--- title: 2016 Presidential Election: Jeb Bush Leads in New Hampshire Poll description: Not all good news for Jeb Bush in a wide open race canonical: https://time.com/3700178/2016-presidential-election-jeb-bush-new-hampshire/ author: Dan Hirschhorn article:opinion: false article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2015-02-08T22:41:39.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-05-11T04:49:43.776Z article:section: Politics og:title: Jeb Bush Leads in New Hampshire Poll og:description: Not all good news for Bush in a wide open race. og:url: https://time.com/3700178/2016-presidential-election-jeb-bush-new-hampshire/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt25941651973d7695/69877e1f524fc07b1adec5c0/jeb-bush4.jpg?branch=production&width=3840&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 1200 og:image:height: 675 og:image:alt: Jeb Bush Speaks At Detroit Economic Club og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: Jeb Bush Leads in New Hampshire Poll twitter:description: Not all good news for Bush in a wide open race. twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt25941651973d7695/69877e1f524fc07b1adec5c0/jeb-bush4.jpg?branch=production&width=3840&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  # Jeb Bush Leads in New Hampshire Poll by [Dan Hirschhorn](https://time.com/author/dan-hirschhorn/) ## Dan Hirschhorn Feb 8, 2015 10:41 PM UTC  Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush waits to speak at the Detroit Economic Club on Feb. 4, 2015 in Detroit. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush waits to speak at the Detroit Economic Club on Feb. 4, 2015 in Detroit.Bill Pugliano—Getty Images by [Dan Hirschhorn](https://time.com/author/dan-hirschhorn/) ## Dan Hirschhorn Feb 8, 2015 10:41 PM UTC Former Florida governor Jeb Bush has an early advantage in the key presidential primary state of New Hampshire, [according to a new poll](http://time.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/02/saint-anselm-bloomberg-%5Fpolitics-poll-feb-2015.pdf), but the race remains wide open a year before the election. The Saint Anselm College survey released Sunday found Bush topping a crowded field of Republican presidential hopefuls with 16% of the vote, followed by Kentucky Senator Rand Paul at 13%, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker at 12% and New Jersey Governor Chris Christie at 10%. No other candidate cracks double digits. ### See the 2016 Candidates Looking Very Presidential  Sen. Ted Cruz is surrounded by stars and stripes at the 2014 Values Voter Summit in Washington, D.C. on September 26, 2014. Mark Peterson—Redux  Hillary Clinton Hillary Clinton gazes pensively into the distance at Iowa Senator Tom Harken'a annual Steak Fry in Indianola, Iowa on September 14, 2014. Brooks Kraft—Corbis for TIME  Jeb Bush Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush flashes a power watch before giving his keynote address at the National Summit on Education Reform in Washington on Nov. 20, 2014. Susan Walsh—AP  Bernie Sanders waves to supporters after officially announcing his candidacy for the U.S. presidency during an event at Waterfront Park in Burlington, Vermont, on May 26, 2015. Win McNamee—Getty Images  Chris Christie New Jersey Governor Chris Christie strikes a presidential power stance at the ceremony for the opening of the 206 bypass in Hillsborough, New Jersey on October 28, 2013. Mark Peterson—Redux  Former Hewlett-Packard Co Chief Executive Officer Carly Fiorina listens to her introduction from the side of the stage at the Freedom Summit in Des Moines, Iowa on Jan. 24, 2015. Jim Young—Reuters  Rand Paul Sen. Rand Paul works a crowd during a campaign stop on October 24, 2014 in McDonough, Georgia. Jessica McGowan—Getty Images  Rick Perry Texas Gov. Rick Perry looks powerfully patriotic during the National Anthem before an NCAA college football game on Nov. 27, 2014, in College Station, Texas. David J. Phillip—AP  Bobby Jindal Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal looks to the future during The Family Leadership Summit on Aug. 9, 2014, in Ames, Iowa. Charlie Neibergall—AP  Martin O'Malley Maryland Governor Martin OíMalley ponders decorating ideas in front of his possible future home on CBS's Face the Nation on Feb. 23, 2014. Chris Usher—AP  Marco Rubio Sen. Marco Rubio looks determined the morning after the