--- title: Trump Climate: Coal Executive Orders Are Doomed to Fail description: Nature and market forces are both working against the President as he signs an executive order against climate change policies canonical: https://time.com/4709796/trump-epa-climate-fossil-fuels/ author: TIME article:opinion: true article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2017-03-29T12:00:12.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-08-04T08:06:38.264Z article:section: Ideas og:title: Trump’s Pro-Coal Orders Are Doomed to Fail og:description: Nature and market forces are both working against him og:url: https://time.com/4709796/trump-epa-climate-fossil-fuels/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt84b1b72e3b632255/6988c03ef887dc61d0e999bb/coal-fossil-fuel.jpg?branch=production&width=3840&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 1200 og:image:height: 675 og:image:alt: coal-fossil-fuel og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: Trump’s Pro-Coal Orders Are Doomed to Fail twitter:description: Nature and market forces are both working against him twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt84b1b72e3b632255/6988c03ef887dc61d0e999bb/coal-fossil-fuel.jpg?branch=production&width=3840&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  # Trump’s Pro-Coal Orders Are Doomed to Fail ## Video: President Trump Signs Executive Order Targeting Environmental Regulations [Watch (HLS stream): President Trump Signs Executive Order Targeting Environmental Regulations](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/qkefzOtF.m3u8) (1:37)  _Published 2017-03-28. President Donald Trump signed an executive order Tuesday to roll back key environmental regulations that were established under the Obama Administration._ by [Per Espen Stoknes](https://time.com/author/per-espen-stoknes/) and [Tom Bowman](https://time.com/author/tom-bowman/) Mar 29, 2017 12:00 PM UTC  White Packert—Getty Images by [Per Espen Stoknes](https://time.com/author/per-espen-stoknes/) and [Tom Bowman](https://time.com/author/tom-bowman/) Mar 29, 2017 12:00 PM UTC [Donald Trump](http://time.com/4710456/donald-trump-time-interview-truth-falsehood/) signed an [executive order](http://time.com/4715196/donald-trump-energy-order-watch-live/) at the [Environmental Protection Agency](http://time.com/4713731/donald-trump-climate-change-executive-order-president-obama-epa/) to undo [widely-supported](http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-energy-idUSKBN16Z1L6) Obama-era climate policies. The Trump Administration is also seeking a 31 percent cut to the EPA’s budget and to eliminate most climate research programs at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. These cuts would dramatically slash funding for the nation’s leading climate research and environmental policing agencies. Between the executive order, the cuts and the Administration’s sweeping [deregulatory agenda](https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/05/us/politics/trump-deregulation-guns-wall-st-climate.html), it appears that the White House is trying to revive fossil fuels. Yet while the Administration could do a lot of damage to our health and businesses, its policies are doomed to fail because they ignore two crucial trends. The Trump Administration’s first mistake is ignoring solid science. EPA Director Scott Pruitt’s assertion that [carbon dioxide is not causing climate change](https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/09/us/politics/epa-scott-pruitt-global-warming.html) is contradicted by 97 percent of [climate scientists](http://whatweknow.aaas.org/get-the-facts/) and every national science academy in the world. Ideology is no match for nature. The carbon pollution from coal, oil and natural gas really is trapping more heat in the atmosphere. The Oroville Dam emergency in California is only the most recent indication that climate change is outpacing our efforts to adapt — with devastating consequences for American infrastructure. Itssecond mistake is ignoring market forces. On price alone, fossil fuels are facing inevitable decline. Solar energy system prices fell by [25 percent](https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-12-15/world-energy-hits-a-turning-point-solar-that-s-cheaper-than-wind) in 2016.Half a million solar panels[were installed](https://www.iea.org/newsroom/news/2016/october/iea-raises-its-five-year-renewable-growth-forecast-as-2015-marks-record-year.html) _every day_ of the year before, and solar is growing at an annual rate of about [30 percent](https://www.iea.org/newsroom/news/2016/october/iea-raises-its-five-year-renewable-growth-forecast-as-2015-marks-record-year.html). Overall, renewable sources provided [63 percent](http://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/IRENA%5FRE%5FStatistics%5F2016.pdf) of new electricity generation this past year. China recently [signaled a shift](https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/18/world/asia/china-coal-power-plants-pollution.html?