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---
title: 3 Ways to Make America&#x27;s Economy Great Again
description: If President-elect Donald Trump is to actually make America great, he must start with breaking a great stagnation in economic mobility.
canonical: https://time.com/4593906/economic-mobility/
author: Jim Shelton
article:opinion: true
article:content_tier: free
article:published_time: 2016-12-08T17:23:33.000Z
article:modified_time: 2026-04-30T11:02:59.441Z
article:section: Ideas
og:title: 3 Ways to Make America&#x27;s Economy Great Again
og:description: Restore economic mobility
og:url: https://time.com/4593906/economic-mobility/
og:site_name: TIME
og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltde093bcdab65f2d0/6988d9b9bc6cfc69913e2a3c/time-logo.jpg?branch=production
og:image:width: 1200
og:image:height: 675
og:image:alt: TIME
og:type: article
twitter:card: summary_large_image
twitter:title: 3 Ways to Make America&#x27;s Economy Great Again
twitter:description: Restore economic mobility
twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltde093bcdab65f2d0/6988d9b9bc6cfc69913e2a3c/time-logo.jpg?branch=production
---

# 3 Ways to Make America's Economy Great Again

<!-- video src="https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/HSGDWqmA.m3u8" -->
## Video: Donald Trump’s Economic Plan Is Magical Thinking

[Watch (HLS stream): Donald Trump’s Economic Plan Is Magical Thinking](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/HSGDWqmA.m3u8) (1:24)

![Donald Trump’s Economic Plan Is Magical Thinking](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/v2/media/HSGDWqmA/poster.jpg?width=720)

_Published 2016-09-16. He's selling the same economic magical thinking that any number of Republicans have over the last 40 years—tax cuts without spending cuts_


by [Jim Shelton](https://time.com/author/jim-shelton/), [Debby Bielak](https://time.com/author/debby-bielak/) and [Devin Murphy](https://time.com/author/devin-murphy/)

Dec 8, 2016 5:23 PM UTC

by [Jim Shelton](https://time.com/author/jim-shelton/), [Debby Bielak](https://time.com/author/debby-bielak/) and [Devin Murphy](https://time.com/author/devin-murphy/)

Dec 8, 2016 5:23 PM UTC

For more than 70 years, hard-working Americans have been beset by economic stagnation and decline. Children who are born into low- and even high-income families are no more likely—and more often than not, _less likely_—to earn more than their parents than children born in the 1940s, captured strikingly in a new report from [The Equality of Opportunity Project](http://www.equality-of-opportunity.org/index.html). Also stuck in the economic doldrums: those among the roughly 25% of U.S. workers doing freelancing, gig work and other contingent jobs, without full safety nets and sometimes working part time. Then there are the [16- to 24-year-olds](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A%5F%5Fwww.statista.com%5Fstatistics%5F217448%5Fseasonally-2Dadjusted-2Dmonthly-2Dyouth-2Dunemployment-2Drate-2Din-2Dthe-2Dus%5F&d=CwMF-g&c=YgvAunA6A5zFF9cMHqSY3cSQ3MG-auFOlwIB7e1Llto&r=1Gd9rPxFDIyV%5FQZLjKoor8zOiCqO2Pdjud%5FL5cKvQAY&m=GLI3CmNFGSIzPOT%5FlRv8H-sz4LHOG8IYMIvg6qomYRw&s=UQTl3KQtKygE1tayI%5FRsYOFrgFEcAeXYHy7MzBCKFlU&e=), our next generation of talent, who are enduring 10.1% unemployment, more than twice the national rate for adults.

Despite this dispiriting data, there are tested ways to return to our meritocratic ideal. In our year-long field scan of interventions, we identified an array of philanthropic investments that are restoring economic opportunity–investments that government dollars could fuel.

