Republican presidential candidates Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), Donald Trump, Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), and Ohio Gov. John Kasich, participate in a debate sponsored by Fox News on March 3, 2016 in Detroit, Michigan.
Chip Somodevilla—Getty Images
March 7, 2016 4:32 PM EST

When Republican voters show up to the polls in Ohio on March 15, they’re likely to put Donald Trump and John Kasich in a very tight race.

According to a new poll from Public Policy Polling, surveying 638 likely Republican primary voters from March 4th to 6th, Trump leads Kasich in his home state 38% to 35% — within the poll’s margin of error of +/- 3.9%.

Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio are trailing at 15% and 5% respectively. Just 69% of voters said they’re definitely committed to their current choice, and asked to pick only between Trump and Kasich, the Ohio governor led 55% to 40%.

On the Democratic side, which included 508 likely primary voters, Hillary Clinton led Bernie Sanders 56% to 35%, with a margin of error of +/-4.4%


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