--- description: Hurricanes Irma and Harvey have reignited discussions about the link between global warming and extreme weather. This one number shows why title: The One Number That Shows Why Climate Change Is Making Hurricane Season Worse image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt107d1ee7a0fde2ed/6988dcd7bc6cfc14753e2fae/gettyimages-841346500.jpg?branch=production&width=3840&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  * [Science](/section/science/) ## Science Update your preferences in [Account Settings](/account/preferences/) Close * [climate change](/tag/climate-change/) ## climate change Update your preferences in [Account Settings](/account/preferences/) Close # The One Number That Shows Why Climate Change Is Making Hurricane Season Worse  by [Justin Worland](/author/justin-worland/)  ## Justin Worland Update your preferences in [Account Settings](/account/preferences/) Close Senior Correspondent Sep 7, 2017 4:38 PM CUT  A home is surrounded by floodwater after torrential rains pounded Southeast Texas following Hurricane and Tropical Storm Harvey on August 31, 2017 near Orange, Texas. A home is surrounded by floodwater after torrential rains pounded Southeast Texas following Hurricane and Tropical Storm Harvey on August 31, 2017 near Orange, Texas.Scott Olson—Getty Images  by [Justin Worland](/author/justin-worland/)  ## Justin Worland Update your preferences in [Account Settings](/account/preferences/) Close Senior Correspondent Sep 7, 2017 4:38 PM CUT Hurricanes [Irma](http://time.com/4931541/hurricane-irma-spaghetti-models-update/ "undefined") and [Harvey ](http://time.com/4930098/texas-hurricane-harvey-death-toll-70/ "undefined")have reignited discussions about [the link](http://time.com/4914840/hurricane-harvey-climate-change/ "undefined") between global warming and extreme weather, with climate scientists now saying they can show the connections between the two phenomena better than ever before. Scientists’ explanation of how they do that involves a complex discussion of climate models, historical temperature data and probability. But understanding the link really comes down to one figure: the air can hold 7% more water with every degree Celsius that the temperature rises. That figure comes from the Clausius–Clapeyron equation, a widely accepted physical law established centuries ago long before any politicized debate on climate change. “A warmer ocean makes a warmer atmosphere, a warmer atmosphere can hold more moisture,” says Gabriel Vecchi, a professor of geosciences at Princeton University who studies extreme weather events. “So, all other things equal, the same storm in a warmer planet would give you more rainfall.” This summer’s hurricane season has been a particularly warm one in the region of the Atlantic where hurricanes form, with sea surface temperatures between 0.5°C (0.9°F) and 1°C (1.8°F) above average, according to [data](http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml "undefined") from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). Those high temperatures mean hurricanes will store more water, which they can eventually dump when they make landfall. Climate scientists blame high temperatures during Hurricane Harvey’s formation and along its path for the more than 50 inches of rain dropped on Houston. “You fit all the data together and ask what is the likelihood for 100 millimeters, 200 millimeters of precipitation,” said study co-author Sarah Kapnick, a researcher at the NOAA, before the Harvey hit Texas. “As you get to higher and higher values of precipitation it becomes less and less likely without climate change.” Now, scientists just need to convince the policymakers charged with helping prepare communities for hurricanes that the dangers are only increasing. ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/4931586/irma-hurricane-season-climate-change/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/4931586/irma-hurricane-season-climate-change/"},"headline":"The One Number That Shows Why Climate Change Is Making Hurricane Season Worse","datePublished":"2017-09-07T16:38:28.000Z","dateModified":"2026-02-23T17:19:47.430Z","description":"Hurricanes Irma and Harvey have reignited discussions about the link between global warming and extreme weather. 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