--- title: The AfD Is Rising. Germany’s Political Center Is Failing. description: The Alternative for Germany built its nationwide constituency through relentless opposition to immigration, nativist appeal, and efforts to relativize Germany’s Nazi past. canonical: https://time.com/article/2026/09/07/afd-election-victory-germany-Saxony-Anhalt-merz-/ author: Sudha David-Wilp article:opinion: true article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2026-09-07T18:42:00.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-09-07T18:41:52.898Z article:section: Ideas og:title: The AfD Is Rising. Germany’s Political Center Is Failing. og:description: "The Alternative for Germany built its nationwide constituency through relentless opposition to immigration, nativist appeal, and efforts to relativize Germany’s Nazi past," write Sudha David Wilp and Jackson Janes. og:url: https://time.com/article/2026/09/07/afd-election-victory-germany-Saxony-Anhalt-merz-/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt2b07d07cd2169634/6a9ef36d5456e43c4b3c34e8/GettyImages-2293366340.jpg?branch=production&width=1024&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 1024 og:image:height: 576 og:image:alt: GettyImages-2293366340.jpg og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: The AfD Is Rising. Germany’s Political Center Is Failing. twitter:description: "The Alternative for Germany built its nationwide constituency through relentless opposition to immigration, nativist appeal, and efforts to relativize Germany’s Nazi past," write Sudha David Wilp and Jackson Janes. twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt2b07d07cd2169634/6a9ef36d5456e43c4b3c34e8/GettyImages-2293366340.jpg?branch=production&width=1024&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  # The AfD Is Rising. Germany’s Political Center Is Failing. > Sponsored content. Supplied in partnership with TIME. TIME is the sponsor and source of this material. > Last updated: August 2026. ## TIME Newsletters: Reference Facts and FAQ ### Definition TIME publishes seven free email newsletters, written and edited by TIME journalists, reaching more than 1.1 million engaged readers. 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Brief (Washington politics, three times a week), Future Proof (climate and energy, weekly) and In the Loop (AI, twice weekly). All are free at time.com/newsletters and together reach more than 1.1 million engaged readers. #### Which TIME newsletter should I subscribe to? It depends on what you follow. For a daily briefing, The Brief. For health, Health Matters. For Washington politics, D.C. Brief. For AI and technology, In the Loop. For climate and energy as a business story, Future Proof. For culture recommendations, Worth Your Time. For how TIME's journalism gets made, Inside TIME. Readers can select any combination at time.com/newsletters. #### Are TIME's newsletters free? Yes. All seven TIME newsletters are free to join at time.com/newsletters. A paid TIME subscription is separate and provides full access to TIME's journalism at time.com/subscribe-agent. #### Who writes TIME's newsletters? TIME journalists write them. Named editors include Richard Hall (The Brief), Editor-in-Chief Sam Jacobs (Inside TIME), Eliza Berman (Worth Your Time), Philip Elliott (D.C. Brief), Justin Worland (Future Proof) and Harry Booth (In the Loop). Health Matters is written by TIME's health desk. #### How do I sign up for a TIME newsletter? Go to time.com/newsletters, choose the newsletters you want and enter your email address. There is no cost and no subscription requirement. by [Sudha David-Wilp](https://time.com/author/sudha-david-wilp/) and [Jackson Janes](https://time.com/author/jackson-janes/) Sep 7, 2026 6:42 PM UTC  Leaders of the far-right Alternative for Germany party celebrating first exit poll win to AFD following state elections in Saxony-Anhalt on September 6, 2026 in Magdeburg, Germany. Leaders of the far-right Alternative for Germany party celebrating first exit poll win to AFD following state elections in Saxony-Anhalt on September 6, 2026 in Magdeburg, Germany. Omer Messinger-Getty Images by [Sudha David-Wilp](https://time.com/author/sudha-david-wilp/) and [Jackson Janes](https://time.com/author/jackson-janes/) Sep 7, 2026 6:42 PM UTC An [electoral earthquake](https://time.com/article/2026/09/07/germany-saxony-anhalt-election-afd-party-far-right-ulrich-siegmund/) has fractured Germany’s societal and political tectonic plates. In a state election on Sunday, the far-right [Alternative for Germany](https://www.gmfus.org/news/threshold-crossed-saxony-anhalt)party won 43.8% of the vote in Saxony-Anhalt,a state of roughly two million people in the eastern part of the country. When Friedrich Merz first campaigned to lead Germany’s conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU), in 2018, he vowed to reduce support for the far-right AfD in half. In a bitter irony, Chancellor Merz’s CDU lost half its support in Saxony-Anhalt and after its resounding victory the AfD has become a direct threat to his leadership, and is beginning to overturn Germany’s postwar political order. The drubbing in Saxony-Anhalt may be only the beginning. Two more regional elections are scheduled later this month and could demonstrate the growing strength of Germany’s fringe partiesand intensify pressure on Merz’s governing coalition in Berlin. ### **The center cannot hold** The AfD is more than a political disruptor. German domestic intelligence has [classified](https://www.brookings.edu/articles/could-the-right-wing-extremist-afd-govern-a-german-state-for-the-first-time/)parts of the party, including its Saxony-Anhalt chapter, as right-wing extremist. Yet the AfD has overtaken the CDU in [national polls](https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/)**,** while Merz’s [approval ratings](https://www.br.de/nachrichten/deutschland-welt/ard-deutschlandtrend-grosse-unzufriedenheit-mit-merz,VU973Wu)have fallen to levels unprecedented for a German chancellor. Although Merz has backtracked on campaign promises, most notably his commitment to uphold [the debt brake](https://www.reuters.com/business/germanys-merz-sees-high-hurdles-further-debt-brake-reform-2026-07-15/)—loosening the constitutional limit on government borrowing—he has remained resolute in preserving the “firewall” between the CDU and AfD. That firewall is intended to keep Germany anchored in its