TIME 2016 Election

Donald Trump Edges Ahead of Hillary Clinton in New Tracking Poll

The Republican nominee leads by just 1 percentage point, his first lead in ABC News/Washington Post poll since May

Donald Trump is slightly ahead of Hillary Clinton for the first time in months, according to the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll.

Trump is leading with 46% of likely voters, while Clinton has 45%. The two candidates are divided by a slim .7 percentage point margin, which is well within the poll’s margin of error.

Trump led Clinton in just one other ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll, conducted in May shortly after he clinched the Republican nomination. At the time, Clinton and former Democratic candidate Bernie Sanders were still locked in a primary battle.

The poll—conducted between Oct. 27 and Oct. 30—surveyed 1,128 likely voters and had a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

The RealClear Politics polling average for Oct. 22 to Oct. 31 shows Clinton ahead by a margin of 2.4 percentage points with 47.7% support.

Your browser is out of date. Please update your browser at http://update.microsoft.com


YOU BROKE TIME.COM!

Dear TIME Reader,

As a regular visitor to TIME.com, we are sure you enjoy all the great journalism created by our editors and reporters. Great journalism has great value, and it costs money to make it. One of the main ways we cover our costs is through advertising.

The use of software that blocks ads limits our ability to provide you with the journalism you enjoy. Consider turning your Ad Blocker off so that we can continue to provide the world class journalism you have become accustomed to.

The TIME Team