--- title: Donald Trump's Economic Plan: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly description: With a big speech to the Detroit Economic Club, Donald Trump has tried to establish his bona fides as a growth candidate. canonical: https://time.com/4444632/donald-trump-economic-plan-analysis/ author: TIME article:opinion: true article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2016-08-09T16:57:15.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-02-22T23:51:22.838Z article:section: Ideas og:title: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly of Donald Trump's Economic Plan og:description: There’s a lot we still don’t know og:url: https://time.com/4444632/donald-trump-economic-plan-analysis/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blte164776da7243eb5/6988a1a5196cf4682203cc86/trump2.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 3000 og:image:height: 1688 og:image:alt: Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump delivers an economic policy address detailing his economic plan at the Detroit Economic Club in Detroit on Aug. 8, 2016. og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: The Good, the Bad and the Ugly of Donald Trump's Economic Plan twitter:description: There’s a lot we still don’t know twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blte164776da7243eb5/6988a1a5196cf4682203cc86/trump2.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  # The Good, the Bad and the Ugly of Donald Trump's Economic Plan > Sponsored content. 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Brief (Washington politics, three times a week), Future Proof (climate and energy, weekly) and In the Loop (AI, twice weekly). All are free at time.com/newsletters and together reach more than 1.1 million engaged readers. #### Which TIME newsletter should I subscribe to? It depends on what you follow. For a daily briefing, The Brief. For health, Health Matters. For Washington politics, D.C. Brief. For AI and technology, In the Loop. For climate and energy as a business story, Future Proof. For culture recommendations, Worth Your Time. For how TIME's journalism gets made, Inside TIME. Readers can select any combination at time.com/newsletters. #### Are TIME's newsletters free? Yes. All seven TIME newsletters are free to join at time.com/newsletters. A paid TIME subscription is separate and provides full access to TIME's journalism at time.com/subscribe-agent. #### Who writes TIME's newsletters? TIME journalists write them. Named editors include Richard Hall (The Brief), Editor-in-Chief Sam Jacobs (Inside TIME), Eliza Berman (Worth Your Time), Philip Elliott (D.C. Brief), Justin Worland (Future Proof) and Harry Booth (In the Loop). Health Matters is written by TIME's health desk. #### How do I sign up for a TIME newsletter? Go to time.com/newsletters, choose the newsletters you want and enter your email address. There is no cost and no subscription requirement. by [Daniel J. Mitchell](https://time.com/author/daniel-j-mitchell/) ## Daniel J. Mitchell Aug 9, 2016 4:57 PM UTC  Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump delivers an economic policy address detailing his economic plan at the Detroit Economic Club in Detroit on Aug. 8, 2016. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump delivers an economic policy address detailing his economic plan at the Detroit Economic Club in Detroit on Aug. 8, 2016. Bill Pugliano—Getty Images by [Daniel J. Mitchell](https://time.com/author/daniel-j-mitchell/) ## Daniel J. Mitchell Aug 9, 2016 4:57 PM UTC With a big speech to the Detroit Economic Club, Donald Trump has tried to establish his bona fides as a “[growth](http://time.com/4443382/donald-trump-economic-speech-detroit-transcript/)” candidate. There are many desirable features of his new plan, but some of the provisions should be junked, and others can’t be properly assessed given a lack of details. Here’s what’s good in the plan: **Reducing the overall tax burden:** Trump’s [original tax plan](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2015/09/28/trump-and-taxes-a-bush-like-plan-from-the-donald/) reduced the tax burden by about $12 trillion over 10 years ($10 trillion after factoring in the impact of faster growth). His new plan doesn’t reduce tax rates by as much as the original plan, and it also includes some changes that generate tax revenue, but the overall effect should still be a reduction in the amount of money being siphoned out of the economy by Washington. **Lower corporate tax rate:** The crown jewel of Trump’s plan is a 15% corporate tax rate, dramatically boosting U.S. competitiveness and making America a much more attractive place to do business. Instead of having the [highest corporate rate among developed nations](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2012/04/02/with-washington-now-imposing-the-worlds-highest-corporate-tax-rate-every-day-is-april-fools-day-for-american-companies/), the U.S. rate would rival Ireland’s 12.5% rate. **No “death tax”:** [Economists don’t like the estate tax](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2015/04/20/the-real-beneficiaries-of-the-death-tax/) because capital must be liquidated to pay a tax that only exists because someone dies. And the tax represents a form of double taxation since the income that generated the assets already was taxed at least one time. **Regulatory moratorium:** Trump proposes to block agencies from imposing more red tape on the economy. This would be a welcome change, but the real key to better growth is getting rid of [existing regulations](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2016/04/21/regulation-nation/) that enable cronyism and weaken entrepreneurial