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---
title: The Happier a First-Time Parent, the More Likely a Second Baby
description: A study notes that being able to cope with—and enjoy—a first birth influences whether a parent wants a second one, or more.
canonical: https://time.com/3986777/parental-happiness-future-children-predictor/
author: Tanya Basu
article:opinion: false
article:content_tier: free
article:published_time: 2015-08-06T19:07:34.000Z
article:modified_time: 2026-08-04T07:45:14.260Z
article:section: Health
og:title: Happier First-Time Parents Are More Likely to Have Baby #2
og:description: A sibling for a newborn all depends on how junior makes his parents feel.
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og:image:height: 2785
og:image:alt: Shadow of mother lifting baby
og:type: article
twitter:card: summary_large_image
twitter:title: Happier First-Time Parents Are More Likely to Have Baby #2
twitter:description: A sibling for a newborn all depends on how junior makes his parents feel.
twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltda99034da09dfbe5/69885e352dce01ff859e4f36/parental-happiness-predicts-future-baby.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9
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![](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltda99034da09dfbe5/69885e352dce01ff859e4f36/parental-happiness-predicts-future-baby.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9)


# Parental Happiness Predicts If You'll Have Another Kid

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<!-- video src="https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/JNDTCFU7.m3u8" -->
## Video: Netflix Is Offering A Year's Worth of Paid Maternity Leave

[Watch (HLS stream): Netflix Is Offering A Year's Worth of Paid Maternity Leave](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/JNDTCFU7.m3u8) (1:15)

![Netflix Is Offering A Year's Worth of Paid Maternity Leave](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/JNDTCFU7/poster.jpg?width=720)

_Published 2015-08-05. The video streaming company, which has yet to make a global profit, is offering its more than 2,100 employees a year's worth of maternity leave._


![Tanya Basu](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt03872316547435b9/69887519a988ca33e56b5b4a/tanya-basu-time.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1:1)

by 

[Tanya Basu](https://time.com/author/tanya-basu/)


![Tanya Basu](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt03872316547435b9/69887519a988ca33e56b5b4a/tanya-basu-time.jpg?branch=production&width=96&quality=75&auto=webp)

## Tanya Basu


Aug 6, 2015 7:07 PM UTC

![Shadow of mother lifting baby](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltda99034da09dfbe5/69885e352dce01ff859e4f36/parental-happiness-predicts-future-baby.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=3:2)

The happier a parent is after their firstborn, the more likely the child will have a sibling.

The happier a parent is after their firstborn, the more likely the child will have a sibling. Chev Wilkinson / Getty Images

![Tanya Basu](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt03872316547435b9/69887519a988ca33e56b5b4a/tanya-basu-time.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1:1)

by 

[Tanya Basu](https://time.com/author/tanya-basu/)


![Tanya Basu](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt03872316547435b9/69887519a988ca33e56b5b4a/tanya-basu-time.jpg?branch=production&width=96&quality=75&auto=webp)

## Tanya Basu


Aug 6, 2015 7:07 PM UTC

It’s often said that happiness often dips for parents after the birth of a first child. The diaper changes, the middle-of-the-night wailing, the exhaustion—all this and more make for a not-so-blissful experience. Couple a crying infant with job stress and hormones, and you’ve got one crabby new parent.

And that crabbiness might mean baby won’t get a brother or a sister: [New research](http://download.springer.com/static/pdf/874/art%253A10.1007%252Fs13524-015-0413-2.pdf?originUrl=http%3A%2F%2Flink.springer.com%2Farticle%2F10.1007%2Fs13524-015-0413-2&token2=exp=1438869941~acl=%2Fstatic%2Fpdf%2F874%2Fart%25253A10.1007%25252Fs13524-015-0413-2.pdf%3ForiginUrl%3Dhttp%253A%252F%252Flink.springer.com%252Farticle%252F10.1007%252Fs13524-015-0413-2%2A~hmac=327fc395abbfc40b2998e6d5d445a1c8bc64a4dd048ca55de6c6988e8b368f06) from the _Journal of Demography_ shows that how happy a brand-new parent acts as a pretty solid predictor of whether a couple decides to get pregnant again.

Mikko Myrskyla at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Rostock, Germany, and his colleague, Rachel Marolis at the University of Western Ontario’s Department of Sociology, collected data from Germany’s Socio-Economic Panel Study, which included the former East and West Germanys (East Germany was added in 1991), foreigners, and immigrants between 1984 and 2010\. From the survey, 2,016 people who had had first births were interviewed about their levels of life satisfaction—beyond the happiness of being a parent, Myrskala told TIME.

“We don’t ask parents about happiness with relationship to parenthood, because there is a strong implicit pressure to be happy,” Myrskala says. “If I go and ask a new parent these kinds of questions, they feel a pressure to put a positive picture of what a new parent is ‘supposed’ to feel.”

Having the first kid, the authors write, is a crash course in childrearing; having a second one, then, becomes a more informed decision. This can play out in a number of ways. Consider, for instance, the parents of a fuss-free newborn. The circumstance is likely to be seen as positive experience, making the new mom and dad more likely to have more kids. About 58% of parents who reported at least a three-point loss in happiness had a second child within 10 years of the first. But that shot up to 66% of parents who did not experience a dip in happiness.


There are some commanalities among parents who decide to go for baby number two and beyond. These individuals seem to have more life satisfaction around the time of the first child’s birth, and reported a smaller drop in happiness than parents who stuck with one kid. And there’s something about being older and wiser as a first-time parent: people who are over 30 and have a college education are more likely to be able to cope with the shock of an infant than younger, less educated couples, the study found.

While the study is focused on Germany—a country that has experienced economic and political upheaval along with a 2007 parental leave amendment that made paid leave “more Nordic”—Myrskala thinks the results are in keeping with other countries.

“What this suggests is that policymakers who are concerned about lower rates should pay attention to the wellbeing of new parents,” Myrskyla says, citing not only parental leave but also affordable kindergarten and childcare.



## Transcript

The US might be one of the stingiest developed countries in the world when it comes to maternity and paternity leave, but it seems entertainment giant Netflix has gone rove. What are you looking at? The video streaming company which has yet to make a global profit, is offering its more than twenty- one hundred employees a years worth of maternity and paternity leave. According to Netflix, parents can return part- time, full- time or come and go throughout the year and the company will quote Keep paying them normally. Netflix is even beating out some of the US' most profitable tech companies who have recently changed their policies to attract talent.

Apple offers 14 weeks of maternity leave while Facebook offers 16 weeks. Such a generous policy is practically unheard of in the US. A country that doesn't even have a federal mandate for paid time off for new mothers. The Family Medical Leave Act of 1993 only requires American companies offer 12 weeks of unpaid leave. Where as in some of the world's other big economies like the United Kingdom, Canada, and China pay Paid maternity leave can range between 14 and 40 weeks. As for why Netflix has enacted this landmark policy, the company says it's about attracting and keeping the industry's best talent.

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