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---
title: PA-18: Latest Poll Shows Conor Lamb Leading Rick Saccone
description: Democratic candidate Conor Lamb leads Republican opponent Rick Saccone, a new poll finds, in PA-18&#x27;s special election on March 13.
canonical: https://time.com/5196140/conor-lamb-leads-rick-saccone-special-congressional-election-pennsylvania/
author: Alana Abramson
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article:content_tier: free
article:published_time: 2018-03-12T19:39:52.000Z
article:modified_time: 2023-12-12T21:18:03.000Z
article:section: Politics
og:title: Democrat Conor Lamb Is Leading Rick Saccone in Special Election
og:description: The latest poll finds
og:url: https://time.com/5196140/conor-lamb-leads-rick-saccone-special-congressional-election-pennsylvania/
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og:image:width: 4200
og:image:height: 2363
og:image:alt: President Donald J. Trump with Rick Saccone speaks to supporters at the Atlantic Aviation Hanger on March 10, 2018 in Moon Township, Pennsylvania.
og:type: article
twitter:card: summary_large_image
twitter:title: Democrat Conor Lamb Is Leading Rick Saccone in Special Election
twitter:description: The latest poll finds
twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltfb20ee4512a2bb7d/69892a70e76ad22ecd63154c/gettyimages-930232726.jpg?branch=production&amp;width=1200&amp;quality=75&amp;auto=webp&amp;crop=16:9
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# Democrat Conor Lamb Is Leading Republican Rick Saccone in the Pennsylvania Special Election

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## Alana Abramson


Updated: Dec 12, 2023 9:18 PM UTCPublished: Mar 12, 2018 7:39 PM UTC

![President Donald J. Trump with Rick Saccone speaks to supporters at the Atlantic Aviation Hanger on March 10, 2018 in Moon Township, Pennsylvania.](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltfb20ee4512a2bb7d/69892a70e76ad22ecd63154c/gettyimages-930232726.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=3:2)

President Donald J. Trump with Rick Saccone speaks to supporters at the Atlantic Aviation Hanger on March 10, 2018 in Moon Township, Pennsylvania.

President Donald J. Trump with Rick Saccone speaks to supporters at the Atlantic Aviation Hanger on March 10, 2018 in Moon Township, Pennsylvania. Jeff Swensen—Getty Images

![Alana Abramson](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt841db4fb6fb33ac8/698a1380656a3f7bb2bda9e7/alana-abramson-2020-headshot.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1:1)

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## Alana Abramson


Updated: Dec 12, 2023 9:18 PM UTCPublished: Mar 12, 2018 7:39 PM UTC

Conor Lamb, the Democratic candidate in the [Tuesday, March 13, special election](http://time.com/5194987/pennsylvania-special-election-conor-lamb-rick-saccone/) in Pennsylvania’s 18th congressional district, is leading his Republican opponent Rick Saccone, a new poll finds.

A Monmouth University poll [released Monday](https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll%5Fpa%5F031218/) found that Lamb leads Saccone by six points, 51 percent to 45 percent. Although the results are predicated on the assumption that turnout among Democrats will reach a level similar to other special elections in the past year, Lamb still has a two point advantage when using a lower turnout model. In the same poll released last month, Saccone held an advantage in scenarios that predicted three different levels of turnout.

Pennsylvania’s 18th congressional district has a recent history of voting Republican –President Trump prevailed by 19 points in the 2016 presidential election – but Lamb’s polling indicates he is making inroads and that Trump’s popularity may be dropping. The poll finds that 49 percent approve of Trump’s job performance and 49 percent disapprove.

“This district has voted overwhelmingly Republican in recent elections, but a large number of these voters have blue-collar Democratic roots. Lamb seems to have connected with them,” Patrick Murray, Director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, said of the poll’s findings.

The poll was conducted March 8 to 11, surveyed 503 registered voters in the district. The polling took place shortly after President Trump announced he would impose tariffs on steel and aluminum imports to the United States, a move some deemed a method of helping Saccone prevail over Lamb. But 96 percent of the voters polled said the announcement did nothing to change their minds.

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