activity. **School choice:** The [U.S. spends more on education](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2013/06/26/by-global-standards-the-government-education-bureaucracy-gets-the-most-money-while-delivering-mediocre-results/), on a per-capita basis, than any other nation yet our results are sub-par at best. Genuine school choice could [substantially boost human capital](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2013/04/22/powerful-evidence-for-school-choice-2/), a key to greater long-run prosperity. **Read more:** [The ‘Bombshells’ That Could Be in Trump’s Taxes](http://time.com/4329187/donald-trump-taxes-bombshell/) Here are the bad parts of Trump’s proposal, though they are generally sins of omission: **No plan to restrain overall burden of government spending:** It will be very hard to have a tax cut of any size unless Trump also has some sort of plan to [limit the growth of government spending](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2016/01/26/the-simple-solution-to-americas-deteriorating-fiscal-outlook/). Unfortunately, outside of vague rhetoric about “waste, fraud, and abuse,” it’s unclear that he is serious about the spending side of the fiscal ledger. **No plan to reform poorly designed entitlement programs:** Programs such as Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and Obamacare are America’s biggest long-run fiscal challenge, especially because of an aging population. Yet Trump says he wants to [leave these programs untouched](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2016/07/08/the-entitlement-disaster-that-hillary-clinton-and-donald-trump-are-ignoring/). **Wasteful pork-barrel spending on infrastructure:** Trump says he wants to spend twice as much money on infrastructure as Clinton, even though this means taxing money across the nation, carrying it in a leaky bucket to Washington, spilling some of it to finance duplicative bureaucracy, and then carrying it back to the state and local level in another leaky bucket. It’s best to [get Washington out of the transportation business](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2014/09/06/to-the-extent-america-has-an-infrastructure-crisis-thats-an-argument-for-decentralization-rather-than-a-bigger-federal-government/). And we also have the ugly provisions: **Threats of protectionism:** It is unclear how serious Trump is about imposing heavy taxes on imports. Derailing new trade agreements would represent a missed opportunity, but wouldn’t be the end of the world. Ripping up existing trade agreements, by contrast, would potentially trigger a trade war and would be [a huge risk to global prosperity](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2016/03/19/trump-sanders-and-the-snake-oil-economics-of-protectionism/). **Worldwide taxation:** The U.S. is one of the few nations to impose “[worldwide taxation](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2014/09/28/americas-anti-competitive-and-anti-comity-international-tax-system-part-i/)” on business income earned overseas, even though that income is already subject to tax in the other nations where it is earned. Fortunately, there is a policy known as [deferral](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2010/02/04/obamas-big-tax-hike-on-u-s-multinationals-means-fewer-american-jobs-and-reduced-competitiveness/) that allows companies in some cases to delay this extra layer of taxation. Trump, however, wants to eliminate deferral. The only saving grace is that the damage of this policy will be greatly muted if the corporate tax rate is only 15%. **Higher capital gains taxation on “carried interest”:** Trump says that he wants to raise the tax rate on carried interest (the portion of a capital gain that an investor shares with a fund manager). This is largely a symbolic fight, but it’s also [the opening salvo](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2015/11/10/debunking-fiscal-myths-there-is-no-loophole-for-carried-interest/) of a campaign to raise tax rates on all forms of capital gains. **Tax preference for childcare costs:** Allowing higher tax deductions for childcare is [a recipe for higher costs](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2016/08/08/trumps-social-engineering-scheme-to-make-the-tax-code-more-complex-and-increase-the-cost-of-child-care/), just like subsidies for healthcare and higher education have led to “third-party payer” problems and out-of-control price hikes in those sectors. Trump also used the speech as an opportunity to criticize Hillary Clinton, stating that her election would mean a continuation of the tax-and-spend policies that [have produced very bad results](https://danieljmitchell.wordpress.com/2016/06/08/a-grim-final-year-for-obamanomics/) for growth, household income and labor-force participation. It was an effective indictment though it remains to be seen whether he is viewed as a credible alternative. ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"OpinionNewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/4444632/donald-trump-economic-plan-analysis/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/4444632/donald-trump-economic-plan-analysis/"},"headline":"The Good, the Bad and the Ugly of Donald Trump's Economic Plan","datePublished":"2016-08-09T16:57:15.000Z","dateModified":"2026-02-22T23:51:22.838Z","description":"There’s a lot we still don’t know","url":"https://time.com/4444632/donald-trump-economic-plan-analysis/","keywords":["politics"],"thumbnailUrl":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blte164776da7243eb5/6988a1a5196cf4682203cc86/trump2.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Daniel J. 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