%5Fr=0) to renewable energy by canceling plans for 103 new coal-fired power plants, some of which were already under construction. The Trump Administration cannot halt the revolution that is underway in energy, which is the world’s largest marketplace. Globally, there are now more [jobs in renewable energy](http://grist.org/business-technology/there-are-more-jobs-in-renewable-energy-than-in-oil-gas-and-coal-combined/) than in oil, gas and coal combined. If annual installations continue to [grow at rates](http://www.irena.org/DocumentDownloads/Publications/IRENA%5FRE%5FStatistics%5F2016.pdf) declining from today’s, there will still be [enough clean power](https://www.dropbox.com/s/1ztq7x7hcnnqjzo/2017%2001%20BI-Stoknes%5FSolar%5FScenario-summary.pdf?dl=0) for each of the 9 billion people who will populate the Earth in 2050\. Sustaining such high growth rates might be farfetched, because renewable energy is not the most profitable option in every circumstance. (In developed countries, for example, low demand for new energy forces new renewables to compete with existing power plants_._)But the underlying economics are sound. Promising jobs to displaced coal workers and de-funding climate research and the Clean Power Plan will not alter the facts: As the cost of renewables falls, the relative cost of fossil fuels rises. We have reached a point where increasingly expensive fossil energy development and extraction is becoming unprofitable. Electric transportation is also showing rapid growth. While electric vehicles represent just [.15 percent](http://www.hybridcars.com/the-world-just-bought-its-two-millionth-plug-in-car/) of global motor vehicles, their numbers rose by 50 percent between 2015 and 2016\. Now, more than [two million](https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/oct/13/electric-car-sales-set-to-pass-2m-landmark-globally-by-end-of-2016) electric vehicles drive on the world’s roads. Already highly efficient, electric motors are becoming more energy efficient at a faster rate than internal-combustion engines. With cheaper, longer-range models like the Tesla Model 3 and Chevy Bolt coming soon in large numbers, running electric cars on solar power is becoming an attractive option for consumers,and expanding consumer choice is a time-honored Republican value. These developments suggest that we can solve global warming profitably. Investors are already moving their money to growth opportunities in renewables and smart electrification. With China reorienting its national economic plan around renewables, they threaten to out-compete America in this 21st-century market if we falter. This is where government leadership matters. The simplest way to lead and accelerate an inevitable market shift to renewables is to limit fossil fuel growth, as some European countries are doing. In [Germany](https://www.forbes.com/sites/bertelschmitt/2016/10/08/germanys-bundesrat-resolves-end-of-internal-combustion-engine/#6960a94c60bd), for example, new gasoline and diesel cars will not be sold after 2030.[Norway](http://www.endswasteandbioenergy.com/article/1413770/norway-oil-heating-ban-boost-biomass) is preparing to ban oil heating in buildings after 2020\. The [World Bank](http://www.reuters.com/article/us-worldbank-climate-coal-idUSBRE96F19U20130716) no longer finances coal power, except in rare cases where no feasible alternatives exist. Enabling the fossil fuel industry to cut corners, by revoking clean water rules, for example, is not a job-creation strategy. It will, however, put people’s health at risk in coal-producing states. The coal industry [is suffering from other problems](https://www.brookings.edu/blog/the-avenue/2016/12/06/trump-cant-deliver-on-his-coal-promises/), chief among them is that renewables are getting cheaper, and the easiest-to-reach coal has already been extracted. No federal policy can overcome these trends. Whether through regulations, such as new fuel economy standard for vehicles, or a carbon tax that sends the revenue directly to American consumers, the government can accelerate a market transition that is already creating wealth and economic opportunity. North Carolina ranks second nationwide in [solar energy