--- title: Avengers: Doomsday Cast List: Confirmed Stars and Latest Odds description: See the latest Avengers: Doomsday cast odds for Deadpool, Wolverine, Tom Holland and the other Marvel stars who could appear. canonical: https://time.com/partner-content/prediction-markets/can-the-market-scoop-marvel/ author: Annie Nader article:opinion: false article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2026-08-18T14:17:41.014Z article:modified_time: 2026-08-18T14:17:11.462Z og:title: Avengers: Doomsday Cast List: Confirmed Stars and Latest Odds og:description: See the latest Avengers: Doomsday cast odds for Deadpool, Wolverine, Tom Holland and the other Marvel stars who could appear. og:url: https://time.com/partner-content/prediction-markets/can-the-market-scoop-marvel/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blte8fcb753e0dbd614/6a8202dcba6588ce75126620/GettyImages-2287653598.jpg?branch=production&width=2400&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 1200 og:image:height: 675 og:image:alt: GettyImages-2287653598.jpg og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: Avengers: Doomsday Cast List: Confirmed Stars and Latest Odds twitter:description: See the latest Avengers: Doomsday cast odds for Deadpool, Wolverine, Tom Holland and the other Marvel stars who could appear. twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blte8fcb753e0dbd614/6a8202dcba6588ce75126620/GettyImages-2287653598.jpg?branch=production&width=2400&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 --- The information presented here is created independently from the TIME editorial staff.  * [Prediction Market](/partner-content/prediction-markets/) # Can the Market Scoop Marvel? by [Annie Nader](https://time.com/author/annie-nader/) Prediction Markets Analyst Aug 18, 2026 2:17 PM UTC  Robert Downey Jr., Pedro Pascal and Chris Evans speak onstage during the 2026 Comic-Con International: San Diego - Marvel Studios Hall H presentation at San Diego Convention Center in San Diego, California on July 25, 2026. Robert Downey Jr., Pedro Pascal and Chris Evans speak onstage during the 2026 Comic-Con International: San Diego - Marvel Studios Hall H presentation at San Diego Convention Center in San Diego, California on July 25, 2026.Amy Sussman—Getty Images by [Annie Nader](https://time.com/author/annie-nader/) Prediction Markets Analyst Aug 18, 2026 2:17 PM UTC Nothing travels through the Marvel Cinematic Universe quite like a casting rumor with studio fingerprints on it. Hugh Jackman and Ryan Reynolds delivered one at Disney's D23 convention on Friday. In a [video message](https://x.com/VancityReynolds/status/2088645995353837768?ref%5Fsrc=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2088645995353837768%7Ctwgr%5E634082fdd50565456b41190990e79fbeaf512586%7Ctwcon%5Es1%5F&ref%5Furl=https%3A%2F%2Fmovieweb.com%2Fhugh-jackman-ryan-reynolds-d23-video%2F), Jackman—fed lines by Reynolds off-camera—sheepishly asked Marvel Studios head Kevin Feige whether he needed "some help rounding out" the _Avengers: Doomsday_ cast before adding that he "might be able to convince" Reynolds to appear in the film, too. When Reynolds posted the bit to X, fans treated it as unofficial confirmation that Deadpool and Wolverine had punched their tickets to _Doomsday_—and traders moved to price in the apparent reveal. > [](https://twitter.com/VancityReynolds/status/2088645995353837768?ref%5Fsrc=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E2088645995353837768%7Ctwgr%5E634082fdd50565456b41190990e79fbeaf512586%7Ctwcon%5Es1%5F&ref%5Furl=https%3A%2F%2Fmovieweb.com%2Fhugh-jackman-ryan-reynolds-d23-video%2F) The [confirmed cast list for _Avengers: Doomsday_](https://www.imdb.com/title/tt21357150/fullcredits/)reads less like an ensemble than an industry-wide census. Robert Downey Jr. will star in a [reported $100 million](https://www.imdb.com/news/ni65413899/) turn as Doctor Doom. Marvel has already announced a 30-name call sheet that leaves the B-list on the wrong side of Thanos' snap. But Marvel's favorite casting announcement is the one hidden behind the price of admission. The [studio protects its secrets](https://screenrant.com/avengers-infinity-war-fake-scripts/) with redacted scripts, decoy endings, and NDAs that leave its stars unable to confirm their own employment. Ahead of the film's December 18 release, traders are trying to predict the next casting reveal before it escapes Reynolds' drafts folder. ## **Avengers: Doomsday Cast List Odds** Here are the [odds for which actors will play which characters in Avengers: Doomsday,](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxroleinproductiondoomsday/who-will-be-playing-what-in-avengers-doomsday/kxroleinproductiondoomsday?op%5Fmarket%5Fticker=KXROLEINPRODUCTIONDOOMSDAY-BRI) per Kalshi.  