As Beyoncé and Adele duke it out for the top awards at this year’s Grammys, a number of familiar faces—Kanye West, Justin Bieber, Drake, and Frank Ocean, to name just a few—will be sitting out the ceremony, each for his own reasons. And though their absence leads many to question the relevance of what has long been considered music’s biggest night, what really matters are the winners, whether they show their faces or not.

Beyoncé heads into the evening with a healthy nine nominations, followed by Rihanna, Drake, Chance the Rapper and Adele across the seemingly endless number of categories. In preparation for the ceremony on Sunday, Feb. 12, here’s a run-down of what should happen, and what most likely will happen, across the biggest categories of the night.

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