Here are three bipartisan ways to increase economic opportunity:

**1\. Harness tech tools for early childhood development.** 

Research by Nobel Economist James Heckman demonstrates that providing high-quality education to lower-income families’ pre-K children results in reduced social welfare costs and increased tax revenue. Heckman’s data led tech venture capitalist J.B. Pritzker to [invest](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A%5F%5Fssir.org%5Farticles%5Fentry%5Fthe-5Fearly-5Fchildhood-5Fchallenge-5Ffor-5Fphilanthropists&d=CwMF-g&c=YgvAunA6A5zFF9cMHqSY3cSQ3MG-auFOlwIB7e1Llto&r=1Gd9rPxFDIyV%5FQZLjKoor8zOiCqO2Pdjud%5FL5cKvQAY&m=GLI3CmNFGSIzPOT%5FlRv8H-sz4LHOG8IYMIvg6qomYRw&s=54nrKhozpjOTjzk%5Fx9omw6jAvexWnEMfFWCK9sNMJMk&e=) in early-childhood interventions and encourage other philanthropists to follow suit. 

Nationwide, [5.8 million children](https://www.bridgespan.org/bridgespan/Images/articles/big-bets-social-mobility/bridgespan-social-mobility-early-childhood-development-paper.pdf) lack the cognitive and social skills to progress when they enter kindergarten. And they continue to struggle. A growing body of research and Pritzker’s dollars are spurring greater interest in the holistic development of very young children, including establishing pre-K schools, expanding home-visit programs, and scaling tech approaches that reach a wider population at lower cost.

Among new digital tools are [Text4baby](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A%5F%5Fwww.text4baby.org%5F&d=CwMF-g&c=YgvAunA6A5zFF9cMHqSY3cSQ3MG-auFOlwIB7e1Llto&r=1Gd9rPxFDIyV%5FQZLjKoor8zOiCqO2Pdjud%5FL5cKvQAY&m=GLI3CmNFGSIzPOT%5FlRv8H-sz4LHOG8IYMIvg6qomYRw&s=7LlsWJfJQT-HJ7zEhbJrvT5ynnl9oKXNX0K3F-ZextE&e=), an advice-by-text service for new and expectant mothers; [UPSTART](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A%5F%5Fwww.waterfordupstart.org%5F&d=CwMF-g&c=YgvAunA6A5zFF9cMHqSY3cSQ3MG-auFOlwIB7e1Llto&r=1Gd9rPxFDIyV%5FQZLjKoor8zOiCqO2Pdjud%5FL5cKvQAY&m=GLI3CmNFGSIzPOT%5FlRv8H-sz4LHOG8IYMIvg6qomYRw&s=ArU9A3Orwd3o6A5xjEN9oT8ZEXEW3cUpQFVYjspVLAI&e=), a computer-based learning program for preschoolers; and [Ready4K](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A%5F%5Fcepa.stanford.edu%5Fcepalabs%5Fready4k&d=CwMF-g&c=YgvAunA6A5zFF9cMHqSY3cSQ3MG-auFOlwIB7e1Llto&r=1Gd9rPxFDIyV%5FQZLjKoor8zOiCqO2Pdjud%5FL5cKvQAY&m=GLI3CmNFGSIzPOT%5FlRv8H-sz4LHOG8IYMIvg6qomYRw&s=Wo8EMqj4hUSygtT9JeucEVJwg6eyfijws9MSb%5Fjb9is&e=), a text service that helps parents prepare their kids for kindergarten. According to our [calculations](https://www.bridgespan.org/bridgespan/Images/articles/billion-dollar-bets-to-create-economic-opportunity/bridgespan-social-mobility-2016-impact-estimates.pdf), a $1 billion investment in creating and scaling such technologies would deliver $5.5 to $11 billion in increased lifetime earnings of children who enter kindergarten ready to learn.

