TIME weather

Groundhog Day: Punxsutawney Phil Does Not See His Shadow and Predicts an Early Spring

Who needs the weather service when you have Phil?

The world’s most famous groundhog did not see his shadow on Tuesday morning, divining that there will be warmer temperatures and an early spring.

Punxsutawney Phil made his 130th prediction during the annual Feb. 2 event that sees thousands of people gather by Gobbler’s Knob, a hill outside town in Punxsutawney, Pa.

According to analysis from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which tracks climate data in the U.S., Phil is not the most accurate meteorologist. The last time two times he successfully predicted the weather were in 2014 and in 1999.

During the Groundhog Day ceremony at sunrise, Phil is retrieved from his mock tree stump and held up by helpers in a top hat, who check to see whether his shadow is visible.

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