State of the Union address in Washington, D.C. on January 29, 2014. Melissa Golden—Redux  Ben CarsonBen Carson at the Conservative Political Action Committee annual conference on March 8, 2014. Susan Walsh—AP  Jim Webb Retiring Sen. Jim Webb imitates the presidential wave during a rally in Virginia Beach, Va. on Sept. 27, 2012. Steve Helber—AP  John Kasich Ohio Gov. John Kasich practices his presidential victory pose at the Ohio Republican Party celebration on Tuesday, Nov. 4, 2014, in Columbus, Ohio. Tony Dejak—AP  Rick Santorum Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum looks resolute at CPAC, the Conservative Political Action Conference on March 7, 2014. Brooks Kraft—Corbis  Scott Walker Wisconsin Republican Gov. Scott Walker practices the presidential point on March 3, 2014 in Milwaukee. Jeffrey Phelps—AP  Mike Huckabee Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee fine-tunes his presidential oratory at the Conservative Political Action Committee annual conference in National Harbor, Md. on March 7, 2014. Susan Walsh—AP  Lincoln Chafee, Former Rhode Island Governor, poses for a selfie with a student after announcing he will seek the Democratic nomination for president in Arlington, Va. on June 3, 2015. Jonathan Ernst—Reuters  Lindsey Graham Lindsey Graham announced his plans to join the 2016 presidential race. Alex Wong—Getty Images  George Pataki Former New York governor George Pataki listens to a question at the First in the Nation Republican Leadership Conference in Nashua, New Hampshire, in this April 17, 2015 file photo. Brian Snyder—Reuters New Hampshire holds the first-in-the-nation primary, shortly after the Iowa caucuses next February, and along with a small handful of early-voting states plays an outsize role in determining presidential-nomination fights. The poll also points at a potentially tough general election climate for Bush in the swing state if he secures the Republican nomination. Half of likely general election voters there view him unfavorably and only 35% view him favorably. That’s compared to 54% of voters who have favorable views of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, the presumed Democratic front-runner. **MORE:** [Wisconsin Governor Leads Tight 2016 Race in Iowa](http://time.com/3691217/scott-walker-2016-presidential-election-iowa/) The survey, conducted Jan. 31 to Feb. 5, has a margin of error of 4.9% for the primary and 4.4% for the general election. ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/3700178/2016-presidential-election-jeb-bush-new-hampshire/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/3700178/2016-presidential-election-jeb-bush-new-hampshire/"},"headline":"Jeb Bush Leads in New Hampshire Poll","datePublished":"2015-02-08T22:41:39.000Z","dateModified":"2026-05-11T04:49:43.776Z","description":"Not all good news for Bush in a wide open race","url":"https://time.com/3700178/2016-presidential-election-jeb-bush-new-hampshire/","keywords":["2016 Election","2016 Election topic"],"thumbnailUrl":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt25941651973d7695/69877e1f524fc07b1adec5c0/jeb-bush4.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Dan Hirschhorn","jobTitle":"","url":"https://time.com/author/dan-hirschhorn/"}],"articleSection":"Politics","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt25941651973d7695/69877e1f524fc07b1adec5c0/jeb-bush4.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","width":1200,"height":675,"headline":"Jeb Bush Speaks At Detroit Economic Club","caption":"Jeb Bush Speaks At Detroit Economic Club","creditText":"Bill Pugliano—Getty Images","representativeOfPage":true}],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Time","url":"https://time.com/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://time.com/images/logo.png","width":528,"height":156},"foundingDate":"March 3, 1923","sameAs":["https://www.facebook.com/time","https://www.instagram.com/time/?hl=en","https://twitter.com/time","https://www.pinterest.com/timemagazine"]}},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"/section/politics/","name":"Politics"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"/tag/2016-election/","name":"2016 Election"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://time.com/3700178/2016-presidential-election-jeb-bush-new-hampshire/","name":"Jeb Bush Leads in New Hampshire Poll"}}]}] ```