capacity](http://www.seia.org/state-solar-policy/north-carolina) that power nearly 350,000 homes. Last year, Iowa became the first state to generate [more than 35 percent](http://www.awea.org/MediaCenter/pressreleasev2.aspx?ItemNumber=9518) of its electricity from wind. (Almost all wind turbines in the U.S. are located in [rural areas](https://cleantechnica.com/2017/03/07/us-wind-energy-provided-5-5-nations-electricity-2016-20-5-heartland-states/).) California, which boasts an aggressive mix of market incentives and clean-air regulations, has seen its [economy](http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-sac-essential-politics-california-s-economy-maybe-moves-to-1465940673-htmlstory.html) grow from eighth to sixth place in [world economic rankings](http://www.lao.ca.gov/LAOEconTax/Article/Detail/90). The Golden State leads all other states in total manufacturing output and employs about 500,000 workers in the nation’s largest advanced-energy industry California has proven that clean energy policies stimulate entrepreneurs, create new jobs and increase consumer choice — while protecting people’s health. The Trump Administration would be wise to take heed and help create new opportunities in coal country. This is an American Dream worth fighting for. _Espen Stoknes_ _is Director of the Center for Green Growth, Norwegian Business School in Oslo, Norway, and the author of_ [What We Think About When We Try Not to Think About Global Warming](https://www.amazon.com/dp/1603585834/?tag=timecom-20)_._ _Bowman_ _is the founder of Bowman Design Group and the founder/president of Bowman Change, Inc., as well as the author of_ [The Green Edge](https://www.amazon.com/Green-Edge-Sustainability-Planners-Stronger/dp/0991570308)_._ Trump Climate: Coal Executive Orders Are Doomed to Fail ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"OpinionNewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/4709796/trump-epa-climate-fossil-fuels/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/4709796/trump-epa-climate-fossil-fuels/"},"headline":"Trump’s Pro-Coal Orders Are Doomed to Fail","datePublished":"2017-03-29T12:00:12.000Z","dateModified":"2026-08-04T08:06:38.264Z","description":"Nature and market forces are both working against him","url":"https://time.com/4709796/trump-epa-climate-fossil-fuels/","keywords":["climate change","Economics","climate"],"thumbnailUrl":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt84b1b72e3b632255/6988c03ef887dc61d0e999bb/coal-fossil-fuel.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Per Espen Stoknes","jobTitle":"","url":"https://time.com/author/per-espen-stoknes/"},{"@type":"Person","name":"Tom Bowman","jobTitle":"","url":"https://time.com/author/tom-bowman/"}],"articleSection":"Ideas","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt84b1b72e3b632255/6988c03ef887dc61d0e999bb/coal-fossil-fuel.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","width":1200,"height":675,"headline":"coal-fossil-fuel","caption":"","creditText":"White Packert—Getty Images","representativeOfPage":true}],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Time","url":"https://time.com/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://time.com/images/logo.png","width":528,"height":156},"foundingDate":"March 3, 1923","sameAs":["https://www.facebook.com/time","https://www.instagram.com/time/?hl=en","https://twitter.com/time","https://www.pinterest.com/timemagazine"]}},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"/section/ideas/","name":"Ideas"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"/tag/climate-change/","name":"climate change"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://time.com/4709796/trump-epa-climate-fossil-fuels/","name":"Trump’s Pro-Coal Orders Are Doomed to Fail"}}]},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"VideoObject","name":"President Trump Signs Executive Order Targeting Environmental Regulations","description":"President Donald Trump signed an executive order Tuesday to roll back key environmental regulations that were established under the Obama Administration.","thumbnailUrl":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/qkefzOtF/poster.jpg?width=720","uploadDate":"2017-03-28T19:12:25.000Z","contentUrl":"https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/qkefzOtF.m3u8","embedUrl":"https://time.com/4709796/trump-epa-climate-fossil-fuels/","duration":"PT1M37S","potentialAction":{"@type":"SeekToAction","target":"https://time.com/4709796/trump-epa-climate-fossil-fuels/?jw_start={seek_to_second_number}","startOffset-input":"required name=seek_to_second_number"}}] ```