**2\. Build alternative career pathways.** 


Too few employers clearly define the job skills they actually need and instead look just for a college degree, and too many low-income job seekers lack a clear understanding of available professions. One group that can benefit from clear pathways to careers is the 5.5 million 16- to 24-year olds who are neither in school nor working. The challenge is to link these “[disconnected youth](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A%5F%5Fwww.measureofamerica.org%5Fdisconnected-2Dyouth%5F&d=CwMF-g&c=YgvAunA6A5zFF9cMHqSY3cSQ3MG-auFOlwIB7e1Llto&r=1Gd9rPxFDIyV%5FQZLjKoor8zOiCqO2Pdjud%5FL5cKvQAY&m=GLI3CmNFGSIzPOT%5FlRv8H-sz4LHOG8IYMIvg6qomYRw&s=e4uOjUqFJ91oyfZyRFLzjcQK%5FcURTprDWU8zrwV9XmE&e=)” with companies that are creating six million [entry level](https://www.bridgespan.org/bridgespan/Images/articles/youth-hold-the-key/youth-hold-the-key-building-your-workforce.pdf) jobs and 25 million “[middle skills](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A%5F%5Fhbr.org%5F2012%5F12%5Fwho-2Dcan-2Dfix-2Dthe-2Dmiddle-2Dskills-2Dgap&d=CwMF-g&c=YgvAunA6A5zFF9cMHqSY3cSQ3MG-auFOlwIB7e1Llto&r=1Gd9rPxFDIyV%5FQZLjKoor8zOiCqO2Pdjud%5FL5cKvQAY&m=GLI3CmNFGSIzPOT%5FlRv8H-sz4LHOG8IYMIvg6qomYRw&s=P0Genv4nvltAP1-OqSp78tgNyXeUEs55HY5pURBD4KE&e=)” jobs (think: computer technician and nursing) that don’t require degrees from four-year colleges.

Competency-based learning programs, alternatives to traditional higher education, are becoming magnets for social-change investors like [Paul Salem](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A%5F%5Fwww.nytimes.com%5F2016%5F05%5F14%5Fyour-2Dmoney%5Fmaking-2Dbig-2Ddonations-2Dto-2Dchange-2Dthe-2Dworld.html-3F-5Fr-3D0&d=CwMF-g&c=YgvAunA6A5zFF9cMHqSY3cSQ3MG-auFOlwIB7e1Llto&r=1Gd9rPxFDIyV%5FQZLjKoor8zOiCqO2Pdjud%5FL5cKvQAY&m=GLI3CmNFGSIzPOT%5FlRv8H-sz4LHOG8IYMIvg6qomYRw&s=wfjsCs7oA82KauOmJSRrSE9wTFpBj%5FRETJzBLq%5F0JEA&e=), senior managing director at Providence Equity Partners. Salem has bet big on Boston-based [Year Up](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A%5F%5Fwww.yearup.org%5Four-2Dapproach%5Facademic-2Dpartners%5F&d=CwMF-g&c=YgvAunA6A5zFF9cMHqSY3cSQ3MG-auFOlwIB7e1Llto&r=1Gd9rPxFDIyV%5FQZLjKoor8zOiCqO2Pdjud%5FL5cKvQAY&m=GLI3CmNFGSIzPOT%5FlRv8H-sz4LHOG8IYMIvg6qomYRw&s=DcoC9s3tYGVpflkIe5c-%5F0X3dpsssK7L3ll2uDN%5FT9c&e=). The nonprofit gives low-income young adults six months of professional training followed by six-month internships at companies like State Street, [Salesforce.com](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A%5F%5FSalesforce.com&d=CwQF-g&c=YgvAunA6A5zFF9cMHqSY3cSQ3MG-auFOlwIB7e1Llto&r=1Gd9rPxFDIyV%5FQZLjKoor8zOiCqO2Pdjud%5FL5cKvQAY&m=GLI3CmNFGSIzPOT%5FlRv8H-sz4LHOG8IYMIvg6qomYRw&s=kBNK5nrDYUZaGMd9ECyEGU1AP9o6w8a-XQO2EoJnb8k&e=) and Novartis. Results are impressive: within four months of graduating, 85% of Year Up’s alumni are enrolled full-time in college or have full-time jobs averaging $36,000, putting them on track for middle-class status by age 40.


A $1 billion national investment in scaling programs that point employers to hidden talent—and enable young people to build skills and job networks—would generate a $7.3 to $14.7 billion return, we estimate.

