[This article consists of an illustration. Please see hardcopy of magazine or PDF.]
1. A PAUSE IN WARMING
Researchers say a number of factors may have contributed to the hiatus. For one, volcanic eruptions released gases blocking the sun’s rays from heating up the earth’s surface. Shifting climate patterns in the world’s oceans have also strengthened trade winds, leading the earth’s oceans to absorb heat.
2. THE HEAT IS ON AGAIN
The Met Office says El Niño’s climate pattern, which will continue this year and next, will increase Pacific Ocean temperatures, while humans continue to emit greenhouse gases that contribute to global warming.
3. TEPID RESPONSE
Negotiators from 195 countries around the world are meeting in Paris this fall to craft an agreement to prevent a global temperature increase from exceeding 3.6°F by 2100. An agreement is likely, but scientists warn that the goal may already be out of reach.
More Must-Reads from TIME
- Donald Trump Is TIME's 2024 Person of the Year
- Why We Chose Trump as Person of the Year
- Is Intermittent Fasting Good or Bad for You?
- The 100 Must-Read Books of 2024
- The 20 Best Christmas TV Episodes
- Column: If Optimism Feels Ridiculous Now, Try Hope
- The Future of Climate Action Is Trade Policy
- Merle Bombardieri Is Helping People Make the Baby Decision
Write to Justin Worland at justin.worland@time.com