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title: Will the New COVID-19 Vaccine Work Against BA.2.86 Variant?
description: An updated COVID-19 vaccine is expected in September, but new variants like BA.2.86 are already spreading in the U.S.
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author: Alice Park
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article:published_time: 2023-08-25T16:35:44.000Z
article:modified_time: 2026-08-04T07:50:57.962Z
article:section: Health
og:title: Will the New COVID-19 Vaccine Work Against the BA.2.86 Variant?
og:description: An updated COVID-19 vaccine is expected in September, but new variants like BA.2.86 are already spreading in the U.S.
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twitter:title: Will the New COVID-19 Vaccine Work Against the BA.2.86 Variant?
twitter:description: An updated COVID-19 vaccine is expected in September, but new variants like BA.2.86 are already spreading in the U.S.
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# Will the New COVID-19 Vaccine Work Against the BA.2.86 Variant?

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<!-- video src="https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/HNgVhsur.m3u8" -->
## Video: New CDC Director Mandy Cohen on Abortion, COVID-19, and More

[Watch (HLS stream): New CDC Director Mandy Cohen on Abortion, COVID-19, and More](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/HNgVhsur.m3u8) (8:31)

![New CDC Director Mandy Cohen on Abortion, COVID-19, and More](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/HNgVhsur/poster.jpg?width=720)

_Published 2023-08-21. New CDC Director Mandy Cohen talks about abortion, COVID-19, public mistrust in the federal agency, and more._


![Alice Park](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt9b1ff6b12c3a4c3f/698a0b4397cdff3e366ba723/200116_Time_Headshots_Day552832-e1583529256299.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1:1)

by 

[Alice Park](https://time.com/author/alice-park/)


![Alice Park](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt9b1ff6b12c3a4c3f/698a0b4397cdff3e366ba723/200116_Time_Headshots_Day552832-e1583529256299.jpg?branch=production&width=96&quality=75&auto=webp)

## Alice Park


Senior Correspondent

Aug 25, 2023 4:35 PM UTC

![COVID-19 new Omicron sub-variant BQ.1.1](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt15a1ac60e31ad476/698a3fd14ee26268c831bae5/GettyImages-1435658319.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=3:2)

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![Alice Park](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt9b1ff6b12c3a4c3f/698a0b4397cdff3e366ba723/200116_Time_Headshots_Day552832-e1583529256299.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1:1)

by 

[Alice Park](https://time.com/author/alice-park/)


![Alice Park](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt9b1ff6b12c3a4c3f/698a0b4397cdff3e366ba723/200116_Time_Headshots_Day552832-e1583529256299.jpg?branch=production&width=96&quality=75&auto=webp)

## Alice Park


Senior Correspondent

Aug 25, 2023 4:35 PM UTC

COVID-19 isn’t quite done with the world yet. Small [surges](https://time.com/6299476/summer-uptick-covid-19-us/) of cases in the U.S., as well as [upticks in COVID-19 hospitalizations](https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#maps%5Fnew-admissions-rate-county) over the summer, and [new variants](https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variants-genomic-surveillance) that weren’t around even three months ago, remind us that SARS-CoV-2 is still a health threat for the coming fall and winter.

The U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) is expected to make a decision about which strain to target in the updated vaccine, which the agency says will be available in mid-to-late September. The FDA will be considering recommendations by the panel of independent vaccine experts it convened in June, which reviewed the latest data on an updated COVID-19 vaccine and which strains would likely be circulating in the fall and winter. The 21-member panel [voted unanimously](https://www.fda.gov/media/169591/download) to update the next COVID-19 vaccine, and recommended moving from the current bivalent shot that targets two Omicron variants, BA.4 and BA.5, to now include a single XBB strain. The agency is still deciding which specific XBB strain the new vaccine will incorporate, although at the time, the[ ](https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions)[dominant strain](https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions) causing new infections was XBB.1.5.

As of the middle of August, however, new variants have emerged, and XBB.1.5 now accounts for around [5% to 6% of infections in the U.S](https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#variant-proportions). Omicron variant EG.5, a new evolution of XBB, is now the dominant variant, contributing to 20% of COVID-19 infections in the country, followed by Omicron FL.1.5.1, which accounts for 13% of cases. And two cases of BA.2.86, a descendant of XBB.1.5, have recently been reported in the U.S. It contains dozens of mutations that researchers are studying to understand whether the variant could potentially spread faster or cause more severe disease.

Based on the June recommendation, vaccine makers have been manufacturing updated vaccines that target XBB, in order to ensure enough doses are ready by the fall and winter season. How well do these vaccines work against the newer variants?

