--- title: Trump Celebrated a Poll That Says 57% Won't For Him in 2020 description: The President touted his surge in support among Latinos, but the wider picture is less positive canonical: https://time.com/5509325/trump-poll-latinos-approval/ author: Ciara Nugent article:opinion: false article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2019-01-22T16:51:54.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-08-04T07:52:58.085Z article:section: Politics og:title: Trump Hyped a Poll That Says 57% of People Have Ruled Out Voting For Him in 2020 og:description: He's up with Latinos but down with most others og:url: https://time.com/5509325/trump-poll-latinos-approval/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt8168cd331c9f162a/698943b98fd2ee73af35da19/gettyimages-1085422808.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 1200 og:image:height: 675 og:image:alt: President Donald J. Trump og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: Trump Hyped a Poll That Says 57% of People Have Ruled Out Voting For Him in 2020 twitter:description: He's up with Latinos but down with most others twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt8168cd331c9f162a/698943b98fd2ee73af35da19/gettyimages-1085422808.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  # Trump Hyped a Poll That Says 57% of People Have Ruled Out Voting For Him in 2020 ## Video: Meet the Democratic Candidates Running for President in 2020 [Watch (HLS stream): Meet the Democratic Candidates Running for President in 2020](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/EcGVhn6h.m3u8) (1:17)  _Published 2019-01-18. Meet the Democratic Candidates Running for President in 2020_  by [Ciara Nugent](https://time.com/author/ciara-nugent/)  ## Ciara Nugent Jan 22, 2019 4:51 PM UTC  President Donald J. Trump speaks to reporters at the White House on Saturday, Jan. 19, 2019 in Washington, DC. President Donald J. Trump speaks to reporters at the White House on Saturday, Jan. 19, 2019 in Washington, DC.sThe Washington Post/Getty Images  by [Ciara Nugent](https://time.com/author/ciara-nugent/)  ## Ciara Nugent Jan 22, 2019 4:51 PM UTC A new poll showed that 57% of Americans have ruled out voting for President Donald Trump in 2020, nearly twice as many as the 30% who say they will definitely vote for him. But that didn’t stop Trump from hyping the results, which also seemed to show an increase in his approval rating among Latinos. > [](https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1087702686936510465) [The poll](http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/NPR%5FPBS-NewsHour%5FMarist-Poll-USA-NOS-and-Tables%5F1901141631-1.pdf#page=3), conducted for NPR, PBS and Marist, shows that half of Latinos now approve of his performance as president, up 19 points from a poll [published last month](http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/NPR%5FPBS-NewsHour%5FMarist-Poll-USA-NOS-and-Tables%5FTrump%5FMueller%5F1812051703-1.pdf#page=3) by the same group. But there’s a big problem with drawing conclusions from that. The survey of 1,023 adults has a margin of error of ±3.8 percentage points overall, but for subsets of respondents, the margin of error would be even higher. Among Republican respondents, for example, the margin of error is a much higher ±6.8 percentage points. Pollsters did not provide a margin of error for Latino respondents, but it is likely even higher than that. The results were also not that favorable for Trump on other questions. Only 28% of Latino respondents said they would definitely vote for Trump in 2020 — the [same proportion](http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/11/29/hillary-clinton-wins-latino-vote-but-falls-below-2012-support-for-obama/) that backed him in 2016 — compared to 58% who said they definitely will not. The poll, conducted during the third week of the [longest government shutdown in U.S. history](http://time.com/5499397/shutdown-longest-history/), says the President’s overall approval rating has slipped to 39%, down 7 points from December. ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/5509325/trump-poll-latinos-approval/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/5509325/trump-poll-latinos-approval/"},"headline":"Trump Hyped a Poll That Says 57% of People Have Ruled Out Voting For Him in 2020","datePublished":"2019-01-22T16:51:54.000Z","dateModified":"2026-08-04T07:52:58.085Z","description":"The President touted his surge in support among Latinos, but the wider picture is less positive","url":"https://time.com/5509325/trump-poll-latinos-approval/","keywords":["White House","onetime"],"thumbnailUrl":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt8168cd331c9f162a/698943b98fd2ee73af35da19/gettyimages-1085422808.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Ciara Nugent","jobTitle":null,"url":"https://time.com/author/ciara-nugent/"}],"articleSection":"Politics","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt8168cd331c9f162a/698943b98fd2ee73af35da19/gettyimages-1085422808.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","width":1200,"height":675,"headline":"President Donald J. 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