There’s a real risk that weather event El Niño will occur before the year’s end, the U.N.’s weather agency has said.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) issued a statement saying there’s a 60% chance of El Niño occurring between June and August. This likelihood increases to 75-80% from October to December.
Many governments have already begun preparing for El Niño’s arrival, which can be devastating. The event starts as a body of warm water developing in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean. The water then flows towards the western coast of South America setting off a chain of weather events globally.
El Niño can result in droughts or floods in particular regions and usually has the overall effect of raising global temperatures, on top of man-made global warming. WMO Secretary-General Michel Jarraud commented: “We remain vulnerable to this force of nature but we can protect ourselves by being better prepared.”
Many governments are believed to have begun planning for El Niño. India is expected to experience weaker monsoons whilst Australia may suffer terrible droughts. South America, by contrast, usually falls victim to widespread floods.
Experts believe that the Pacific, which has already warmed to weak El Niño levels, will continue to increase in temperature over the coming months, peaking during the last quarter of 2014 and dissipating after the first few months of 2015.
Here’s What We Can Expect From El Niño This Year
The water rising in Pathum Thani, Thialand while people try to adapt to a new day-to-day routine without basic facilities on Oct. 29, 2011.Roland Neveu—LightRocket/Getty ImagesFruto Garcia walks on the ground cracked by drought in the Las Canoas Lake, Nicaragua on April 8, 2010. The lack of rain caused by the El Nino meteorological phenomena decreased water level in Las Canoas Lake, located in the center of Nicaragua, affecting approximately eight thousand people who live in the surrounding areas.Oswaldo Rivas—Reuters/CorbisA fisherman does maintenance works on his boat that sits on the dried bed of the Negro river, Brazil on October 22, 2010. Due to the El Nino climate phenomenon, the Negro river is 20 cm from hitting the 1963 record level, the lowest in a century.Euzivaldo Queiroza—AFP/Getty ImagesCattle gather on a strip of dry land in low-lying areas of the Bolivian Amazon, after heavy rains from the El Nino weather phenomenon on Feb 22, 2007 in Beni, Bolivia. The rains affected 350,000 people, destroyed valuable agriculture and killed 23,000 cattle. Martin Alipaz—EPA/CorbisA luxury home in Laguna Niguel Calif. slips down a hillside eroded on March 19, 1998 by heavy El Nino generated rains. Two homes and seven condominiums have been destroyed in the slide and several more were threatened with destruction. Vince Bucci—AFP/Getty ImagesA resident grieves while sitting by the ruins of her neighbor' house s on March 3, 1999 after it collapsed killing one person during a landslide triggered by recent torrential rains. Some 28 people have died in Sao Paulo since the beginning of 1999 as a direct consequence of the disastrous weather caused by the weather phenomenon known as "La Nina." Marie Hippenmeyer —AFP/Getty ImagesStockman Gordon Litchfield surveys the bottom of a dry dam on his property on June 7, 2005 in Leigh Creek, Australia. Australia is enduring its worst drought in decades in part due to the increasing temperatures and the El Nino weather phenomenon.Ian Waldie—Getty ImagesXiomara Herrera, 13, enters her flooded home in El Porvenir, Colombia,on Dec. 9, 2011. Torrential rains have caused devastating floods and widespread damage in the country for much of the past two years. Meteorologists blame the rains on La Nina.Carlos Julio Martinez—APAerial view of a flooded area in Trinidad, Beni, Bolivia on Feb. 24, 2007. Authorities say two months of rain and floods left 35 people dead, 10 unaccounted for, and affected hundreds of thousands of people. The disaster, blamed on the "El Nino" weather phenomenon, also has caused millions of dollars in material losses.Aizar Ralder—AFP/Getty ImagesA man attempts to excavate an old car buried by a mudslide, most likely triggered by El Nino-induced rains on January 1, 1981.Jim Suga—CorbisEcuadorean Farmer Wenseslao Plaza, rests on his living room furniture in flood waters in Milagro, Ecuador on March 1, 1998. The Plaza family is one of a hundreds that have been affected as a result of the El Nino weather phenomenon that has brought heavy rains. ReutersWildfire rips through a forest surrounding the village of Ixtacamaxtitlan, Mexico on May 18, 1998. Months of El Nino-related drought caused one of the worst fire seasons in Mexico and Central America.ReutersA worker carries a sack of rice inside the National Food Authority Warehouse in Quezon City, the Philippines on Aug. 16, 2010. Farm production in the country went down 2.59 percent in the first half due to the El Nino phenomenon,Rouelle Umali—Xinhua Press/CorbisWhen El Nino affected the west coast of North America in Jan 1981-1982, this section of Highway One was washed out in Half Moon Bay, California on Jan. 1, 1981.Jim Sugar—CorbisThree men help a woman trying to cross the overflowing Nepena River in Chimbote, Peru on Feb. 26, 1998. The meteorological phenomenon El Nino created ravaging weather conditions that killed many throughout Peru. Josue Fernandez—EPA/Corbis