**3\. Reduce concentrated poverty.** 

[America is pockmarked](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=https-3A%5F%5Fwww.brookings.edu%5Fresearch%5Fu-2Ds-2Dconcentrated-2Dpoverty-2Din-2Dthe-2Dwake-2Dof-2Dthe-2Dgreat-2Drecession%5F&d=CwMF-g&c=YgvAunA6A5zFF9cMHqSY3cSQ3MG-auFOlwIB7e1Llto&r=1Gd9rPxFDIyV%5FQZLjKoor8zOiCqO2Pdjud%5FL5cKvQAY&m=GLI3CmNFGSIzPOT%5FlRv8H-sz4LHOG8IYMIvg6qomYRw&s=GZgleGhKx%5FH-rXS4lX9QCIIq7TcX3R9bAvmP-FttvG0&e=) with communities of entrenched, racially segregated poverty, where substandard housing, schooling and health care create nearly insurmountable roadblocks to upward mobility. Research suggests that prospects brighten when children grow up in economically diverse neighborhoods. Housing advocates are creating a two-pronged solution: opportunities for people to improve their own blighted communities, and support for low-income people to move to neighborhoods with a vibrant middle class.

Consider Baltimore. A child who grows up in a low-income family in Baltimore (that is, the county equivalent) earns significantly [less than any](https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2015/05/06/how-baltimore-and-cities-like-it-hold-back-poor-black-children-as-they-grow-up/?utm%5Fterm=.22f5f6ab597a) of the largest 100 largest counties in the country. With concentrated poverty leaching away the future of Baltimore’s children, corporate and foundation leaders—including Brian Rogers, chairman of T. Rowe Price, and Patrick McCarthy, CEO of the Annie E. Casey Foundation—decided to act. They are among leaders of a collaborative of more than 200 stakeholders, [Baltimore’s Promise](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A%5F%5Fwww.baltimorespromise.org%5F&d=CwMF-g&c=YgvAunA6A5zFF9cMHqSY3cSQ3MG-auFOlwIB7e1Llto&r=1Gd9rPxFDIyV%5FQZLjKoor8zOiCqO2Pdjud%5FL5cKvQAY&m=GLI3CmNFGSIzPOT%5FlRv8H-sz4LHOG8IYMIvg6qomYRw&s=Al%5F0C1ur8WJUQoHp0PxvCdwKBYN5V1pAuXPg9oN%5F3vs&e=), which helps low-income children surpass critical life milestones to the middle class. 


Case in point: since 2003, the [Baltimore Housing Mobility Program](https://urldefense.proofpoint.com/v2/url?u=http-3A%5F%5Fwww.baltimoreregionalhousing.org%5Fbhmp%5F&d=CwMF-g&c=YgvAunA6A5zFF9cMHqSY3cSQ3MG-auFOlwIB7e1Llto&r=1Gd9rPxFDIyV%5FQZLjKoor8zOiCqO2Pdjud%5FL5cKvQAY&m=GLI3CmNFGSIzPOT%5FlRv8H-sz4LHOG8IYMIvg6qomYRw&s=tGhTpKpAMFa2TrSmkzScKOtLQhEV2OI2K8sk1uKdapE&e=) has moved more than 3,200 African American families out of highly segregated communities and into economically mixed neighborhoods. We estimate that a $1 billion investment in better housing opportunities would increase lifetime earnings for low-income children by $4.5 to $8.5 billion.

Through the course of our research, interviewees highlighted the potential for leaders across sectors—from business to government to communities—to make these kinds of investments. These three examples are a few among many to show that evidence-based investing in putting far more Americans on an upward economic trajectory generates returns of at least $4, and as much as $14, for every dollar invested. Who wouldn’t bet on that?

_Shelton, Bielak and Murphy are the co-authors of_ _“‘_[_Billion Dollar Bets’ to Create Economic Opportunity for Every American_](https://www.bridgespan.org/bridgespan/Images/articles/billion-dollar-bets-to-create-economic-opportunity/bridgespan-social-mobility-2016-report.pdf)_.”_

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