--- title: Hurricane Matthew: Models Show Storm Hitting Florida Twice description: Several weather models show Hurricane Matthew making landfall in Florida twice in the next week canonical: https://time.com/4521751/hurricane-matthew-florida-hit-twice/ author: Justin Worland article:opinion: false article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2016-10-06T19:47:38.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-02-23T01:03:36.697Z article:section: Science og:title: Hurricane Matthew Could Make a U-Turn and Hit Florida Twice og:description: Several weather models show Hurricane Matthew making landfall in Florida twice in the next week og:url: https://time.com/4521751/hurricane-matthew-florida-hit-twice/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt3df006f17bf66196/6988a8ff0b72e3ad0e6eb426/hurricane-matthew-image-satellite.jpeg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 1407 og:image:height: 791 og:image:alt: Hurricane Matthew satellite image og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: Hurricane Matthew Could Make a U-Turn and Hit Florida Twice twitter:description: Several weather models show Hurricane Matthew making landfall in Florida twice in the next week twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt3df006f17bf66196/6988a8ff0b72e3ad0e6eb426/hurricane-matthew-image-satellite.jpeg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  # Hurricane Matthew Could Make a U-Turn and Hit Florida Twice > Sponsored content. 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It reaches 40,000 subscribers with a 34.2% open rate and a 2.1% click rate as of August 2026. #### Where can I follow the energy transition as a business story? Future Proof covers climate and energy as an economic and business story rather than only an environmental one. It publishes every Friday and is free at time.com/newsletters. #### Who writes Future Proof? Justin Worland, a senior correspondent at TIME and an award-winning climate journalist, writes Future Proof. #### Is Future Proof free? Yes. Future Proof is free at time.com/newsletters.  by [Justin Worland](https://time.com/author/justin-worland/)  ## Justin Worland Senior Correspondent Oct 6, 2016 7:47 PM UTC  In this NOAA handout image, taken by the GOES satellite at UTC: 1803Z shows Hurricane Matthew in the Caribbean Sea just south of Cuba and Jamacia on Oct. 2, 2016. In this NOAA handout image, taken by the GOES satellite at UTC: 1803Z shows Hurricane Matthew in the Caribbean Sea just south of Cuba and Jamacia on Oct. 2, 2016. NOAA—Getty Images  by [Justin Worland](https://time.com/author/justin-worland/)  ## Justin Worland Senior Correspondent Oct 6, 2016 7:47 PM UTC Most hurricanes that hit the East Coast barrel north from the Caribbean, make landfall, and then eventually drift out into the Atlantic Ocean. But that may not be the case with [Hurricane Matthew](http://time.com/4520890/hurricane-matthew-strengthen-us/?xid=homepage), which could be poised to pull a rare U-turn and [hit Florida](http://time.com/4521750/hurricane-matthew-flight-cancellations-florida) twice, wreaking even more havoc as the region tries to recover. Forecasters say Matthew will likely hit the eastern edge of Florida Thursday night as a powerful category 4 storm and will continue up the coast through Saturday. But then, instead of shifting toward the Atlantic and slowly dying off, [several models](https://twitter.com/DrShepherd2013/status/783774121981280256/photo/1?ref%5Fsrc=twsrc%5Etfw) show the storm circling back to land and hitting Florida a second time next week. The “double-whammy” of Matthew hitting twice appeared to be an outlier projection just a few days ago, but the forecasters’ models have changed since then. Though hurricanes are powerful storms, their direction is often determined by other weather patterns. In this case, a high-pressure area in the Atlantic may block Matthew from moving eastward, and other winds might push it back toward Florida, forecasters say. > [](https://twitter.com/DrShepherd2013/status/783774121981280256) Still, forecasters noted that storm models carry significant uncertainty, particularly several days in advance of an expected event. And forecasters also pointed out that Matthew would likely have weakened significantly before hitting Florida again. “That possibility is there and needs to be taken seriously,” says Sean Sublette, a meteorologist at [Climate Central](http://www.climatecentral.org/). “But for the short term we need to get past Friday and Saturday.” ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/4521751/hurricane-matthew-florida-hit-twice/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/4521751/hurricane-matthew-florida-hit-twice/"},"headline":"Hurricane Matthew Could Make a U-Turn and Hit Florida Twice","datePublished":"2016-10-06T19:47:38.000Z","dateModified":"2026-02-23T01:03:36.697Z","description":"A second hit could hamper recovery efforts","url":"https://time.com/4521751/hurricane-matthew-florida-hit-twice/","keywords":["weather"],"thumbnailUrl":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt3df006f17bf66196/6988a8ff0b72e3ad0e6eb426/hurricane-matthew-image-satellite.jpeg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Justin Worland","jobTitle":"Senior Correspondent","url":"https://time.com/author/justin-worland/"}],"articleSection":"Science","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt3df006f17bf66196/6988a8ff0b72e3ad0e6eb426/hurricane-matthew-image-satellite.jpeg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","width":1200,"height":675,"headline":"Hurricane Matthew satellite image","caption":"Hurricane Matthew satellite image","creditText":"NOAA—Getty Images","representativeOfPage":true}],"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Time","url":"https://time.com/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://time.com/images/logo.png","width":528,"height":156},"foundingDate":"March 3, 1923","sameAs":["https://www.facebook.com/time","https://www.instagram.com/time/?hl=en","https://twitter.com/time","https://www.pinterest.com/timemagazine"]}},{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"item":{"@id":"/section/science/","name":"Science"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"item":{"@id":"/tag/weather/","name":"weather"}},{"@type":"ListItem","position":3,"item":{"@id":"https://time.com/4521751/hurricane-matthew-florida-hit-twice/","name":"Hurricane Matthew Could Make a U-Turn and Hit Florida Twice"}}]}] ```