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title: 2014 Midterm Elections: Iowa, North Carolina Senate Races Tied
description: Two key Senate races that will help determine which party controls the upper chamber are effectively tied
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author: Dan Hirschhorn
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article:published_time: 2014-11-01T14:48:24.000Z
article:modified_time: 2026-05-11T04:49:46.691Z
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og:title: 2014 Midterm Elections: Iowa, North Carolina Senate Races Tied
og:description: Two key Senate races that will help determine which party controls the upper chamber are effectively tied
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og:image:alt: Joni Ernst
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twitter:title: 2014 Midterm Elections: Iowa, North Carolina Senate Races Tied
twitter:description: Two key Senate races that will help determine which party controls the upper chamber are effectively tied
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# Key Senate Races in Dead Heat Before Election

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by 

[Dan Hirschhorn](https://time.com/author/dan-hirschhorn/)


## Dan Hirschhorn


Nov 1, 2014 2:48 PM UTC

![Joni Ernst](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltf2dc9c93a8850679/698763d23c16394cb944f652/ap857890276024.jpg?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp&crop=3:2)

Republican Senate candidate Joni Ernst speaks during a campaign stop in Council Bluffs, Iowa, Oct. 31, 2014.

Republican Senate candidate Joni Ernst speaks during a campaign stop in Council Bluffs, Iowa, Oct. 31, 2014. Nati Harnik—AP

by 

[Dan Hirschhorn](https://time.com/author/dan-hirschhorn/)


## Dan Hirschhorn


Nov 1, 2014 2:48 PM UTC

Two key Senate races that will help determine which party controls the upper chamber are [effectively tied](http://www.politico.com/story/2014/10/iowa-north-carolina-senate-races-2014-elections-112387.html?hp=l4) just days before the midterm elections, according to [new](http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/10/31/iowasenatepoll.pdf) [polls](http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2014/images/10/31/northcarolinasenatepoll.pdf).

The CNN/ORC International polls of the campaigns in Iowa and North Carolina, released late Friday, found both races to be within the margin of error. In Iowa, Republican Joni Ernst holds a narrow, two-point lead over Democratic Rep. Bruce Braley for the open seat. In North Carolina, incumbent Democratic Sen. Kay Hagan is clinging to a two-point lead over Republican state House Speaker Thom Tillis.

![](https://static.time.com/v3/assets/bltea6093859af6183b/bltf4d5375633c1b0cc/698763d4a988cad9286aa272/senatetossups.png?branch=production&width=1200&quality=75&auto=webp)

Republicans need a net pick-up of six Senate seats to recapture the majority. Political forecasters see that as increasingly likely, but the campaign remains very close ahead of Election Day on Tuesday.

Both polls had a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points.

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