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description: While confirmation is lacking, it’s looking increasingly as if a Russia-built Buk missile took down the Boeing 777.
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# Malaysia Airlines Ukraine Crash: Fateful Errors, Fatal Decisions

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<!-- video src="https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/GVJ1uqxb.m3u8" -->
## Video: Malaysia Airlines Ukraine Crash: Who Shot Down MH17

[Watch (HLS stream): Malaysia Airlines Ukraine Crash: Who Shot Down MH17](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/GVJ1uqxb.m3u8) (2:44)

![Malaysia Airlines Ukraine Crash: Who Shot Down MH17](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/GVJ1uqxb/poster.jpg?width=720)

_Published 2014-07-18. With the White House confirming MH17 was shot out of the air, the question becomes who pulled the trigger?_


by 

[Mark Thompson](https://time.com/author/mark-thompson/)


## Mark Thompson


Jul 18, 2014 1:12 AM UTC

![Spectators watch a Russian "Buk" missile system being driven during the "Russia Arms Expo 2013" 9th international exhibition of arms, military equipment and ammunition, in the Urals city of Nizhny Tagil](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blte085d74d76a360b6/69869c36adae446b3c54432b/rtx13z2m.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=3:2)

Spectators watch a Russian "Buk" missile system being driven during the "Russia Arms Expo 2013" 9th international exhibition of arms, military equipment and ammunition, in the Urals city of Nizhny Tagil, Russia on Sept. 25, 2013.

Spectators watch a Russian "Buk" missile system being driven during the "Russia Arms Expo 2013" 9th international exhibition of arms, military equipment and ammunition, in the Urals city of Nizhny Tagil, Russia on Sept. 25, 2013. Sergei Karpukhin—Reuters

by 

[Mark Thompson](https://time.com/author/mark-thompson/)


## Mark Thompson


Jul 18, 2014 1:12 AM UTC

It’s looking increasingly likely that Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was shot down over rebel-controlled eastern Ukraine Thursday by a Russian-built Buk missile, killing all 298 people on board. While that’s yet unconfirmed, U.S. officials, reviewing satellite data and other intelligence, believe a missile downed the airplane, and that pro-Russian separatists inside Ukraine are the most likely to have fired the killer shot.

We have seen this horror movie before.

It [began](http://www.nytimes.com/1986/08/24/world/us-data-said-to-conclude-soviet-mistook-korean-plane.html) with a Soviet warplane shooting down Korean Air Lines Flight 007 on September 1, 1983\. The Soviets initially denied any involvement, but ultimately conceded one of its Su-15 interceptors had shot down the plane, killing all 269 aboard.

With KAL 007, errors piled atop one another to make a seeming impossibility distressingly real. KAL 007’s key error was an improper setting on its autopilot that caused it to stray off course and into Soviet airspace near the Kamchatka Peninsula.

Major Genadi Osipovich fired the R-8 missile that downed the plane without first telling his ground-based commanders that he saw the “two rows of windows” that indicated it was a Boeing 747\. He compounded the plane’s error by not sharing that information. “I did not tell the ground that it was a Boeing-type plane,” he told a Russian reporter in 1991\. “They did not ask me.”

Nearly five years later after the downing of KAL 007, the U.S. Navy [shot down](http://articles.philly.com/1988-07-04/news/26234782%5F1%5Felmer-montgomery-uss-vincennes-radio-warnings) an Iranian airliner flying across the Persian Gulf. The crew of the guided-missile cruiser _USS Vincennes_ incorrectly identified Iran Air Flight 655—an Airbus A300—for a much smaller Iranian-flown but U.S.-built F-14\. The ship’s crew erred despite the fact that the plane was broadcasting its civilian identity and flying a regularly-scheduled flight on a regularly-scheduled route between the Iranian coastal city of Bandar Abbas and Dubai. All 290 aboard died in the July 3, 1988 shoot down shortly after takeoff for what was to have been a 28-minute flight.