### More From TIME


In August, Moderna [reported](https://investors.modernatx.com/news/news-details/2023/Moderna-Clinical-Trial-Data-Confirm-Its-Updated-COVID-19-Vaccine-Generates-Robust-Immune-Response-in-Humans-Against-Widely-Circulating-Variants/default.aspx) that its XBB-based vaccine can neutralize the newer EG.5 and FL.1.5.1 variants as well as XBB. The results were based on early findings from a study the company conducted to test its vaccine in a small group of people.

Pfizer said in a statement to TIME that in a study in mice, its XBB vaccine “effectively neutralized a number of Omicron XBB variants, including XBB.1.5 and EG.5.1.”

Novavax similarly reported that its XBB-targeted vaccine generated neutralizing antibodies against EG.5.1, but its studies were also limited to animals. The company’s vaccine uses a different technology from Moderna that relies on including viral proteins in the vaccine to stimulate the immune system, and takes slightly longer to manufacture. Moderna and Pfizer’s vaccine use genetic material from the virus, in the form of mRNA, to activate an immune response—this technology makes it possible to generate new vaccines in about six weeks, shorter than Novavax’s approach takes.


In any case, all those early findings are good news for the upcoming COVID-19 season—so far. Because the newer variants dominating U.S. cases are still part of the Omicron family, the vaccines made to target XBB may still be effective against them because the shots focus on portions of the virus that remain the same among these different versions.

## **How dangerous is the BA.2.86 variant?**

But it's not clear how long that luck will continue to hold. Some [experts](https://slides.com/jbloom/new%5F2nd%5Fgen%5Fba2%5Fvariant) are already raising alarms about BA.2.86, which has contributed to only a handful of cases worldwide so far. But it contains [more than three dozen new mutations](https://slides.com/jbloom/new%5F2nd%5Fgen%5Fba2%5Fvariant) compared to XBB.1.5, based on nine viral genomes that researchers have analyzed so far, and therefore represents an evolutionary jump from existing strains that could make it a threat to public health. So far, only [two cases](https://www.cdc.gov/respiratory-viruses/whats-new/covid-19-variant.html) of the new variant have been reported in the U.S., but there have been cases in a number of other countries, including Denmark, South Africa, Israel, and the U.K.


The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a [statement](https://www.cdc.gov/respiratory-viruses/whats-new/covid-19-variant.html) on Aug. 23 summarizing what’s known so far about the variant, which isn’t much. So far, current tests and treatments, including antiviral drugs, are effective against BA.2.86\. But early data suggest that this strain may be more likely to infect people who have been vaccinated or have had previous infections than previous strains. Still, “\[a\]t this point, there is no evidence that this variant is causing more severe illness,” the agency said, and “CDC’s current assessment is that \[the\] updated vaccine will be effective at reducing severe disease and hospitalization.”

CDC director Dr. Mandy Cohen recently [told TIME](https://time.com/6306849/mandy-cohen-cdc-director-qa/) she is not concerned about the current level of COVID-19 hospitalizations from COVID-19\. But, she added, “we’re going to continue to watch that. We have to keep vigilant and make sure that we’re using the tools \[we have\] to protect ourselves.” There’s no certainty yet whether BA.2.86 will continue to increase, whether it will lead to a spike in hospitalizations, or whether the XBB vaccines will be able to generate a strong enough immune response to protect against infection. The World Health Organization has [classified BA.2.86](https://www.who.int/activities/tracking-SARS-CoV-2-variants) as a “variant under monitoring,” and the CDC will continue to track the variant through systems such as genomic testing of [travelers](https://time.com/6286825/covid-19-variant-tracking-airports-cdc/) coming to the U.S. and sampling and [sequencing](https://time.com/6194539/wastewater-covid-19-variants/) of [wastewater samples](https://www.cdc.gov/nwss/wastewater-surveillance.html) throughout the country.


## Transcript

Data is the oxygen that powers our ability to respond to threats and so if we don't have access to that data we are not as strong enough asset to respond to threats. So we definitely do need more work to do. Both the build the pipes on connecting all these different data sources but also to have the authority to say you we need to we need to do this in order to protect our country and to have a national security asset that can respond to those threats. One of the issues I think that people are grappling with right now and the agency isn't mistrust in science in general. But I think in the CDC in particular, I'd love to get your perspective on that perspective.

Both coming from the outside as Secretariat in North Carolina and now that your director how you how you plan to address that will first, I think trust is absolutely foundational. I think change happens at the pace of trust it. So it it underlies, everything that we do and I will say, as Health and Human Services, secretary for North Carolina. We called out and named trust as Central to how we responded to the covid crisis. We thought about it every day and we measured it importantly. And what we saw over the course of leading through that crisis, we saw trust actually increase in the department that Iran which was different than what we were seeing and some other parts of the country.

