Apple and Samsung have long been bitter rivals in the smartphone market, with each able to claim an advantage over the other: The higher cost of Apple’s iPhones have helped the company enjoy wider profit margins, while Samsung has historically clobbered Apple in terms of the number of devices shipped.
However, that may no longer be the case.
Apple sold a record 74.5 million iPhones last quarter, it said as part of its earnings report Tuesday. A day later, Samsung said it sold somewhere between 71 and 76 million smartphones. That means there’s a decent chance Apple is now beating Samsung not only in profit margins, but also in number of devices shipped.
Still, some analysts are sowing doubt over whether that’s actually the case. One research firm, Counterpoint Research, says Apple is now on top: It says Samsung only shipped 73.8 million devices last quarter. Ben Barjarin, an analyst with Creative Strategies and TIME columnist, also gave the nod to Apple.
But another analyst, Strategy Analytics, has taken the middle road and called it a tie, saying Apple and Samsung both shipped 74.5 million devices, giving both companies an equal 19.6% share of the global smartphone market.
A tie game means we’re headed to overtime. Whether Apple can hold on to its maybe-possibly-kind-of lead over Samsung depends on how its newest iPhone models perform as their shine wears off. Apple’s sales numbers last quarter got a big boost from the introduction of the iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus, particularly in China, where the bigger devices were an equally big hit. If history is any indication, Apple won’t refresh its phone lineup for several months at the earliest, while Samsung is reportedly set to drop a new flagship model early this year to replace the Galaxy S5. If that as-yet-unannounced phone is a winner, it could put Samsung right back on top.
See the World Await and Celebrate Apple's iPhone 6
![Britain Apple iPhone People pass time as they wait outside an Apple store for the iPhone 6 and 6 Plus in London on Sept. 17, 2014.](https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/apple-iphone-6-release1.jpg?quality=75&w=2400)
![People wait for the release of Apple's new iPhone 6 and 6 Plus in front of the Apple Store at Tokyo's Ginza shopping district People wait for the release of Apple's new iPhone 6 and 6 Plus in front of the Apple Store in Tokyo on Sept. 18, 2014.](https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/apple-iphone-6-release2.jpg?quality=75&w=2400)
![BRITAIN-US-IT-APPLE-IPHONE A man sleeps in a tent in the queue outside an Apple store in London on Sept. 18, 2014.](https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/apple-iphone-6-release3.jpg?quality=75&w=2400)
![A man wearing a replica of an iPhone 6 Plus model on his head yawns while waiting for the release of Apple's new iPhone 6 and 6 Plus in Tokyo A man wearing a replica of an iPhone 6 Plus model on his head yawns while waiting in front of the Apple Store in Tokyo on Sept. 19, 2014.](https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/apple-iphone-6-release4.jpg?quality=75&w=2400)
![BRITAIN-US-IT-APPLE-IPHONE A woman sleeps in a chair as she waits in queue outside the Apple store in London on Sept. 18, 2014.](https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/apple-iphone-6-release5.jpg?quality=75&w=2400)
![A staff of Apple store removes a display poster of iPhone 5S as they prepare for Apple's new iPhone 6 and 6 Plus sale at Tokyo's Omotesando shopping district A staff member removes a display poster of iPhone 5S at the Apple store in Tokyo on Sept. 18, 2014,.](https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/apple-iphone-6-release6.jpg?quality=75&w=2400)
![HONG KONG-US-APPLE-TECHNOLOGY-SMARTPHONES-RETAIL Customers queue outside an Apple store in Hong Kong on Sept. 19, 2014.](https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/apple-iphone-6-release7.jpg?quality=75&w=2400)
![Japan Apple iPhone Ken Miyauchi Vice President of Softbank, Japanese mobile phone company and actress Sayaka Kanda, in a pink dress, react during a ceremony to mark the first day of sales of the latest iPhone 6 and 6 Plus at a store in Tokyo on Sept. 19, 2014.](https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/apple-iphone-6-release9.jpg?quality=75&w=2400)
![Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus go on sale in USA Apple iPhone 6 and iPhone 6 Plus go on sale in USA](https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/apple-iphone-6-release10.jpg?quality=75&w=2400)
![Apple iPhone 6/6 Plus Launch in Japan Apple store staff high five customers as they enter the store in Tokyo on Sept. 19, 2014.](https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/apple-iphone-6-release11.jpg?quality=75&w=2400)
![A man wearing a mask depicting Steve Jobs holds up a cardboard cut-out of Apple's new iPhone 6, as he walks into the Apple Store in Tokyo A man wearingaA man wearing a mask depicting Apple's co-founder Steve Jobs holds up a cardboard cut-out of Apple's new iPhone 6, as he walks into the Apple Store in Tokyo on Sept. 18, 2014. a mask depicting Steve Jobs holds up a cardboard cut-out of Apple's new iPhone 6, as he walks into the Apple Store in Tokyo](https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/apple-iphone-6-release13.jpg?quality=75&w=2400)
![iPhone 6 Andreas Gibson celebrates as he exits the Apple store after being the first to purchase an iPhone 6 Plus on Sept. 19, 2014 in New York.](https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/apple-iphone-6-release14.jpg?quality=75&w=2400)
![Launch Of The iPhone 6 & iPhone 6 Plus Jamael Ahmed jumps in the air as he leaves the store after being the first to purchase the iPhone 6 at Apple Covent Gardens in London on Sept. 19, 2014.](https://api.time.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/apple-iphone-6-release15.jpg?quality=75&w=2400)
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