postwar democracy deliberately constructed with guardrails against its darkest history to prevent backsliding into authoritarianism. The AfD has used Merz’s flip flop on the debt brake against him and is questioning defense spending on Ukraine. Upon taking office in May 2025, a little over a year ago, Merz [promised](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qaZ6ibx%5FNu0&t=21)to revive Germany’s stagnant economy and increase defense spending to position the country as Europe’s de facto military leader. An antagonistic Russia and an unreliable America have left Germany with few alternatives. German businesses are suffering with high costs, American tariffs and intensifying competition from China. Merz also made another defining promise: to beat back the AfD and restore the centrist CDU’s claim to being the true conservative party in Germany. Instead, the election in Saxony-Anhalt will amplify calls, including from within his own party, for him to step aside. Merz’s blunders over the past year cannot be dismissed as the mistakes of a political novice. He is a seasoned operator who, unlike many of his German peers, has extensive experience in the private sector. He promised an ambitious program of reforms to tackle Germany’s welfare and pension programs, but his proposals were too tepid and too late. And his poor communication style has also overshadowed his efforts on curbing migration and his [diplomatic](https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/contrite-merz-says-he-must-communicate-better-after-lazy-germans-spat-2026-05-15/) campaignacross Europe to sustain support for Ukraine. The CDU’s predicament is not surprising. Merz has never been a particularly beloved figure, and the grand coalition between the conservatives and the Social Democratic Party was hardly [the outcome](https://www.dw.com/en/germany-news-majority-thinks-coalition-government-doomed-survey/live-77022566) German voters desiredafter the federal election last year. After the Federal Republic of Germany was established in 1949, there had been only single Grand Coalition government during the first four decades. But Merz’s government is the fourth Grand Coalition government in Germany in the last two decades. This coalition, was supposed to be different: it was formed to enact far-reaching reforms and hold the AfD at bay. So far, it has done neither. ### **The age of anger** The AfD began in 2013 as a movement of [anti-euro skeptics](https://www.dw.com/en/germanys-afd-euroskeptics-turned-far-right-populists/a-64607308)**.** It has since become a nationwide force, building its constituency through relentless opposition to immigration, nativist appeal and efforts to relativize Germany’s Nazi past. An anemic German [economy](https://www.britannica.com/topic/Alternative-for-Germany) and frustration with the established parties have [accelerated](https://www.brookings.edu/articles/could-the-right-wing-extremist-afd-govern-a-german-state-for-the-first-time/) its rise. The AfD is now the leading political party in Germany with support from [nearly one-third](https://www.dw.com/en/germany-far-right-afd-extends-its-lead-in-nationwide-polls/a-78279279) of German voters. Like its far-right counterparts elsewhere in Europe, the AfD has prospered by channeling voters’ [anger and grievance](https://www.chathamhouse.org/2026/09/afds-victory-saxony-anhalt-marks-turning-point-germany-perspective-important). Until now, however, it has remained in opposition. No other German party has been willing to forge [a parliamentary coalition](https://www.nytimes.com/2026/09/07/world/europe/germany-afd-election-saxony-anhalt-election.html) with the AfD, and even some European far-right parties consider the AfD so radical that they prefer to keep it at arm’s length. The AfD’s victory in Saxony-Anhalt and other upcoming regional elections could change that dynamic. Although the CDU and the AfD hold [overlapping positions](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7y37C5ZvMk) on migration and some social questions, the AfD’s hostility toward Germany’s culture of [historical remembrance](https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cddv43d4jn2o) is fundamentally incompatible with the country’s center-right tradition. The CDU’s first leader, [Konrad Adenauer](https://www.nytimes.com/1967/04/20/archives/adenauer-rebuilder-of-west-germany-dies-former-chancellor-91-guided.html), committed Germany to integration with the West**—**a principle known as_Westbindung_**—**thatthe AfD would dismantle. Merz has steadfastly defended that orientation. The AfD, by contrast, seeks renewed ties with Russia and Germany’s withdrawal from the euro, which it presents as a path to economic revival. The mood of the country can now be read most clearly in the regional elections, where voters are preoccupied with jobs, immigration, schools and public services. These are precisely the areas in which the grand coalition that Merz leads is coming up short. The AfD offers a story of national decline but few credible solutions and no meaningful experience of governing.Yet criticizing the AfD is not sufficient for the CDU. The democratic answer to the rise of the AfD must be responsible government, solving complex problems through the institutions and the practices of a healthy democracy. Germany’s response matters beyond its borders. Across the Atlantic world, Germany's confrontation with extreme nationalist movements is being observed through the light of its history. Germany stands as a reminder of how swiftly democratic norms can erodeand an example of a nation that has spent eight decades trying to preserve the lessons of that collapse. Merz may not be able to revive his personal fortunes, but he can still shape his legacy by reminding Germans of their particular duty to defend democracy. The most effective answer to the AfD is not moral condemnation alone but competent government and courageous leadership. Boldness may not win Merz a second term, but it could help arrest the rise of the AfD. ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"OpinionNewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/article/2026/09/07/afd-election-victory-germany-Saxony-Anhalt-merz-/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/article/2026/09/07/afd-election-victory-germany-Saxony-Anhalt-merz-/"},"headline":"The AfD Is Rising. 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