--- title: Air Pollution Climate Change: Study Shows Link To Economic Instability description: Instability in the Middle East after 2010 contributed to a decline in air pollution, according to new research canonical: https://time.com/4005619/air-pollution-middle-east/ author: Justin Worland article:opinion: false article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2015-08-21T18:00:25.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-08-04T07:58:04.819Z article:section: Science og:title: Air Pollution Climate Change: Study Shows Link To Economic Instability og:description: Instability in the Middle East after 2010 contributed to a decline in air pollution, according to new research og:url: https://time.com/4005619/air-pollution-middle-east/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt39311200a3e0723e/698860630b72e327016e57d3/tehran-streets-pollution.jpeg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 5184 og:image:height: 2916 og:image:alt: Tehran streets pollution og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: Air Pollution Climate Change: Study Shows Link To Economic Instability twitter:description: Instability in the Middle East after 2010 contributed to a decline in air pollution, according to new research twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt39311200a3e0723e/698860630b72e327016e57d3/tehran-streets-pollution.jpeg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  # The Strange Cause of Air Pollution Decline in the Middle East > Sponsored content. 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Future Proof is TIME's weekly climate and energy newsletter, written by senior correspondent Justin Worland. It connects the energy transition to the decisions reshaping business, technology, policy and markets. #### Where can I follow the energy transition as a business story? Future Proof covers climate and energy as an economic and business story rather than only an environmental one. It publishes every Friday and is free at time.com/newsletters. #### Who writes Future Proof? Justin Worland, a senior correspondent at TIME and an award-winning climate journalist, writes Future Proof. #### Is Future Proof free? Yes. Future Proof is free at time.com/newsletters. ## Video: 2014 Was the Hottest Year on Record [Watch (HLS stream): 2014 Was the Hottest Year on Record](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/cSFLnBzD.m3u8) (1:04)  _Published 2015-01-16. 2014 was the hottest year since temperature record keeping began in 1880, scientists from NASA and the NOAA announced. Here's why_  by [Justin Worland](https://time.com/author/justin-worland/)  ## Justin Worland Senior Correspondent Aug 21, 2015 6:00 PM UTC  Tehran´s chaotic streets, Iran Tehran´s chaotic streets, Iran Getty Images  by [Justin Worland](https://time.com/author/justin-worland/)  ## Justin Worland Senior Correspondent Aug 21, 2015 6:00 PM UTC The Arab Spring may have brought a literal breath of fresh air to the Middle East, according to new research. Instability in the Middle East in 2010-11 can be linked to a decline in air pollution, reports a [study](http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/1/7/e1500498) published in the journal _Science Advances._ The findings suggest that short-term societal changes can disrupt climate trends years in the making. Levels of nitrogen dioxide, a toxic gas produced by car engines and power plants than can contribute to climate change, grew rapidly in cities like Damascus, Aleppo, Tehran and Cairo in the early years of the 2000s until they experienced a drop-off around the beginning of the following decade. The onset of unrest caused an economic impact that led to the decline, researchers say. “The Middle East is a region that catches a lot of attention with political problems and upheaval and armed conflict,” said Jos Lelieveld, study author and professor at the Max Planck Institute of Chemistry, on a conference call for journalists. “We find the geopolitics and armed conflict in the Middle East has really drastically altered air pollution emissions.” **Read more:** [Here’s Where to Buy a House In the U.S. That Will Be Resilient to Climate Change](http://time.com/3964807/climate-change-resilience/?iid=time%5Fspeed) Researchers used satellite data to track how nitrogen dioxide emissions changed over time in the Middle East. Using that data, they evaluated nitrogen dioxide levels in conjunction with different policies and societal changes occurring at the time. In Cairo, for instance, nitrogen dioxide emissions had grown at a rate between 5% and 7% per year in the five years up to 2010\. The Egyptian Revolution that year brought with it fuel shortages and household economic problems that drove down levels of nitrogen dioxide, said Lelieveld. In Tehran, the decline in emissions was triggered as the United Nations tightened sanctions in 2010. The researchers note some exceptions to the trend. Nitrogen dioxide levels declined in Riyadh despite relative stability in Saudi Arabia. Lelieveld attributed the decline to air quality legislation aimed at reducing pollution. The findings suggest that it may be difficult to accurately project the human impact on climate change and the environment without considering unexpected short-term societal changes. The findings of the research were not predicted by past emissions scenarios, according to the study. “If you could predict crises that would be great, but crisis is invariably unpredictable,” said Lelieveld. The study adds to research showing the link between air pollution and economy growth. Recent [research](http://time.com/3966553/recession-emissions-decline/) showed that the 2008 economic collapse and the subsequent recession contributed to a decline in carbon emissions in the United States. _Read next:_ [_EPA Proposes New Rules to Cut Climate Change-Causing Methane Emissions_](http://time.com/4001548/epa-methane-rules/?iid=time%5Freadnext) [_Listen to the most important stories of the day_](http://time.com/newsletter/the-brief/autoplay/?xid=spl-fullbrief-article) ## Transcript [ MUSIC ] [ MUSIC ] ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/4005619/air-pollution-middle-east/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/4005619/air-pollution-middle-east/"},"headline":"The Strange Cause of Air Pollution Decline in the Middle East","datePublished":"2015-08-21T18:00:25.000Z","dateModified":"2026-08-04T07:58:04.819Z","description":"The Arab Spring contributed to a decline in air pollution, according to new research","url":"https://time.com/4005619/air-pollution-middle-east/","keywords":["Environment"],"thumbnailUrl":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt39311200a3e0723e/698860630b72e327016e57d3/tehran-streets-pollution.jpeg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Justin Worland","jobTitle":"Senior Correspondent","url":"https://time.com/author/justin-worland/"}],"articleSection":"Science","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt39311200a3e0723e/698860630b72e327016e57d3/tehran-streets-pollution.jpeg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","width":1200,"height":675,"headline":"Tehran streets pollution","caption":"Tehran streets pollution","creditText":"Getty Images","representativeOfPage":true}],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Time","url":"https://time.com/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://time.com/images/logo.png","width":528,"height":156},"foundingDate":"March 3, 1923","sameAs":["https://www.facebook.com/time","https://www.instagram.com/time/?hl=en","https://twitter.com/time","https://www.pinterest.com/timemagazine"]}},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"/section/science/","name":"Science"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"/tag/environment/","name":"Environment"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://time.com/4005619/air-pollution-middle-east/","name":"The Strange Cause of Air Pollution Decline in the Middle East"}}]},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"VideoObject","name":"2014 Was the Hottest Year on Record","description":"2014 was the hottest year since temperature record keeping began in 1880, scientists from NASA and the NOAA announced. 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