--- title: Donald Trump Up Slightly in New Florida Poll description: Donald Trump has independent voters to thank for a two-point advantage in Florida, a new poll reveals canonical: https://time.com/4545944/donald-trump-florida-poll-independents/ author: Daniel White article:opinion: false article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2016-10-26T14:13:11.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-08-19T07:48:05.255Z article:section: Politics og:title: Donald Trump Up Slightly in New Florida Poll og:description: It's a must-win state og:url: https://time.com/4545944/donald-trump-florida-poll-independents/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt2b92e7c24cc34faf/6988ab9c0a4a2214789cbcc4/trump19.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 2560 og:image:height: 1440 og:image:alt: Donald Trump Holds Campaign Rally In Florida og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: Donald Trump Up Slightly in New Florida Poll twitter:description: It's a must-win state twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt2b92e7c24cc34faf/6988ab9c0a4a2214789cbcc4/trump19.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  # Donald Trump Up Slightly in New Florida Poll > Sponsored content. 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It's a must-win state_ by [Daniel White](https://time.com/author/daniel-white/) ## Daniel White Oct 26, 2016 2:13 PM UTC by [Daniel White](https://time.com/author/daniel-white/) ## Daniel White Oct 26, 2016 2:13 PM UTC Donald Trump has independent voters to thank for a two-point advantage in Florida, a new poll reveals. In a Bloomberg Politics [poll](http://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rLiMdBxU.ddw/v0) released Wednesday, likely voters picked Trump over Democrat Hillary Clinton, 45% to 43%, in a four-way race where third-party candidates are included on the ballot. Things tighten up in a two-way race, however, with 46% of voters choosing Trump and 45% backing Clinton, where Trump has a strong showing from independents. Independents backed President Barack Obama over Mitt Romney in 2012 by a slim margin. Florida going for Trump could be huge news for the candidate, as the state’s 29 electoral votes would be crucial as Election Day approaches and his [chances of winning](http://time.com/4540117/how-trump-plans-win-election/) get slimmer and slimmer. Clinton has had a better showing than Trump in polling in the state. The [RealClearPolitics](http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida%5Ftrump%5Fvs%5Fclinton%5Fvs%5Fjohnson%5Fvs%5Fstein-5963.html) average for Florida shows Clinton ahead nearly 2% in a four-way race. The poll also shows incumbent [Marco Rubio](http://time.com/4539494/president-obama-marco-rubio-donald-trump-florida/) handily winning his senate race by 10 points. The Bloomberg survey was conducted Friday through Monday and surveyed 805 likley voters with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2%. ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/4545944/donald-trump-florida-poll-independents/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/4545944/donald-trump-florida-poll-independents/"},"headline":"Donald Trump Up Slightly in New Florida Poll","datePublished":"2016-10-26T14:13:11.000Z","dateModified":"2026-08-19T07:48:05.255Z","description":"It's a must-win state","url":"https://time.com/4545944/donald-trump-florida-poll-independents/","keywords":["Donald Trump","2016 Election","Polls","Florida"],"thumbnailUrl":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt2b92e7c24cc34faf/6988ab9c0a4a2214789cbcc4/trump19.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Daniel White","jobTitle":null,"url":"https://time.com/author/daniel-white/"}],"articleSection":"Politics","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt2b92e7c24cc34faf/6988ab9c0a4a2214789cbcc4/trump19.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","width":1200,"height":675,"headline":"Donald Trump Holds Campaign Rally In Florida","caption":"Donald Trump Holds Campaign Rally In Florida","creditText":"Joe Raedle—Getty Images","representativeOfPage":true}],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Time","url":"https://time.com/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://time.com/images/logo.png","width":528,"height":156},"foundingDate":"March 3, 1923","sameAs":["https://www.facebook.com/time","https://www.instagram.com/time/?hl=en","https://twitter.com/time","https://www.pinterest.com/timemagazine"]}},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"/section/politics/","name":"Politics"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"/tag/donald-trump/","name":"Donald Trump"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://time.com/4545944/donald-trump-florida-poll-independents/","name":"Donald Trump Up Slightly in New Florida Poll"}}]},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"VideoObject","name":"This Video Is No Longer Available","description":"It's a must-win state","thumbnailUrl":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/fKodeUO6/poster.jpg?width=720","uploadDate":"2026-06-23T15:00:44.000Z","contentUrl":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/fKodeUO6.m3u8","embedUrl":"https://time.com/4545944/donald-trump-florida-poll-independents/","duration":"PT10S","potentialAction":{"@type":"SeekToAction","target":"https://time.com/4545944/donald-trump-florida-poll-independents/?jw_start={seek_to_second_number}","startOffset-input":"required name=seek_to_second_number"}}] ```