See What Winter Will Be Like Where You Live

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Weather across the U.S. this past year has been one for the record books, from an historic drought in California to extreme snow in New England. Now, as October nears its end, TIME looked at what the forecasts show for the coming winter.

The forecast brings both welcome and unwelcome news. New Englanders and Mid-Atlantic residents, for instance, should be happy that they’ll avoid some of the icy cold that froze the region last winter. Californians are likely to receive heavy rain but not enough to resolve the state’s drought.

Related: Celebrate Winter With 16 Vintage Snowman Photos

Across the country, El Niño is driving much of this year’s weather patterns. The climate phenomenon raises temperatures across the globe and changes the way air circulates. In the U.S., this typically means heavy rain in the south and lower temperatures across much of the country.

See below for more on what to expect:

 

See New Horizons' Best Images of Pluto

Pluto False Color New Horizons
An enhanced color global view of pluto released on July 24, 2015. NASA/Reuters
New Horizons Pluto Heart Tombaugh Regio
In the center left of Pluto’s vast heart-shaped feature – informally named “Tombaugh Regio” - lies a vast, craterless plain that appears to be no more than 100 million years old, and is possibly still being shaped by geologic processes. This frozen region is north of Pluto’s icy mountains and has been informally named Sputnik Planum (Sputnik Plain), after Earth’s first artificial satellite. The image was acquired on July 14 from a distance of 48,000 miles (77,000 kilometers).NASA/Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory/Southwest Research Institute
New Horizons Pluto Mountain Range
A close-up image of a region near Pluto's equator shows a range of mountains rising as high as 11,000 feet (3,500 meters) taken by NASA's New Horizons spacecraft as it passed within 7,800 feet of the dwarf planet on July 14, 2015.NASA/Getty Images
New Horizons Pluto Heart Mountain Range
A newly discovered mountain range lies near the southwestern margin of Pluto’s heart-shaped Tombaugh Regio (Tombaugh Region), situated between bright, icy plains and dark, heavily-cratered terrain. NASA/Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory/Southwest Research Institute
New Horizons Pluto Charon
A composite image of Pluto and its largest moon Charon collected separately by New Horizons during approach on July 13 and July 14, 2015. The relative reflectivity, size, separation, and orientations of Pluto and Charon are approximated in this composite image, and they are shown in approximate true color. NASA/JHUAPL/SWRI
Pluto Heart New Horizons
Pluto, seen from the New Horizons spacecraft on July 13, 2015 just before the space craft's historic fly-by.NASA/AP
New Horizons Pluto Charon Moon
NASA's New Horizons captured this high-resolution enhanced color view of Charon just before closest approach on July 14, 2015.NASA/Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory/Southwest Research Institute
New Horizons Pluto Charon Moon
A close up view of Pluto's largest moon, Charon.NASA/JHUAPL/SWRI
Pluto
Pluto on July 14, 2015, as seen by NASA’s New Horizons spacecraft while it looked back toward the sun.NASA/JHUAPL/SwRI

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Write to Justin Worland at justin.worland@time.com and Lon Tweeten at lon.tweeten@time.com