Thursday’s shoot down, if that’s what it turns out to be, also had two key errors. The first was the decision to fly across eastern Ukraine, given the civil war roiling that part of the country. In recent days, Russian separatists have reportedly shot down four Ukrainian airplanes near the city of Donetsk. “The Donetsk resistance fighters have captured an anti-aircraft military station,” a Russian television network said three weeks ago. “The skies above Donetsk will now be protected by the BUK surface-to-air missile complex,” [said](//time.com/3001932/ukraine-crash-rebels-denial/) the headline on the channel’s website. Following Thursday’s crash, many airlines changed flight routes to keep their aircraft away from Ukraine.

A total of 857 innocent people died in the three crashes.

How such accidents can be prevented depends on why they happened. If the Soviets truly believed KAL 007 was a spy plane masquerading as a civilian airliner, they still might have shot it down. The same series of mistakes made aboard the _Vincennes_ might yield the same result today; no commander wants to be at the helm of the next [_USS Stark_](http://nation.time.com/2012/05/18/those-who-cannot-remember-the-past/), which was attacked by Iraq in 1987, killing 37 sailors. And if Russian separatists fired the missile that downed MH17 thinking it was a Ukrainian aircraft, it’s tough to see how it might have been prevented.

Better training would help; more trust would help even more. Firing missiles is a lot like capital punishment. Mistakes can’t be undone.

What’s surprising about the tragedies (assuming Thursday’s was a shoot down) is that each was carried out by a military force—one in the air, one on the sea, and Thursday’s on land. While pro-Russia Ukrainian separatists may have downed MH17, it takes a fair amount of training—and a sophisticated missile system—to blow a commercial airliner flying at 33,000 feet out of the sky.

The U.S. and other nations have been worried for decades that portable, shoulder-fired missiles would end up in the hands of terrorists who would use them to down airliners. Surely, that remains a real concern. But sometimes, as we apparently learned again on Thursday, the wrong hands belong to bodies wearing military uniforms.


## Transcript

Welcome to The Brief for Friday July 18th I'm Ben Goldberger and today we're looking at what happened in Malaysian Airlines flight 17. US officials confirmed that a surface to air missile brought down the commercial passenger jet in Eastern Ukraine yesterday as it flew from Amsterdam to Kuala Lumpur killing all 298 people on board. Apparantly, have been shot down. Shot down, not an accident. Blown out of the sky. But what isn't known is who is responsible for firing the fatal missile. President Obama filled in some more details in public remarks today. Over the last several weeks, Russian backed separatists have shot down a Ukrainian transport plane.

And a Ukrainian helicopter, and they claimed the responsibility for shooting down a Ukrainian fighter jet, moreover, we know that these separatists have received a steady flow of support from Russia. Those rebels have used Russian made missiles to take down Ukrainian military planes as recently as this week. And it's possible that separatists mistook the plane for a military aircraft. That's a sentiment former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton agreed with in an appearance on Charlie Rose. It probably had to be Russian insurgents. Now, how we determine that will require some forensics. But then, if there is evidence pointing in that direction.

The equipment had to have come from Russia. Russian president Vladimir Putin has been careful with his words. He said Ukraine bares responsibility for creating a climate of political unrest. But he did not accuse the country of shooting the plane down. Nor has he said whether Russia armed the rebels with such a powerful missile. Putin did echo the international calls for a cease fire earlier today. That's essential for any investigation at the crash site to be of value. Right now the area's controlled by the separatists and is considered unsecure. Meaning plenty of evidence could be tampered with before investigators get their hands on it.

What's still not clear is which country will lead the investigation. Or whether the black box flight recorders that could contain critical clues have been found. The rebels have said they have the devices, but experts are not sure if that's true. Meanwhile, friends and families of the victims are grieving around the world. The tragedy has hit the Dutch especially hard. 189 of the passengers are from the Netherlands. They included the renowned AIDS researcher Jeop Lange, who was traveling with colleagues to the 20th International AIDS Conference. For one Australian family, the attack was an especially cruel twist of fate.

[ UNKNOWN ] lost her brother and sister- in- law on the Malaysia Airlines flight that disappeared in March. Yesterday, she found out her step- daughter was on Flight 17. Thanks for watching The Brief. We'll have more on this story as it develops.

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