With just one episode of Game of Thrones left in the show’s eighth and final season, fans are making their final predictions on who lives, who dies and who will sit on the Seven Kingdoms’ hotly contested Iron Throne — and they’re putting their money down quite literally. (Let’s hope it’s a better investment than Cersei’s decision to shell out for the Golden Company.)
Paddy Power, an online betting site in the U.K., calculated the updated odds on a future ruler — or rulers! — of Westeros and survival rates for the rest of the Thrones cast following the penultimate episode. Things have certainly changed for Daenerys Targaryen, Mother of Dragons, following her fiery rampage at King’s Landing: she’s now by far the favorite to die according to popular opinion on Paddy Power, with 1/4 odds for her death, which comes to about 80%.
Of the other still-living fan favorites, Jon Snow has 5/4 odds to die, 4/7 to live; Tyrion Lannister is 6/4 to die, 1/2 to live; and Arya Stark is 5/2 to die, 1/4 to live, making her survival exactly opposite of Dany’s projected death.
As for the final ruler of the Seven Kingdoms? Paddy Power players seem to think Bran Stark will take the crown, with 5/4 odds. He’s followed by his sister Sansa Stark at 5/2 odds, Jon Snow at 4/1, Arya Stark at 6/1 and no one at all with 8/1 odds. (At the very bottom of the list, with 400/1 odds, is good old Hot Pie.)
The final episode of Game of Thrones airs on HBO at 9 p.m. on May 19, at which point we’ll know which bets were dead on, and which were just dead. Because after all, when you play the game of thrones, you win or you die.
More Must-Reads from TIME
- Caitlin Clark Is TIME's 2024 Athlete of the Year
- Where Trump 2.0 Will Differ From 1.0
- Is Intermittent Fasting Good or Bad for You?
- The 100 Must-Read Books of 2024
- Column: If Optimism Feels Ridiculous Now, Try Hope
- The Future of Climate Action Is Trade Policy
- FX’s Say Nothing Is the Must-Watch Political Thriller of 2024
- Merle Bombardieri Is Helping People Make the Baby Decision
Write to Raisa Bruner at raisa.bruner@time.com