--- title: Poll Puts Donald Trump Above Jeb Bush, Republican Presidential Rivals description: New poll finds elite GOPers fading in presidential race canonical: https://time.com/4000098/donald-trump-poll-republicans-jeb-bush-presidential-race/ author: Sam Frizell article:opinion: false article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2015-08-17T13:03:13.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-08-19T07:42:28.688Z article:section: Politics og:title: Establishment-Friendly Republicans Drown in Donald Trump Tsunami og:description: New poll finds elite GOPers fading in presidential race og:url: https://time.com/4000098/donald-trump-poll-republicans-jeb-bush-presidential-race/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltde093bcdab65f2d0/6988d9b9bc6cfc69913e2a3c/time-logo.jpg?branch=production og:image:width: 1200 og:image:height: 675 og:image:alt: TIME og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: Establishment-Friendly Republicans Drown in Donald Trump Tsunami twitter:description: New poll finds elite GOPers fading in presidential race twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltde093bcdab65f2d0/6988d9b9bc6cfc69913e2a3c/time-logo.jpg?branch=production --- # Establishment-Friendly Republicans Drown in Donald Trump Tsunami > Sponsored content. 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Brief is TIME's Washington newsletter, written by senior correspondent Philip Elliott. It explains the politics, personalities and power dynamics behind the headlines, three times a week. It reaches 85,000 subscribers with a 37.0% open rate as of August 2026. #### Where can I get analysis of Washington politics by email? D.C. Brief is TIME's free Washington politics newsletter, available at time.com/newsletters. It is written by a TIME senior correspondent who covers the capital full time. #### Who writes TIME's D.C. Brief? Philip Elliott, a senior correspondent at TIME, writes D.C. Brief. #### Is D.C. Brief free? Yes. D.C. Brief is free at time.com/newsletters. ## Video: Watch The Best Quotes By Donald Trump [Watch (HLS stream): Watch The Best Quotes By Donald Trump](https://cdn.jwplayer.com/manifests/7MzTpVq2.m3u8) (1:21)  _Published 2015-07-23. Donald Trump's Most Ridiculous Quotes_ by [Sam Frizell](https://time.com/author/sam-frizell/) ## Sam Frizell Aug 17, 2015 1:03 PM UTC by [Sam Frizell](https://time.com/author/sam-frizell/) ## Sam Frizell Aug 17, 2015 1:03 PM UTC Republican presidential candidates favored by the party establishment [have lost ground to Donald Trump](http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2015/08/14/fox-news-poll-sanders-gains-on-clinton/) since the first GOP debate, according to a new poll, with Jeb Bush, Scott Walker and Marco Rubio all struggling the summer before voting starts. Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has fallen from 15% earlier this month to fourth place among Republican nationally, according to the Fox News survey, with just 9% support. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker is tied for fifth place at 6%—down from 9%—and Rubio, the Senator from Florida is in ninth place at 5%. Meanwhile, Trump continues to dominate the GOP field nationally, with the support of 25% of Republicans. ### Meet Donald Trump's Family  Left: Ivanka Trump with her mother, Ivana, in 1992; Right: Ivanka in New York City in February 2015. Ben Coster—Camera Press/Redux; Gilbert Carrasquillo—Getty Images  Left: Donald Trump Jr. and Donald Trump in 1988; Right: Donald Trump Jr. in New York City in April 2011. Ron Galella—Getty Images; Gilbert Carrasquillo—Getty Images  Left: Eric Trump and Donald Trump in 2007; Right: Eric Trump in New York City in October 2013. James Devaney—Getty Images; Astrid Stawiarz—Getty Images  Left: Marla Maples and Donald Trump's daughter Tiffany on March 19, 1996 in New York City; Right:Tiffany Trump attends Barbie and CFDA Event on Sept. 5, 2014 in New York City. Gregory Pace—Sygma/Corbis; J Carter Rinaldi—Getty Images  Left: Donald Trump's son Barron with his mother Melania at the FAO Schwarz in New York City; Right: Barron Trump with his father, Donald Trump and mother, Melania Knauss on Feb. 16th, 2015. Left: Jamie McCarthy—Getty Images; Right: Mike Pont—NBC/Getty The poll does not necessarily reflect the preferences of likely Republican voters and caucusgoers in the key early-voting states of Iowa and New Hampshire, but recent surveys have found Trump leading there, too. Republicans have been flummoxed by Trump’s seeming invincibility even in the wake of incendiary—and often widely-condemned—comments. Other anti-establishment candidates, including retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, have also risen, capturing 12% and 10% in the Fox News poll, respectively. The survey of 1,008 registered voters, conducted Aug. 11-13, has a margin of error of plus or minus three percentage points. _Read next:_ [_What We’ve Learned Since the Republican Debates_](http://time.com/3997640/republican-debate-aftermath/?iid=time%5Freadnext) [_Listen to the most important stories of the day_](http://time.com/newsletter/the-brief/autoplay/?xid=spl-fullbrief-article) ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/4000098/donald-trump-poll-republicans-jeb-bush-presidential-race/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/4000098/donald-trump-poll-republicans-jeb-bush-presidential-race/"},"headline":"Establishment-Friendly Republicans Drown in Donald Trump Tsunami","datePublished":"2015-08-17T13:03:13.000Z","dateModified":"2026-08-19T07:42:28.688Z","description":"New poll finds elite GOPers fading in presidential race","url":"https://time.com/4000098/donald-trump-poll-republicans-jeb-bush-presidential-race/","keywords":["2016 Election","2016 Election","Sen. 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