--- title: Donald Trump Impeachment Predicted in New Book description: The professor who correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984 is now writing a book predicting President Trump's impeachment canonical: https://time.com/4677042/donald-trump-impeachment-book/ author: Katie Reilly article:opinion: true article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2017-02-21T17:11:18.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-02-23T03:26:21.928Z article:section: Ideas og:title: That Professor Who Predicted Trump's Win Is Now Making an Impeachment Case og:description: Allan Lichtman is releasing a book on President Trump's potential impeachment og:url: https://time.com/4677042/donald-trump-impeachment-book/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt96f4f69c8bfb9120/6988bb262dce01d5759ec581/allan-lichtman-trump-impeachment.jpg?branch=production&width=3840&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 1200 og:image:height: 675 og:image:alt: TO GO WITH AFP STORY BY MICHAEL MATHESA og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: That Professor Who Predicted Trump's Win Is Now Making an Impeachment Case twitter:description: Allan Lichtman is releasing a book on President Trump's potential impeachment twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt96f4f69c8bfb9120/6988bb262dce01d5759ec581/allan-lichtman-trump-impeachment.jpg?branch=production&width=3840&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  # That Professor Who Predicted Donald Trump's Win Is Now Making the Case for Impeachment  by [Katie Reilly](https://time.com/author/katie-reilly/)  ## Katie Reilly Feb 21, 2017 5:11 PM UTC  TO GO WITH AFP STORY BY MICHAEL MATHES Allan Lichtman, Distinguished Professor at American University and author of "Predicting The Next President, the Keys to the White House 2012" discusses his 13 keys to a successful election campaign on April 13, 2012 in his office at American University in Washington, DC. He has predicted every election correctly since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election, and predicts US President Barack Obama is looking good for a 2012 win. Lichtman developed his 13 Keys (Party mandate, Contest, Incumbency, Third Party, Short term economy, Long-term economy, Policy change, Social unrest, Scandal, Foreign/military failure vs Foreign/military success, Incumbent charisma, and Challenger charisma) to a successful campaign in 1981 which indicate a trending winner and has consulted popular politicians, foreign goverments, and even the CIA. AFP Photo/Paul J. Richards (Photo credit should read PAUL J. RICHARDS/AFP/Getty Images) TO GO WITH AFP STORY BY MICHAEL MATHES Allan Lichtman, Distinguished Professor at American University and author of "Predicting The Next President, the Keys to the White House 2012" discusses his 13 keys to a successful election campaign on April 13, 2012 in his office at American University in Washington, DC. He has predicted every election correctly since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 re-election, and predicts US President Barack Obama is looking good for a 2012 win. Lichtman developed his 13 Keys (Party mandate, Contest, Incumbency, Third Party, Short term economy, Long-term economy, Policy change, Social unrest, Scandal, Foreign/military failure vs Foreign/military success, Incumbent charisma, and Challenger charisma) to a successful campaign in 1981 which indicate a trending winner and has consulted popular politicians, foreign goverments, and even the CIA. AFP Photo/Paul J. Richards (Photo credit should read PAUL J. RICHARDS/AFP/Getty Images)Paul J. Richards—AFP/Getty Images  by [Katie Reilly](https://time.com/author/katie-reilly/)  ## Katie Reilly Feb 21, 2017 5:11 PM UTC The professor who has correctly predicted every presidential election since 1984 — including [Donald Trump](http://time.com/4672974/donald-trump-white-house-chaos/)‘s [unexpected victory](http://time.com/magazine/us/4565955/november-21st-2016-vol-188-no-21-u-s/) — is now writing a book on what he says is Trump’s imminent [impeachment](http://time.com/4662800/campaign-impeach-president-donald-trump/). Allan Lichtman, a professor at American University, has used a [set of keys](https://www.amazon.com/Predicting-Next-President-White-House/dp/1442269200/ref=sr%5F1%5Fcc%5F1?s=aps&ie=UTF8&qid=1478884069&sr=1-1-catcorr&keywords=allan+lichtman+keys+to+the+white+house) to accurately predict every presidential election for more than 30 years. “Now, he focuses on the 45th President of the United States and his next forecast, that it is not a question of _if_ President Trump will be impeached, but a question of _when,”_ Shelby Meizlik, a spokesperson for HarperCollins, said in a statement Tuesday. In his book, _The Case for Impeachment,_ Lichtman will argue that Trump is susceptible to impeachment because of questions surrounding his [ties to](http://time.com/4672853/trump-russia-investigation-puting-congress-flynn/)[ Russia](http://time.com/4672853/trump-russia-investigation-puting-congress-flynn/) and potential [conflicts of interest](http://time.com/4629308/donald-trump-business-deals-world-map/) related to his businesses, the statement said. The book was acquired by Dey Street Books and is scheduled to be released on April 18\. Even before Election Day, Lichtman predicted that, if elected, Trump would be impeached. “I’m going to make another prediction,” he [told the Washington _Post_](https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/11/11/prediction-professor-who-called-trumps-big-win-also-made-another-forecast-trump-will-be-impeached/?utm%5Fterm=.22f5c9698b45) in September. “This one is not based on a system; it’s just my gut. They don’t want Trump as president, because they can’t control him. He’s unpredictable. They’d love to have Pence — an absolutely down-the-line, conservative, controllable Republican. And I’m quite certain Trump will give someone grounds for impeachment, either by doing something that endangers national security or because it helps his pocketbook.” Donald Trump Impeachment Predicted in New Book ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"OpinionNewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/4677042/donald-trump-impeachment-book/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/4677042/donald-trump-impeachment-book/"},"headline":"That Professor Who Predicted Donald Trump's Win Is Now Making the Case for Impeachment","datePublished":"2017-02-21T17:11:18.000Z","dateModified":"2026-02-23T03:26:21.928Z","description":"Allan Lichtman is releasing a book on President Trump's potential impeachment","url":"https://time.com/4677042/donald-trump-impeachment-book/","keywords":["White House","2016 Election topic","Election 2016","Donald Trump","onetime"],"thumbnailUrl":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt96f4f69c8bfb9120/6988bb262dce01d5759ec581/allan-lichtman-trump-impeachment.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Katie Reilly","jobTitle":null,"url":"https://time.com/author/katie-reilly/"}],"articleSection":"Ideas","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt96f4f69c8bfb9120/6988bb262dce01d5759ec581/allan-lichtman-trump-impeachment.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","width":1200,"height":675,"headline":"TO GO WITH AFP STORY BY MICHAEL MATHESA","caption":"TO GO WITH AFP STORY BY MICHAEL MATHESA","creditText":"Paul J. 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