--- title: Oscars 2017 Predictions: Who Will Win at 89th Academy Awards description: TIME's predictions for who will take home trophies at the 89th Academy Awards, from "La La Land" to "Zootopia." canonical: https://time.com/4674774/oscars-2017-predictions/ author: Eliza Berman article:opinion: false article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2017-02-22T15:05:29.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-05-11T04:59:03.669Z article:section: Entertainment og:title: Here's Who Will Win at the 2017 Oscars og:description: TIME's predictions, from 'La La Land' to 'Zootopia' og:url: https://time.com/4674774/oscars-2017-predictions/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltde093bcdab65f2d0/6988d9b9bc6cfc69913e2a3c/time-logo.jpg?branch=production og:image:width: 1200 og:image:height: 675 og:image:alt: TIME og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: Here's Who Will Win at the 2017 Oscars twitter:description: TIME's predictions, from 'La La Land' to 'Zootopia' twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltde093bcdab65f2d0/6988d9b9bc6cfc69913e2a3c/time-logo.jpg?branch=production --- # Here's Who Will Win at the 2017 Oscars > Sponsored content. 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Terms and conditions apply. * Savings buckets are a feature of Ally Bank's Savings Account. * No ATM fees from Ally Bank at Allpoint and Moneypass ATMs plus we reimburse for fees charged by other ATM owners nationwide up to $10 per statement cycle. * Early direct deposit offers eligible direct deposits up to two days sooner. * Spending buckets are a feature of Ally Bank's Spending Account.  by [Eliza Berman](https://time.com/author/eliza-berman/)  ## Eliza Berman Berman is a senior editor at TIME. Feb 22, 2017 3:05 PM UTC  by [Eliza Berman](https://time.com/author/eliza-berman/)  ## Eliza Berman Berman is a senior editor at TIME. Feb 22, 2017 3:05 PM UTC Let’s start this [Oscar predictions](http://time.com/4635815/2017-oscars-nominations-list/) party with the concession that to rank wildly different works of art is—unlike, say, the 100-meter dash—a rather futile exercise in subjectivity. But as long as [the Academy](http://time.com/4191098/academy-changes-diversity-increase/) keeps doing it, we’ll do it too, because it’s fun, and it’s the only sport some of us know enough about to weigh in on. Without further ado, here’s who you’re likely to see clutching gold [come Feb. 26](http://time.com/4645315/oscar-nominations-2017-diversity/), and a few ideas about who should be up there in their stead. **MORE** [Everything You Need to Know About the 2017 Oscars](http://time.com/4673701/oscars-2017-what-to-know/) ### Best Picture  LLL d 29 \_5194.NEF Dale Robinette—Lionsgate _Arrival | Fences | Hacksaw Ridge | Hell Or High Water | Hidden Figures |_ **_La La Land_** _|_ _Lion | Manchester By The Sea | Moonlight_ _La La Land_ is destined to surf on a SoCal sunbeam to the night’s top honors—for a record-tying 14 nominations not to translate into a Best Picture win would be the shock of the evening. But its victory would come at the oversight of _Moonlight_, whose vivid, heartbreaking coming-of-age story not only deserves the award on its merits, but means something particularly special given the dearth of stories about characters like its protagonist, Chiron. As director [Barry Jenkins](http://time.com/4656493/moonlight-barry-jenkins-interview/) recently told TIME, “When images do arise to fill that lack, they take on added importance.” **MORE** [Do You Hate Musicals? The Dazzling _La La Land_ Could Change That](http://time.com/4474968/la-la-land-venice-film-festival/) ### Actor in a Leading Role  Roadside Attractions **Casey Affleck (** **_Manchester By The Sea_** **)** _|_ Andrew Garfield (_Hacksaw Ridge_) _|_ Ryan Gosling (_La La Land_) _|_ Viggo Mortensen (_Captain Fantastic_) _|_ Denzel Washington (_Fences_) Casey Affleck has won nearly every award there is to win for his emotionally arresting performance as a Massachusetts janitor who becomes his nephew’s guardian. But there are some who believe his controversial past—[sexual harassment allegations](http://time.com/4645846/what-to-know-about-the-casey-affleck-oscar-controversy/) settled in 2010—should give voters pause in awarding him the industry’s highest honor. Denzel Washington, a two-time Oscar winner who is self-directed in _Fences_, could pull off a surprise victory. ### Actress in a Leading Role  Lionsgate Isabelle Huppert (_Elle_) _|_ Ruth Negga (_Loving_) _|_ Natalie Portman (_Jackie_) _|_ **Emma Stone (** **_La La Land_** **)** _|_ Meryl Streep (_Florence Foster Jenkins_) Two years after her nomination for _Birdman_, Emma Stone’s raspy-voiced, fleet-footed aspiring actress (the movie version, that is) has charmed the pants off of Hollywood. But if anyone can pull out an upset, it’s Isabelle Huppert. Captivating in [_Elle_](http://time.com/4564356/elle-movie-hillary-clinton/) as a rape survivor who seeks revenge on her assailant, the French actress finally has a chance to get her due with American audiences and round out her international awards collection (she already has a BAFTA, a César and several Lumières—which are basically French Golden Globes). **MORE** [Emma Stone on Why the World Needs a Movie Like _La La Land_ Right Now](http://time.com/4588441/emma-stone-la-la-land-interview/) ### Actor in a Supporting Role  David Bornfriend—A24 **Mahershala Ali (** **_Moonlight_** **)** _|_ Jeff Bridges (_Hell Or High Water_) _|_ Lucas Hedges (_Manchester By The Sea_) _|_ Dev Patel (_Lion_) _|_ Michael Shannon (_Nocturnal Animals_) Ali imbues his character, Juan, with a paternal tenderness rarely seen in Hollywood’s imagined drug dealers. Though he only appears in the first of the film’s three chapters, his presence looms large even after his screen time ends. Coming off of wins at the Golden Globes and SAG Awards, he has the momentum to cap off awards season with the biggest one of all and at last become a household name. **MORE**[_Moonlight_ Enchants by Revealing Itself In a Thousand Facets](http://time.com/4540116/barry-jenkins-moonlight-enchants/) ### Actress in a Supporting Role  Paramount Pictures **Viola Davis (** **_Fences_** **)** _|_ Naomie Harris (_Moonlight_) _|_ Nicole Kidman (_Lion_) _|_ Octavia Spencer (_Hidden Figures_) _|_ Michelle [Williams](http://fortune.com/fortune500/williams-364/) (_Manchester By The Sea_) After a somewhat controversial decision to campaign Davis in the supporting category—many view her turn as Rose Maxson in _Fences_ as a leading one—she has been unstoppable on the awards path. She’s swept at the BAFTAs, Golden Globes, Critics Choice and SAG Awards, not to mention the Tony she won for playing the same role for the 2010 Broadway revival of the August Wilson play. It’s Davis’ year, and as good as some of her fellow nominees’ performances were, they may as well skip the just-in-case speechwriting. **MORE** [This Video Is Proof That Viola Davis Always Gives the Best Acceptance Speeches](http://time.com/4672059/viola-davis-acceptance-speech-watch/) ### Directing  LONDON, ENGLAND - FEBRUARY 11: Damien Chazelle attends a pre BAFTA party hosted by Charles Finch and Chanel at Annabel's on February 11, 2017 in London, England. (Photo by John Phillips/John Phillips/Getty Images) John Phillips—Getty Images Denis Villeneuve (_Arrival_) _|_ Mel Gibson (_Hacksaw Ridge_) _|_ **Damien Chazelle** **_(La La Land_** **)** _|_ Kenneth Lonergan (_Manchester By The Sea_) _|_ Barry Jenkins (_Moonlight_) _La La Land_ recently won Best Feature at the Directors Guild Awards, an honor that has correlated with a Best Director Oscar win, according to [_FiveThirtyEight_](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/oscar-predictions-2017/#best%5Fdirector), 21 out of the past 25 years. The undeflatable hype over the musical feels like a tribute to its wunderkind director—who, at 32, is not exactly a child prodigy, but stands to tie the record for youngest Best Director ever, which has stood since Norman Taurog won in 1932. ### Writing (Original Screenplay)  BEVERLY HILLS, CA - FEBRUARY 09: Writer/director Kenneth Lonergan speaks during the 2017 Writers Guild annual Beyond Words panel event at Writers Guild Theater on February 9, 2017 in Beverly Hills, California. (Photo by Tara Ziemba/WireImage) Tara Ziemba—Getty Images _Hell or High Water_ (Taylor Sheridan) _| La La Land_ (Damien Chazelle) _| The Lobster_ (Yorgos Lanthimos, Epthimis Filippou) _|_ **_Manchester By the Sea_** **(Kenneth Lonergan)** _| 20th Century Women_ (Mike Mills) Though _La La Land_ could certainly steamroll through this category and Taylor Sheridan could sneak out a surprise win, Kenneth Lonergan is the favorite here for the achingly beautiful story he tells in _Manchester by the Sea_. Lonergan’s characters talk like real people talk—in some cases, as with Casey Affleck’s taciturn janitor, as though spitting out the honest truth might just kill them, and in others, like Michelle Williams’ grieving ex-wife, as though it’s the only thing keeping them alive. After Affleck’s Best Actor nomination, this is the film’s next most likely win. ### Writing (Adapted Screenplay)  LONDON, ENGLAND - FEBRUARY 14: Oscar nomintaed director Barry Jenkins (r) and playwright Tarell Alvin McCraney pose for a photo before taking part in a Q&A at a preview screening of Moonlight at BFI Southbank on February 14, 2017 in London, United Kingdom. (Photo by Tim P. Whitby/Getty Images) Tim P. Whitby—Getty Images _Arrival_ (Eric Heisserer) _| Fences_ (August Wilson) _| Hidden Figures_ (Allison Schroeder, Theodore Melfi) _| Lion_ (Luke Davies) _|_ **_Moonlight_** **(Barry Jenkins, Tarell Alvin McCraney)** This is a particularly competitive category: On the one hand, it may be _Arrival_’s best shot at taking home a little