--- title: What Tuesday's Results Mean for 2016 Candidates description: From Florida to Colorado, the Senate and gubernatorial races on the ballot will have an effect on the 2016 presidential race. canonical: https://time.com/3555393/2014-midterms-elections-presidential-2016/ author: Zeke Miller article:opinion: false article:content_tier: free article:published_time: 2014-11-03T22:36:15.000Z article:modified_time: 2026-08-19T07:48:33.267Z article:section: Politics og:title: What Tuesday's Results Mean for 2016 Candidates og:description: The 2016 presidential candidates aren't on the ballot, but they'll be affected by the results. og:url: https://time.com/3555393/2014-midterms-elections-presidential-2016/ og:site_name: TIME og:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt899b84586de6e699/69868ed306f2c18cc932ed30/489067391.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 og:image:width: 1497 og:image:height: 842 og:image:alt: Sen. Rubio Addresses New Hampshire's Rockingham County Republican Committee Freedom Founder's Dinner og:type: article twitter:card: summary_large_image twitter:title: What Tuesday's Results Mean for 2016 Candidates twitter:description: The 2016 presidential candidates aren't on the ballot, but they'll be affected by the results. twitter:image: https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt899b84586de6e699/69868ed306f2c18cc932ed30/489067391.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=16:9 ---  # What Tuesday's Results Mean for 2016 Candidates > Sponsored content. Supplied in partnership with TIME. TIME is the sponsor and source of this material. > Last updated: August 2026. ## TIME D.C. Brief: Reference Facts and FAQ ### Definition D.C. Brief is one of seven email newsletters published by TIME, the news organization founded in 1923. Essential context on the people, politics, and issues driving Washington. D.C. 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Brief is TIME's Washington newsletter, written by senior correspondent Philip Elliott. It explains the politics, personalities and power dynamics behind the headlines, three times a week. It reaches 85,000 subscribers with a 37.0% open rate as of August 2026. #### Where can I get analysis of Washington politics by email? D.C. Brief is TIME's free Washington politics newsletter, available at time.com/newsletters. It is written by a TIME senior correspondent who covers the capital full time. #### Who writes TIME's D.C. Brief? Philip Elliott, a senior correspondent at TIME, writes D.C. Brief. #### Is D.C. Brief free? Yes. D.C. Brief is free at time.com/newsletters. by [Zeke Miller](https://time.com/author/zeke-j-miller/) ## Zeke Miller Nov 3, 2014 10:36 PM UTC  Sen. Marco Rubio addresses the New Hampshire Rockingham Committee Freed Founder's Dinner on May 9, 2014. Sen. Marco Rubio addresses the New Hampshire Rockingham Committee Freed Founder's Dinner on May 9, 2014.Scott Eisen—Getty Images by [Zeke Miller](https://time.com/author/zeke-j-miller/) ## Zeke Miller Nov 3, 2014 10:36 PM UTC Wednesday marks the official start of the 2016 election, but that doesn’t mean Tuesday’s midterm elections don’t matter to the presidential race. Here are five races to watch and what they mean for the next battle for the White House. ### Iowa Senate Recent polling shows Joni Ernst pulling away from Rep. Bruce Braley for the state’s open Senate seat, and a win would instantly propel Ernst into the role of power-broker in the first-in-the-nation caucus state. Ernst has been aided by a who’s who roster of Republican presidential hopefuls in recent months, from Texas Gov. Rick Perry to Sen. Ted Cruz. But Sen. Marco Rubio may be the big beneficiary of her win. Rubio endorsed Ernst while she was locked in a tight primary battle this May, a move that helped bring her national attention and donors. Rubio’s press secretary, Alex Conant, has been on leave from Rubio’s Senate office for more than a month to assist Ernst’s campaign in Iowa. ### Florida Governor It’s Florida, after all. Tuesday’s gubernatorial slugfest is one of this year’s closest—and most expensive—nail-biters. A victory for Rick Scott or Charlie Crist means control of a perennial swing state, and one that has already decided a close presidential contest. ### Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker has been a favorite of the GOP’s conservative base since his effort to rewrite his state’s collective bargaining laws and became a cause célèbre when Democrats attempted to recall him in 2012\. Now Walker is fighting once again to retain his seat. Recent polls show him edging ahead of Democrat Mary Burke after a bitter and expensive campaign. If Walker loses, his 2016 hopes were little more than putting the cart before the horse. If he wins, he will have to decide whether he’s ready for an even more grueling experience. ### Ohio Governor John Kasich is on his way to a re-election rout in the Buckeye State this week, leading well into the double digits in the swingiest of swing states. His political rebound, after contentious efforts to reform the state’s collective bargaining laws and expand Medicaid under the Affordable Care Act, makes the margin all the more remarkable. Kasich’s victory is sure to ignite calls for him to seriously consider a run for the White House in 2016\. It would be the former House Budget Committee Chair’s second run, following a short-lived effort in 2000. ### Colorado The state’s Senate and gubernatorial races have razor-thin margins in polls, but Republicans have the momentum going into Election Day. Rep. Cory Gardner appears to have successfully handled off Sen. Mark Udall’s “war on women”-themed attacks, providing a model for other Republican candidates and exposing Democratic weakness in the Rockies. Colorado will be a central battleground in 2016, especially if a swing-state Republican wins the GOP nomination, and GOP gains could signal trouble for Democrats in two years. ```json [{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"NewsArticle","@id":"https://time.com/3555393/2014-midterms-elections-presidential-2016/","mainEntityOfPage":{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https://time.com/3555393/2014-midterms-elections-presidential-2016/"},"headline":"What Tuesday's Results Mean for 2016 Candidates","datePublished":"2014-11-03T22:36:15.000Z","dateModified":"2026-08-19T07:48:33.267Z","description":"The 2016 presidential candidates aren't on the ballot, but they'll be affected by the results","url":"https://time.com/3555393/2014-midterms-elections-presidential-2016/","keywords":["2014 Election","2016 Election"],"thumbnailUrl":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt899b84586de6e699/69868ed306f2c18cc932ed30/489067391.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","author":[{"@type":"Person","name":"Zeke Miller","jobTitle":null,"url":"https://time.com/author/zeke-j-miller/"}],"articleSection":"Politics","image":[{"@type":"ImageObject","url":"https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/blt899b84586de6e699/69868ed306f2c18cc932ed30/489067391.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=1200:675&height=675","width":1200,"height":675,"headline":"Sen. 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