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title: Finally, Trump Seems to Get Putin
description: The President had a decade-long bromance with his Russian counterpart and is thankfully changing tack, writes Michael McFaul.
canonical: https://time.com/7302683/trump-reverses-appeasement-putin-russia/
author: Michael McFaul
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article:published_time: 2025-07-16T17:25:54.000Z
article:modified_time: 2026-10-19T08:09:01.096Z
article:section: Ideas
og:title: Finally, Trump Seems to Get Putin
og:description: The President had a decade-long bromance with his Russian counterpart and is thankfully changing tack, writes Michael McFaul.
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og:image:alt: President Trump Meets With NATO Secretary General Rutte At The White House
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twitter:description: The President had a decade-long bromance with his Russian counterpart and is thankfully changing tack, writes Michael McFaul.
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# Finally, Trump Seems to Get Putin

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## Video: Trump Threatens Tariffs on Russia in Ultimatum to Putin Over Ukraine Peace Deal

[Watch (HLS stream): Trump Threatens Tariffs on Russia in Ultimatum to Putin Over Ukraine Peace Deal](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/jIhV2hW2.m3u8) (1:08)

![Trump Threatens Tariffs on Russia in Ultimatum to Putin Over Ukraine Peace Deal](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/jIhV2hW2/poster.jpg?width=720)

_Published 2025-07-14. Donald Trump has threatened Russia with “very severe tariffs​” should it fail to reach a cease-fire deal with Ukraine within 50 days, signaling a hardened U.S. stance as the war enters a volatile new phase._


by 

[Michael McFaul](https://time.com/author/michael-mcfaul/)


## Michael McFaul


Michael McFaul is director of the Freeman Spogli Institute, professor of Political Science, and senior fellow at the Hoover Institute, all at Stanford.

Jul 16, 2025 5:25 PM UTC

Donald Trump has threatened Russia with “very severe tariffs​” should it fail to reach a cease-fire deal with Ukraine within 50 days, signaling a hardened U.S. stance as the war enters a volatile new phase. 

by 

[Michael McFaul](https://time.com/author/michael-mcfaul/)


## Michael McFaul


Michael McFaul is director of the Freeman Spogli Institute, professor of Political Science, and senior fellow at the Hoover Institute, all at Stanford.

Jul 16, 2025 5:25 PM UTC

President [Donald J. Trump](https://time.com/7200212/person-of-the-year-2024-donald-trump/) seems to have finally figured out who Vladimir Putin really is. In announcing the [sale of new U.S. weapons to NATO countries](https://time.com/7301675/ukraine-us-weapons-nato-military-defense-spending-trump-putin-russia/) that will then transfer weapons to Ukraine, Trump has finally pivoted away from his failed policy of appeasing the Russian dictator. He also suggested that the U.S. is prepared to [impose sanctions on countries](https://time.com/7302158/trump-tariffs-putin-ukraine-russia-war-nato-weapons/) importing Russian oil and gas. That’s also new, and if it occurs, welcome.

Trump’s change in approach toward Putin was a very long time in the making. I first wrote op-eds criticizing Trump’s bromance with Putin over a decade ago. In 2017, I even gave a TED Talk called [Why do Trump and Putin get along so well?](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8bwKjO9hauw)Throughout his first term, Trump remained loyal to Putin, despite many of his senior foreign policy advisers urging him to change tack. Most shockingly, at the 2018 Helsinki summit, Trump [sided](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-44852812) with Putin over his intelligence community when he wrongly affirmed that there was no Russian meddling in the 2016 election.

**Read More:** [_Why Trump's U-Turn on Ukraine Matters_](https://time.com/7302305/trump-ukraine-patriots-russia-sanctions/)

In the first months of his second term, Trump stayed loyal to Putin. He showered the Russian autocrat with [countless concessions](https://michaelmcfaul.substack.com/p/the-art-of-a-really-bad-deal) to get him to end his invasion of Ukraine, including signaling a willingness to lift sanctions and recognize Crimea as part of Russia. Trump’s special envoy, Steve Witkoff, repeatedly praised the Russian strongman [in their private meetings](https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c0kxrlypg6vo). Meanwhile, Trump [called Volodymyr](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/feb/19/ukraine-zelenskyy-says-trump-living-in-russian-disinformation-bubble) [Zelensky a dictator](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/feb/19/ukraine-zelenskyy-says-trump-living-in-russian-disinformation-bubble), and in a [humiliating Oval Office meeting](https://time.com/7262883/trump-zelensky-meeting/), Vice President J.D. Vance asked the Ukrainian President why he never says thank you. And instead of inducements, Trump only pressured Ukraine as a means to end the war, even [suspending military aid](https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/mar/04/us-military-aid-ukraine-pause-trump-zelenskyy-updates). 