gold man. On the other, it’s a chance for the Academy to posthumously honor Pulitzer Prize-winning playwright August Wilson. But Barry Jenkins and Tarell Alvin McCraney are poised to collect some of the recognition _Moonlight_ deserves, for the semi-autobiographical, unproduced short play McCraney wrote and Jenkins’ adaptation of it. Though much of _Moonlight_’s storytelling is in its visuals, and its protagonist is far from garrulous, what words he does speak don’t quickly fade from memory. **MORE** [_Moonlight_ Filmmaker Barry Jenkins on the Bittersweet Feeling of Being a First](http://time.com/4656493/moonlight-barry-jenkins-interview/) ### Animated Feature Film  Disney _Kubo and the Two Strings | Moana | My Life as a Zucchini | The Red Turtle |_ **_Zootopia_** _Zootopia_ has been widely celebrated since its release last March for transcending the typical Disney message (“Everyone hold hands, kumbaya”) and injecting a children’s movie with smart, subtle commentary on topics like racial profiling and tokenism. All this, while managing to be fun and spritely and entertaining. Its total domination, unfortunately, overshadows the gorgeous stop-motion-animated _Kubo and the Two Strings_, which also refuses to talk down to pint-sized audiences, delivering a complex story about grief and loss. **MORE** [Review: _Zootopia_ Gives the Old Teachable Moment a Jolt of Life](http://time.com/4247121/review-zootopia-teachable-moment/) ### Foreign Language Film  Sony Pictures Classics _Land of Mine | A Man Called Ove | The Salesman | Tanna |_ **_Toni Erdmann_** This category became the subject of unusual attention when the director of Iranian entry _The Salesman_, Oscar winner [Asghar Farhadi](http://content.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,2111975%5F2111976%5F2112155,00.html), announced that he wouldn’t attend the ceremony due to [Trump’s executive order](http://time.com/4652737/asghar-farhadi-oscars-donald-trump-immigration-order/) restricting entry of travelers from seven countries, including Iran. And while outrage around the order may boost that movie’s profile, the award here is more likely to go to Maren Ade’s German comedy about a father using all sorts of tactics (most memorably a wig and a set of false teeth) to reconnect with his overworked consultant daughter. It’s so beloved that Paramount is rumored to be making an American adaptation, starring Jack Nicholson and Kristen Wiig. ### Best Documentary Feature  ESPN Films _Fire at Sea | I Am Not Your Negro |_ _Life, Animated |_ **_OJ: Made in America_** _|_ _13th_ This is one of those fields that makes you wish they could just make an exception and give everyone a trophy, particularly given the important boost docs can get from awards recognition. Though there’s discussion as to whether a brief qualifying theatrical run qualifies Ezra Edelman’s eight-hour ESPN program as a movie, there’s little debate as to its value as a treatise on race and celebrity in America as told through Simpson’s life. But between [Ava DuVernay’s look at mass incarceration](http://time.com/4662871/ava-duvernay-13th-documentary-interview/) in _13th_, Raoul Peck’s resuscitation of James Baldwin in [_I Am Not Your Negro_](http://time.com/4656492/james-baldwin-i-am-not-your-negro-documentary/), and _Fire at Sea_’s glimpse into the European migrant crisis, the entire category has rarely felt so urgent. ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/4674774/oscars-2017-predictions/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/4674774/oscars-2017-predictions/"},"headline":"Here's Who Will Win at the 2017 Oscars","datePublished":"2017-02-22T15:05:29.000Z","dateModified":"2026-05-11T04:59:03.669Z","description":"TIME's predictions for who will take home trophies at the 89th Academy Awards, from \"La La Land\" to \"Zootopia.\"","url":"https://time.com/4674774/oscars-2017-predictions/","keywords":["awards","movies","Oscars","Academy Awards","awards season","Oscars 2017"],"thumbnailUrl":"","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Eliza Berman","jobTitle":"Berman is a senior editor at TIME.","url":"https://time.com/author/eliza-berman/"}],"articleSection":"Entertainment","image":[],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Time","url":"https://time.com/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://time.com/images/logo.png","width":528,"height":156},"foundingDate":"March 3, 1923","sameAs":["https://www.facebook.com/time","https://www.instagram.com/time/?hl=en","https://twitter.com/time","https://www.pinterest.com/timemagazine"]}},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"/section/entertainment/","name":"Entertainment"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"/tag/awards/","name":"awards"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://time.com/4674774/oscars-2017-predictions/","name":"Here's Who Will Win at the 2017 Oscars"}}]}] ```