine will keep flowing for now as he sought to reassure allies of continued U.S. financial support for the war effort.","thumbnailUrl":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/MTaVWzPg/poster.jpg?width=720","uploadDate":"2023-10-02T16:17:13.000Z","contentUrl":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/MTaVWzPg.m3u8","embedUrl":"https://time.com/6319570/ukraine-u-s-aid-republicans/","duration":"PT2M51S","potentialAction":{"@type":"SeekToAction","target":"https://time.com/6319570/ukraine-u-s-aid-republicans/?jw_start={seek_to_second_number}","startOffset-input":"required name=seek_to_second_number"}}] ```