So, Trump’s criticism of Putin lately and his [policy changes](https://apnews.com/article/trump-ukraine-weapons-pentagon-15694071ddb6f7040273e9ef090e84c4) are significant. Putin has made a grave mistake in handling Trump. After Trump offered Putin sweeping concessions—which if accepted would have produced a terrible peace deal for Ukraine—the Russian leader only demanded more. It wasn’t enough that he would be allowed to [occupy five Ukrainian regions](https://www.theguardian.com/world/ng-interactive/2025/may/22/what-would-russias-peace-deal-demands-really-mean-for-ukraine-visualised) and [keep Ukraine out of NATO](https://edition.cnn.com/2025/02/12/europe/analysis-hegseth-nato-trump-ukraine-russia-war-intl-latam/index.html). Putin [also demanded](https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-ukraine-talk-about-peace-are-still-far-apart-2025-06-02/) that the West stop providing weapons to Ukraine and even insisted that Zelensky be removed before Russia would negotiate a peace deal. 


As he has done in the past—be it election meddling, [propping up](https://edition.cnn.com/2024/12/09/europe/syria-russia-bashar-al-assad-analysis-intl-hnk) Syrian dictator Bashar al-Assad, or most egregiously launching a full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022 that failed to accomplish his goals—Putin overreached. He asked for too much, believing that Trump would either acquiesce or just abandon Ukraine. Putin maybe had reason to believe that he could get more from a U.S. President who seemed unconcerned about the details of a peace deal and just focused on claiming success in ending the war. (Trump [vowed](https://edition.cnn.com/2025/04/25/politics/fact-check-trump-ukraine-war) to end the war on "day one" and[ covets a Nobel Peace Prize](https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/07/15/ukraine-weapons-support-nobel-peace-prize/).) However, Trump is also an impatient leader. When Putin showed little interest in genuine peace talks, Trump began to look weak. Finally, and thankfully, he had enough.

Trump’s NATO deal will lead to large-scale arms deliveries for Ukraine and profits for American weapons makers. I would have liked to see the U.S. also participate in providing some future military assistance to Ukraine. We, after all, are also a member of the defense alliance. We should share the burden of this mission. 


**Read More:** [_The Man Who Wants to Save NATO_](https://time.com/7295448/rutte-nato-secretary-general-interview/)

I also applaud Trump’s threat of a 100% tariff on countries that import Russian oil and gas. But why must we wait 50 days before implementing them? Trump can act today through executive action. I am also worried that he may not follow through by the deadline. China and India are the top two recipients of Russian energy exports, and the expectation that they will pressure Putin to end his war in the next 50 days seems naïve.

My final worry is that an unpredictableTrump will simply change his mind. One bad phone call with Zelensky or good conversation with Putin could see Trump change course again.

Nonetheless, his rhetoric and policy toward Russia is much better today than it was over the previous decade. Let’s celebrate the win this week, and hope for even more in the coming months.


## Transcript

[00:00] And one of the reasons that you're here today is to hear that we are very unhappy.
[00:05] I am with Russia,
[00:08] but we'll discuss that maybe a different day, but we're very,
[00:12] very unhappy with them and we're going to be doing
[00:15] very severe tariffs if we don't have a deal in 50 days,
[00:20] tariffs that are about 100%,
[00:22] you'd call them secondary tariffs.
[00:24] You know what that means.
[00:25] But today we're going to talk about something else.
[00:29] And as you know,
[00:30] we've spent $350 billion approximately on
[00:34] this war with Russia and Ukraine and would like to see it end.
[00:39] It wasn't my war. It was Biden's war. It's not my war.
[00:42] I'm trying to get you out of it,
[00:44] and we want to see it end.
[00:47] And I'm disappointed in President Putin
[00:49] because I thought we would have had a deal two months ago,
[00:52] but it doesn't seem to get there.
[00:54] So based on that, we're going to be doing secondary tariffs.
[00:58] If we don't have a deal on 50 days,
[00:59] it's very simple and they'll be at 100%.
[01:02] And that's the way it is.
[01:04] That can be more simple.
[01:06] It's just the way it is. I hope we don't have to do it.

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