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---
title: Trump Celebrated a Poll That Says 57% Won&#x27;t For Him in 2020
description: The President touted his surge in support among Latinos, but the wider picture is less positive
canonical: https://time.com/5509325/trump-poll-latinos-approval/
author: Ciara Nugent
article:opinion: false
article:content_tier: free
article:published_time: 2019-01-22T16:51:54.000Z
article:modified_time: 2026-08-04T07:52:58.085Z
article:section: Politics
og:title: Trump Hyped a Poll That Says 57% of People Have Ruled Out Voting For Him in 2020
og:description: He&#x27;s up with Latinos but down with most others
og:url: https://time.com/5509325/trump-poll-latinos-approval/
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og:image:alt: President Donald J. Trump
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twitter:title: Trump Hyped a Poll That Says 57% of People Have Ruled Out Voting For Him in 2020
twitter:description: He&#x27;s up with Latinos but down with most others
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# Trump Hyped a Poll That Says 57% of People Have Ruled Out Voting For Him in 2020

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## Video: Meet the Democratic Candidates Running for President in 2020

[Watch (HLS stream): Meet the Democratic Candidates Running for President in 2020](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/EcGVhn6h.m3u8) (1:17)

![Meet the Democratic Candidates Running for President in 2020](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/EcGVhn6h/poster.jpg?width=720)

_Published 2019-01-18. Meet the Democratic Candidates Running for President in 2020_


![Ciara Nugent](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt6bacae1033cc1d9c/698a191fd075339b2ce6b945/TIME_Staff-Portraits_Ciara-Nugent_209_F1.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1:1)

by 

[Ciara Nugent](https://time.com/author/ciara-nugent/)


![Ciara Nugent](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt6bacae1033cc1d9c/698a191fd075339b2ce6b945/TIME_Staff-Portraits_Ciara-Nugent_209_F1.jpg?branch=production&width=96&quality=75&auto=webp)

## Ciara Nugent


Jan 22, 2019 4:51 PM UTC

![President Donald J. Trump](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt8168cd331c9f162a/698943b98fd2ee73af35da19/gettyimages-1085422808.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=3:2)

President Donald J. Trump speaks to reporters at the White House on Saturday, Jan. 19, 2019 in Washington, DC.

President Donald J. Trump speaks to reporters at the White House on Saturday, Jan. 19, 2019 in Washington, DC. sThe Washington Post/Getty Images

![Ciara Nugent](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt6bacae1033cc1d9c/698a191fd075339b2ce6b945/TIME_Staff-Portraits_Ciara-Nugent_209_F1.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1:1)

by 

[Ciara Nugent](https://time.com/author/ciara-nugent/)


![Ciara Nugent](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt6bacae1033cc1d9c/698a191fd075339b2ce6b945/TIME_Staff-Portraits_Ciara-Nugent_209_F1.jpg?branch=production&width=96&quality=75&auto=webp)

## Ciara Nugent


Jan 22, 2019 4:51 PM UTC

A new poll showed that 57% of Americans have ruled out voting for President Donald Trump in 2020, nearly twice as many as the 30% who say they will definitely vote for him.

But that didn’t stop Trump from hyping the results, which also seemed to show an increase in his approval rating among Latinos.

> [](https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1087702686936510465)

[The poll](http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/NPR%5FPBS-NewsHour%5FMarist-Poll-USA-NOS-and-Tables%5F1901141631-1.pdf#page=3), conducted for NPR, PBS and Marist, shows that half of Latinos now approve of his performance as president, up 19 points from a poll [published last month](http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/NPR%5FPBS-NewsHour%5FMarist-Poll-USA-NOS-and-Tables%5FTrump%5FMueller%5F1812051703-1.pdf#page=3) by the same group.

But there’s a big problem with drawing conclusions from that. The survey of 1,023 adults has a margin of error of ±3.8 percentage points overall, but for subsets of respondents, the margin of error would be even higher. Among Republican respondents, for example, the margin of error is a much higher ±6.8 percentage points.

Pollsters did not provide a margin of error for Latino respondents, but it is likely even higher than that.


The results were also not that favorable for Trump on other questions. Only 28% of Latino respondents said they would definitely vote for Trump in 2020 — the [same proportion](http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/11/29/hillary-clinton-wins-latino-vote-but-falls-below-2012-support-for-obama/) that backed him in 2016 — compared to 58% who said they definitely will not.

The poll, conducted during the third week of the [longest government shutdown in U.S. history](http://time.com/5499397/shutdown-longest-history/), says the President’s overall approval rating has slipped to 39%, down 7 points from December.

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