Jackman's Wolverine had been trading at an 85% implied probability and Reynolds' Deadpool at 80% before the teaser video was posted. Both now sit at 93%. Neither actor has been officially confirmed, though [Marvel's own D23 recap](https://www.marvel.com/articles/movies/avengers-doomsday-cast-d23-2026-new-footage-poster-robert-downey-jr-chris-evans-hayley-atwell) might have nudged the rumor closer to confirmation. After recounting the duo's pitch, the article pivots directly to "[the film also stars](https://www.marvel.com/articles/movies/avengers-doomsday-cast-d23-2026-new-footage-poster-robert-downey-jr-chris-evans-hayley-atwell)" before listing the confirmed cast, leaving their names off the list while all but putting them on it. However you interpret that "also," the market has reached a verdict: if a studio intentionally stages a teaser about two of its most popular characters, it probably isn't keeping them out of the movie. D23 gave traders syntax to parse. The trailer had already given them faces. Captain America, Thor, Ant-Man, and Professor X are among the characters that appear in the trailer, which racked up 503 million views in its first 24 hours—the [second-biggest movie trailer launch](https://www.instagram.com/p/DbEjmr0j16K/?img%5Findex=2) on record, behind [_Spider-Man: Brand New Day_](https://time.com/partner-content/prediction-markets/prediction-markets-saw-spider-man-s-box-office-record-coming/). The only trailer to outdraw _Doomsday_ belongs to the hero at the center of the odds board. Tom Holland's Spider-Man is trading at a 59% implied probability. His contract traded as low as 24% before _Brand New Day_ was released. Then the film handed the market a new catalyst: its [post-credits scene](https://variety.com/2026/film/news/spider-man-brand-new-day-credits-avengers-doomsday-secret-wars-1236821075/) promises that "Spider-Man will return" as it locates the superhero outside Earth, implying he had crossed over into a different universe. Holland is coming back, but whether that means _Doomsday_ this December, _Secret Wars_ next year, or another stop on Marvel's calendar remains unclear. Traders can parse every clue the studio chooses to make public, but scooping Marvel outright may be an impossible bet. --- ## Read more from Prediction Markets [READ MORE](https://time.com/partner-content/prediction-markets/) [Open article: NFL MVP Starts (and Ends) Under Center](https://time.com/partner-content/prediction-markets/the-nfl-mvp-race-starts-and-ends-under-center/)  ### NFL MVP Starts (and Ends) Under Center [READ MORE](https://time.com/partner-content/prediction-markets/the-nfl-mvp-race-starts-and-ends-under-center/) [Open article: Bears Without Borders](https://time.com/partner-content/prediction-markets/bears-without-borders-is-chicago-s-team-moving-to-indiana/)  ### Bears Without Borders [READ MORE](https://time.com/partner-content/prediction-markets/bears-without-borders-is-chicago-s-team-moving-to-indiana/) [Open article: A Fake Report Sent Westbrook to Tel Aviv. He Retired the Next Day.](https://time.com/partner-content/prediction-markets/online-hoax-sent-russell-westbrook-to-tel-aviv-he-retired-the-next-day/)  ### A Fake Report Sent Westbrook to Tel Aviv. He Retired the Next Day. [READ MORE](https://time.com/partner-content/prediction-markets/online-hoax-sent-russell-westbrook-to-tel-aviv-he-retired-the-next-day/) --- ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/partner-content/prediction-markets/can-the-market-scoop-marvel/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/partner-content/prediction-markets/can-the-market-scoop-marvel/"},"headline":"Can the Market Scoop Marvel?","datePublished":"2026-08-18T14:17:41.014Z","dateModified":"2026-08-18T14:17:11.462Z","description":"Marvel is keeping the full Avengers: Doomsday cast under wraps. 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