The American electorate prefers Democratic nominee for President Hillary Clinton over Republican Donald Trump by 10 points — 51 to 41% — a Quinnipiac University poll of likely voters published on Thursday finds.
When Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party Candidate Jill Stein are included in the poll, that lead shrinks to 45% support for Clinton compared to 38% support for Trump (Johnson and Stein received 10% and 4% respectively). Quinnipiac found that non-white voters and women voters accounted largely for Clinton’s nationwide lead.
The differences between the groups and their counterparts are significant: Women back Clinton over Trump 60–36%, the poll found, while men back Trump over Clinton 48–42%. The trend is similar for non-white voters, who back Clinton 77–15%, versus white voters, who back Trump 52–41%.
The results also showed that regardless of who they’re voting for, most people polled (62%) believe that Clinton will win the election, while only 28% believe Trump will win.
Quinnipiac called 1,498 likely voters nationwide between August 18 and 24 to conduct the poll, which has a margin of error of +/-2.5%.
More Must-Reads from TIME
- Donald Trump Is TIME's 2024 Person of the Year
- Why We Chose Trump as Person of the Year
- Is Intermittent Fasting Good or Bad for You?
- The 100 Must-Read Books of 2024
- The 20 Best Christmas TV Episodes
- Column: If Optimism Feels Ridiculous Now, Try Hope
- The Future of Climate Action Is Trade Policy
- Merle Bombardieri Is Helping People Make the Baby Decision
Write to Julia Zorthian at julia.zorthian@time.com