And I think We were able to build trust, cuz we focused on three things. One, we focus on really building relationships to, we were incredibly transparent. We use Simple communication. We did 170 press conferences. I think an 18 months. So we were answering questions all the time because we were learning new things and then third, we made sure that folks were knowing that we were performing every day for them, that we were delivering, the vaccines were the tests that they needed to protect themselves. So we focus on those three aspects. We talked about it and we measured it. So I think we, we did a great job in North Carolina.

I'm hoping to bring those that work in those lessons at 2 to the work here at CTC. How concerned are you about the increasing hospitalizations from covid? Be cuz you know since we're not tracking cases, so much anymore. Opposition's is like a good litmus test for, you know, like severe case there are people getting sick or from from their infections. How concerned are you about that? Trend. So we are seeing hospitalizations go up for here in August of 2023. And it's reminding us that we are living with code. That's right. It is not gone. And that means we need to continue to Avail ourselves of the tools that protect us.

Vaccines testing and treatment. Luckily, we have more tools than ever before going into these next season and we're going to have a new booster that comes out in the middle of September. So we have the tools, we just need to use them but I'd say about the current level, I'm not concerned right now but you know, we're going to continue to watch that. If you saw the highest number of hospitalizations we had last year is about 45,000 for about ten thousand right now. So we're much lower than we were. The peak last year but we have to keep Vigilant than making sure that were using the tool to protect ourselves.

If you're going to hear us talk a lot about vaccines testing and treatment, that things are safe and effective. If we have great test, that can rapidly identify what you have and then treatment that works, but you have to use it right away. Can we look at some of the big health issues especially in the past year that, you know, the country is facing? I think women's reproductive Health has been really a Hot Topic with some of the restrictions that have been placed on choices that women have regarding contraception and abortion. What role does the CDC has in ensuring that we would continue to have access to as many healthy and, you know, evidence-based choices as possible.

The mission of the CDC is to protect and improve health. And in order to be able to do that, we need to make sure that folks have access to the tools that can keep them healthy at all moments of their life, whether they're thinking about becoming pregnant during their pregnancy. Or even after when they're young mom and we have a lot of data and best practices and evidence that we can bring to bear to show that when we work with Mom, so that they are getting pregnant when they are ready and want to meeting that they have access to contraception. So they're not getting pregnant if it's not. Right time for them and their family.

That means babies have better outcomes as do Mom. And just this week, we've seen another blow in in the form of the the appeals court decisions, you know, backing the Texas judge's ruling on Meet the Press Stone. It remains available, but this is going to be debated in the court. How much of an impediment is that this is something that there is good science behind and yet we're looking, you know, to a whole different system. The legal system to kind of decide whether women can have access to it or not as a as a physician and as a public health leader, how does that strike you? So disappointed that we are here and that we are having the conversation to revisit whether or not women should have access to health care when they need it.

I will say as both a mom of two daughters a physician and now the director of the CDC know I'm going to continue to make sure that we are working to make sure women has access to Care when they need it, that they have medical treatment when they need and that's all parts of their life. The issues. I think that has impart led to the mistress in the skepticism of the agency in science and journal was the politicization of Health. It became a political rather than a scientific issue. You know, based on strong scientific evidence. As secretary North Carolina, did you see some of that in your own State?

And as you saw it on the national level, what concerns you had, and also how you plan to address that now is director of CDC. Well, I think it's always important for us to have good discourse and good dialogue. I think it's important when we're wrestling with heart issues that we hear from different folks. But what we want to make sure is that that dialogue is respectful. I saw that in North Carolina, credibly good, relationships across the aisle. I worked for a Democratic governor but we had a super majority of Republicans in our state legislature. But we had good relationships and I think it's because we were willing to answer questions that we were transparent, folks knew that they could get me on the phone to answer questions and I was happy to do.

It doesn't mean We always agreed on every issue, but we were able to have that respectful dialogue as I get to know members of Congress and in my new role. And that's what I see as well as having building those relationships being available to answer their questions and focusing on the places where I see a lot of consensus. And I do see consensus on making sure we have an asset for our country, that is identifying threats and responding quickly to them. So, if we haven't a new virus or a new chemical, or what have you that, we are able to respond quickly. So I see a lot of consensus around having that ass.

I also see a lot of consensus on addressing mental health. We all know that mental health unfortunately has seen, you know, a lot of challenges that happens in any crisis whether it's a hurricane or a pandemic. And so I feel a lot of consensus on coming together to think about ways to address that. I was just talking to a couple of members of Congress and how do we work together and suicide, prevention, for example. In the third area consensus. I really see it around young families thinking about, how do we get Upstream from some of the issues? We see John thring whether that's diabetes or mental health issues in addiction.

There are ways proven ways with evidence that we know, we can prevent we know that we are a stronger country if we are healthy and what does it take to become that? So those are the areas you're going to hear me focus on right? Making sure we have that asset to respond to threats that we address our mental health issues, and that we're also doing the prevention to make us the healthiest country, we possibly can be

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