[This article consists of an illustration. Please see hardcopy of magazine or PDF.]
1. A PAUSE IN WARMING
Researchers say a number of factors may have contributed to the hiatus. For one, volcanic eruptions released gases blocking the sun’s rays from heating up the earth’s surface. Shifting climate patterns in the world’s oceans have also strengthened trade winds, leading the earth’s oceans to absorb heat.
2. THE HEAT IS ON AGAIN
The Met Office says El Niño’s climate pattern, which will continue this year and next, will increase Pacific Ocean temperatures, while humans continue to emit greenhouse gases that contribute to global warming.
3. TEPID RESPONSE
Negotiators from 195 countries around the world are meeting in Paris this fall to craft an agreement to prevent a global temperature increase from exceeding 3.6°F by 2100. An agreement is likely, but scientists warn that the goal may already be out of reach.
More Must-Reads from TIME
- Introducing the 2024 TIME100 Next
- Sabrina Carpenter Has Waited Her Whole Life for This
- What Lies Ahead for the Middle East
- Why It's So Hard to Quit Vaping
- Jeremy Strong on Taking a Risk With a New Film About Trump
- Our Guide to Voting in the 2024 Election
- The 10 Races That Will Determine Control of the Senate
- Column: How My Shame Became My Strength
Write to Justin Worland at justin.worland@time.com