By Megan McCluskey
October 21, 2016

When The Walking Dead returns for its seventh season Sunday, viewers will finally get to see who Negan picked to die during his sadistic game of Eeny, Meeny, Miny, Moe in the closing moments of the season six finale.

The opening scene of the premiere will supposedly show the Saviors leader beating one of the captive Alexandrians to death with the barbed-wire-wrapped baseball bat he has dubbed Lucille, concluding a bloody cliffhanger sequence that Andrew Lincoln — who plays Rick Grimes — said made him “physically sick.”

However, despite fans’ best attempts to figure out who is on the chopping block, the victim’s identity is still largely a mystery. Here are the survival odds of the 11 characters that were at Negan’s mercy.

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