--- title: Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump in Tight Race in Swing States description: While Hillary Clinton maintains her lead nationally, the Democrat appears to be neck and neck with Donald Trump in the swing states. canonical: https://time.com/4404924/clinton-trump-swing-state-poll-july/ author: Daniel White article:opinion: false article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2016-07-13T19:36:30.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-08-19T07:45:57.409Z article:section: Politics og:title: Clinton Is in a Tight Race With Trump in Swing States, New Polls Show og:description: Trump and Clinton are nearly tied in many key states og:url: https://time.com/4404924/clinton-trump-swing-state-poll-july/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt235887bee122a91d/698897d3cf40a81c96c439e5/clintontrump_brightcove_720.jpg?branch=production&width=1440&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 1200 og:image:height: 675 og:image:alt: clintontrump_brightcove_720 og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: Clinton Is in a Tight Race With Trump in Swing States, New Polls Show twitter:description: Trump and Clinton are nearly tied in many key states twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt235887bee122a91d/698897d3cf40a81c96c439e5/clintontrump_brightcove_720.jpg?branch=production&width=1440&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  # Hillary Clinton Is in a Tight Race With Donald Trump in Swing States, New Polls Show by [Daniel White](https://time.com/author/daniel-white/) ## Daniel White Jul 13, 2016 7:36 PM UTC  by [Daniel White](https://time.com/author/daniel-white/) ## Daniel White Jul 13, 2016 7:36 PM UTC Hillary Clinton is in a tight race with Donald Trump in several key swing states, according to the latest poll data. Nationally, Clinton still maintains a moderate lead over the presumptive Republican nominee according to the Real Clear Politics polling average, with one recent survey putting her ahead by as many as 11 points. When it comes to the swing states, however, polling released Wednesday shows that two candidates appear to be neck and neck, according to a Wall Street _Journal/NBC/Marist_ poll. In Ohio, Clinton and Trump are tied at 39% support and Clinton leads the billionaire 42% to 39% in Iowa, according to the survey—which was conducted from July 5-10, just after an FBI report about [Clinton’s use of a private email server during her time as Secretary of State](http://time.com/4400757/hillary-clinton-fbi-james-comey-poll/) and had a margin of error of 3.4 points. Clinton holds a 9-point lead in Pennsylvania, with 45% support compared to Trump’s 36% support. [Another survey released Wednesday](https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/2016-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=2365) shows Trump [headed into next week’s Republican National Convention on a roll](http://time.com/4263772/donald-trump-delegates-republican-convention/) in the swing states, with the billionaire leading Clinton in Pennsylvania (43% to 41%), winning Florida (42% to 39%) and in a dead heat in Ohio (41% to 41%), according to Quinnipiac University. Each Quinnipiac state survey had a margin of error of about plus or minus three percentage points. While both candidates aren’t well liked, Clinton’s unfavorable ratings are higher than Trump’s in Florida (59% to 54%), Ohio (60% to 59%) and Pennsylvania (65% to 57%), according to Quinnipiac. State polling averages compiled by Real Clear Politics appear to confirm that the race is indeed tight in swing states. According to RCP, [Florida](http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida%5Ftrump%5Fvs%5Fclinton-5635.html) (Trump 44.2% to Clinton 44%), [Ohio](http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/oh/ohio%5Ftrump%5Fvs%5Fclinton-5634.html) (Clinton 43.3% to Trump 42%) and [Pennsylvania](http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/pa/pennsylvania%5Ftrump%5Fvs%5Fclinton-5633.html#polls) (Clinton 45.5% to Trump 42.3%) are nearly evenly divided between the two candidates. 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